Tampa Prep 2009-2010 Impact Defense File
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- AT: Russian Nationalism
- AT: SARS
AT: Russian Loose NukesRussians are empirically successful at protecting their nuclear weapons, having already broken up hundreds of plots already Council on Foreign Relations 2006: Loose Nukes. http://www.cfr.org/publication/9549/ Have terrorist organizations ever tried to obtain Russian nuclear weapons? Yes. Russian authorities say that in the past three years alone they have broken up hundreds of nuclear-material smuggling deals. In October 2001, shortly after the World Trade Center attacks, a Russian nuclear official reported having foiled two separate incidents over the previous eight months in which terrorists had “staked out” a secret weapons storage site. In the 1990s, U.S. authorities discovered several al-Qaeda plots to obtain nuclear materials, and former CIA Director George Tenet told the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence that Osama bin Laden had sought to “acquire or develop a nuclear device.”
Nuclear weapons clearly deserve the "weapons of mass destruction" designation because they can indeed destroy masses of people in a single blow. Even so, it is worth noting that any nuclear weapons acquired by terrorist groups or rogue states, at least initially, are likely to be small. Contrary to exaggerated Indian and Pakistani claims, for example, independent analyses of their May 1998 nuclear tests have concluded that the yields were Hiroshima-sized or smaller. Such bombs can cause horrible though not apocalyptic damage. Some 70,000 people died in Hiroshima and 40,000 in Nagasaki. People three miles away from the blast sites received only superficial wounds even when fully exposed, and those inside bomb shelters at Nagasaki were uninjured even though they were close to ground zero. Some buildings of steel and concrete survived, even when they were close to the blast centers, and most municipal services were restored within days. A Hiroshima-sized bomb exploded in a more fire-resistant modern city would likely be considerably less devastating. Used against well-prepared, dug-in, and dispersed troops, a small bomb might actually cause only limited damage. If a single such bomb or even a few of them were to fall into dangerous hands, therefore, it would be terrible, though it would hardly threaten the end of civilization. AT: Russian Nationalism1. Russian nationalism high Greenfield 08 (Daniel, Israel News [http://www.israelenews.com/view.asp?ID=2361] Understanding the New Russian Threat/ June 16, 2008) Across the third world, Russia is busy providing weapons, building ports and bases and creating an anti-Western alliance based around its own oil and gas resources, that unites oil producing Latin American nations with leftist governments such as Venezuela with Arab OPEC nations to form a common front against America and Europe. On its own borders Russia is doing its best to push back NATO expansion while preparing for its own great project to reclaim the lost territories of the USSR, not in the name of Communism, but in the name of greed, power and Russian nationalism. The old rivalries with England and the US have been resumed and the KGB is active everywhere that Russian trade goes. The KGB's New Guard have learned from Communism's failures and they don't intend to repeat the same mistakes. They respect the achievements of the USSR but their goal is to build a great Russian Empire ruled by themselves. They are the crime syndicate which now rules Russia and is expanding across the world. Fueled by the energy boom, they have a great deal of wealth and while the system they run is corrupt and incompetent, it is not nearly as corrupt or incompetent as the old Communist system was. 2. Nationalism on the rise in Russia Umland 08 (Andreas, The American Chronicle [http://www.americanchronicle.com/articles/66359] Russian Nationalism, Post-Soviet Political Discourse, and the New Fascist Danger/ June 26, 2008) The roots of Russia´s currently rising nationalism are threefold: pre-Soviet, Soviet and post-Soviet. The idea of Moscow as the "Third Rome," i.e. of a special Russian mission in world history, goes back several centuries. Russian nationalism had been – contrary to what many in the West believed – an important element of Soviet ideology ever since the 1930s. Like in the early 19th century when Moscow´s so-called Slavophiles applied German nativist thought to Russian conditions, ideas of various Russian nationalist movements today are often imported from the West. A factor also accounting for Russia´s recent nationalist resurgence is the mode of thinking learned in Soviet schools and universities – a Manichean world-view which sharply distinguishes between "us" and "them." Although the basic definitions of "us" and "them" have changed, a number of Soviet stereotypes, for instance, about the US have survived glasnost until today. AT: SARS1. SARS Spread is small – transmission is low Chan-Yeung, Professor of Medicine, University of Hong Kong and Loh, CEO of Civic Exchange, ’04 At the Epicentre: Hong Kong and the SARS Outbreak, edited by Christine Loh and Civic Exchange, Hong Kong University Press, page(s) 49] However, despite fears about transmission of SARS, the SARS-coronavirus has a relatively low infectivity. It does not transmit from person to person efficiently and a fairly large dose of virus appears to be needed for transmission to occur. SARS is much less infectious than the typical flu. The concern is the virulence of the SARS-coronavirus, which can cause rapid and serious damage to human organs. A high number of patients require intensive care. At the height of the outbreak in Hong Kong, 14 percent of SARS patients were in intensive care units (ICUs). This put considerable pressure on the healthcare system
During the outbreak, another important issue in which the public was interested was whether Hong Kong's healthcare system could cope as the number of SARS cases rose. From the initial growth rates of the disease, it appeared that, had transmission been more effective, hospitals would have come under much greater stress and may well not have been able to manage. Early on, it was not clear how the disease would progress. One German newspaper went so far as to predict that everyone in Hong Kongwould be infected!' In fact, SARS spread relatively slowly. Dire predictions based on initial data were inaccurate because nobody knew how effective transmission of the virus would be. There were also other factors that affected the spread of the disease, including the community's response and the build-up of immunity among the population. Directory: files -> documents documents -> North Mankato Taylor Library documents -> In the Red and Brown Water documents -> - documents -> I. Disaster Summary Sheet II. Tropical Cyclones documents -> Cbp and Trade Automated Interface Requirements Appendix: pga december 22, 2015 documents -> Ace abi catair customs and Trade Automated Interface Requirements documents -> Ace abi catair customs and Trade Automated Interface Requirements documents -> Mobile audio/video recording systems documents -> Cartographic Concepts for Realizing a Location Based umts service documents -> 1/ Background Statistics Human development index rank Download 2.71 Mb. Share with your friends:
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