Tampa Prep 2009-2010 Impact Defense File
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- AT: Mexico Drug Wars
- AT: Middle East Instability
Ext #1 – Drug WarsDrug war means collapse inevitable. Human Events Online 11/26/07 “Drug War Allies” Lexis [ev] It's just as clear that Mexico and the United States share an urgent national security imperative. Drug cartels threaten the rule of law in Mexico, a country that shares an 1,800-mile border with the United States. Left unchecked, they might ultimately imperil Mexico's political stability and economic development. And, as noted, Mexico is either the source or the trans-shipment point for 90 percent of all narcotics entering the United States. The violence and gang warfare spawned by the drug trade have long since crossed the U.S.-Mexico border right along with the tons of drugs coming from Mexico. AT: Mexico Drug WarsMexico will pretend to be fighting the drug cartels, but secretly prop them up Friedman 10 chief executive of STRATFOR, a private global intelligence firm he founded in 1996 George, 4/6, “The Political Machine, Drugs and Pinata: Mexico, failed state?” http://www.politicalmachine.com/article/379548/Drugs_and_Pinata_Mexico_failed_state From Mexico’s point of view, interrupting the flow of drugs to the United States is not clearly in the national interest or in that of the economic elite. Observers often dwell on the warfare between smuggling organizations in the northern borderland but rarely on the flow of American money into Mexico. Certainly, that money could corrupt the Mexican state, but it also behaves as money does. It is accumulated and invested, where it generates wealth and jobs. For the Mexican government to become willing to shut off this flow of money, the violence would have to become far more geographically widespread. And given the difficulty of ending the traffic anyway — and that many in the state security and military apparatus benefit from it — an obvious conclusion can be drawn: Namely, it is difficult to foresee scenarios in which the Mexican government could or would stop the drug trade. Instead, Mexico will accept both the pain and the benefits of the drug trade. Mexico’s policy is consistent: It makes every effort to appear to be stopping the drug trade so that it will not be accused of supporting it. The government does not object to disrupting one or more of the smuggling groups, so long as the aggregate inflow of cash does not materially decline. It demonstrates to the United States efforts (albeit inadequate) to tackle the trade, while pointing out very real problems with its military and security apparatus and with its officials in Mexico City. It simultaneously points to the United States as the cause of the problem, given Washington’s failure to control demand or to reduce prices by legalization. And if massive amounts of money pour into Mexico as a result of this U.S. failure, Mexico is not going to refuse it. The problem with the Mexican military or police is not lack of training or equipment. It is not a lack of leadership. These may be problems, but they are only problems if they interfere with implementing Mexican national policy. The problem is that these forces are personally unmotivated to take the risks needed to be effective because they benefit more from being ineffective. This isn’t incompetence but a rational national policy. AT: Middle East InstabilityAlt cause – religion and ethnicity – multiple historical examples. Library Index 6 [http://www.libraryindex.com/pages/2700/Poverty-Violent-Conflict-POVERTY-IN-MOST-DANGEROUS-PLACES-ON-EARTH.html] The Middle East is at the heart of some of the worst tension and violence in the world, much of it in the form of terrorism. Some of this tension stems from ethnic and religious differences. Since the end of World War II there have been several major interstate conflicts—including the Arab-Israeli conflict, the Iran-Iraq War, and the Gulf War of 1991—civil wars in Jordan and Lebanon, and continuing tensions between various factions throughout the region. The Arab-Israeli conflict alone has erupted into war six times since 1948. Iraq has been involved in six skirmishes, including the ongoing war with the U.S.-led coalition that began in 2003. Afghanistan is not always included as a Middle Eastern country, but its history, language, and culture are closely linked to those of Iran, so the U.S. invasion there, which began in late 2001, may also be considered a Middle Eastern conflict. Alt cause – water is the main concern for Middle East conflict. Darwish 3 [Adel, BBC News, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/2949768.stm] King Hussein of Jordan identified water as the only reason that might lead him to war with the Jewish state. Former United Nations Secretary General Boutros Boutros-Ghali warned bluntly that the next war in the area will be over water. From Turkey to Uganda, and from Morocco to Oman, nations with some of the highest birth-rates in the world are all concerned about how to find enough water to sustain urban growth and to meet the needs of agriculture, the main cause of depleting water resources in the region.
20instability20in20Iraq20and20the20Middle20East+4372.twl] We fully understand from our work in Palestine, Western Sahara and other areas in conflict that stability and justice are central to defeating poverty. The instability in the Middle East stems partly from years of inappropriate Western intervention. Oil interests and arms dealers have played a major role in this. Regional military expenditures, at an average of 7%-8% of GDP, are significantly more than any other region of the developing world. Despite 30 years of large oil revenues, the Middle East has fallen behind in human development terms - with one in five Arabs living on less than $2 a day.
''The dilemma is clear, exclusion from political stakeholding radicalises, moderates, and legitimises violence,'' said Talal, the outgoing moderator of the WCRP. "For the Middle East to be pulled back from the brink of all-out chaos, we must take the first difficult steps on that road.'' Directory: files -> documents documents -> North Mankato Taylor Library documents -> In the Red and Brown Water documents -> - documents -> I. Disaster Summary Sheet II. Tropical Cyclones documents -> Cbp and Trade Automated Interface Requirements Appendix: pga december 22, 2015 documents -> Ace abi catair customs and Trade Automated Interface Requirements documents -> Ace abi catair customs and Trade Automated Interface Requirements documents -> Mobile audio/video recording systems documents -> Cartographic Concepts for Realizing a Location Based umts service documents -> 1/ Background Statistics Human development index rank Download 2.71 Mb. Share with your friends:
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