Tampa Prep 2009-2010 Impact Defense File
AT: Bioweapons (In General)
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- AT: Bird Flu 1/2
- 3. Biology experts agree that mutation is unlikely and even if it does it won’t kill that many people
AT: Bioweapons (In General)No risk of Bio-weapons: (1) unpredictable (2) permant (3) unpopular Anwar 1999 (Afian, “Biological and Chemical Agents”, August 12, http://library.thinkquest.org/27393/tqtranslate.htm#BIOLOGICAL%20WARFARE%20-%20DISADVANTAGES%20OF%20USING%20BIOLOGICAL%20WEAPONS) The biggest disadvantage of using biological weapons is that they are really quite unpredictable. Who’s to say that you won’t end up infecting your own troops? Another disadvantage is that these agents last for quite some time. Anthrax, for example, can live for up to 50 years in soil. Therefore, it would be impractical to send in troops to occupy the area. No use killing everyone in your enemy’s country and then finding out you can’t occupy it. It’s just like getting a toy without batteries. Don’t you just hate it when you wake up on Christmas morning to find that the wonderful remote controlled car your dad bought for you came without batteries and all the shops are closed? The last major disadvantage is that people, in general, don’t like biological weapons. These people hate it even more when someone actually uses these weapons (particularly, when they are used on them. Actually, come to think of it, if the biological weapons were used on them, they wouldn’t be able to complain much since they’d be dead pretty soon). Now imagine the ruler of that country being accused by the media and in the Oprah Winfry Show of using biological weapons for military gain. Chances are, that person won’t get too popular with the people for very long. AT: Bird Flu 1/21. Vaccines solve 100% of your impacts – researches have found new techniques to supplement vaccinations ABC News March 3, 2009: Aust researchers closer to bird flu vaccine. http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/03/03/2505881.htm A Melbourne University research team has found boosting T-cell immunity would help rid people's bodies of the virus by finding and destroying infected cells. In a report published today, the researchers say scientists should concentrate on modifying vaccines to boost T-cell levels in order to effectively fight flu strains. Associate Professor Stephen Turner says a compound known to increase immunity could be added to existing flu vaccines in Australia. He says there has been a 50 per cent death rate among people infected with the disease overseas. "A particular concern is the fact that there's ongoing outbreaks of this pathogenic bird flu in Indonesia," he said. "With continued human infections from this bird flu, we're just waiting to kind of see whether or not the virus will ever gain the capacity to transmit from human to human." Since 2003, the H5N1 avian influenza virus has infected 408 people in 15 countries and killed 254 of them. It has killed or forced the culling of more than 300 million birds as it spread to 61 countries in Asia, the Middle East, Europe and Africa. Associate Professor Turner says there is no pre-existing immunity in the population, and existing vaccines would be useless. "We can add this compound, this potent immune modulator, to induce killer T-cells," he said. "So it has two advantages; it can provide this pre-emptive immunity against any pandemic, but it would also help with current influenza, the seasonal influenza that we get every winter." 2. Even the head UN official on bird flu concedes there’s no risk of an immediate outbreak International Herald Tribune 10/23/06 UNITED NATIONS More than 30 countries reported outbreaks of bird flu this year and the number of people dying every month is increasing, but the world escaped an immediate influenza pandemic possibly because of the energetic global response to warnings a year ago, the U.N. bird flu chief said Monday.Dr. David Nabarro said his warning last year that a mutation of the virulent H5N1 virus which has ravaged poultry stocks since late 2003 could appear anytime and cause an influenza pandemic in humans that kills millions of people was not "overblown." "There will be an influenza pandemic one day. I don't know — you don't know — when it will be. When it does come along, it will have really major economic and social consequences," he said. 3. Biology experts agree that mutation is unlikely and even if it does it won’t kill that many peopleSarina Observer 5/24/06 p.LN "Ridiculous," scoffed Wendy Orent, an anthropologist and author of "Plague: The Mysterious Past and Terrifying Future of the World's Most Dangerous Disease." She said public health officials have vastly exaggerated the potential danger of bird flu. Several factors make it unlikely that bird flu will become a dangerous pandemic, Orent said: the virus, H5N1, is still several mutations away from being able to spread easily between people; and the virus generally attaches to the deepest part of the lungs, making it harder to transmit by coughing or breathing. "We don't have anything that makes us think this bug will go pandemic," Orent told the Associated Press. "Yes, it's virtually certain in human history there will be another pandemic strain ... but there's no reason for it to happen now, or 10 years from now or 20 years from now." Our own medical officer of health, Dr. Richard Schabas, says predictions of a bird flu pandemic are specious and may be making people sick just worrying about an outbreak among humans on a global scale. "Our science just isn't strong enough for us to know that and it's not strong enough for us to be making these kinds of alarmist predictions that we're hearing from the WHO and others," Schabas told CBC News in a recent interview. "This is the third time the WHO has told us were on the brink of an avian influenza pandemic. They said it in 1997 and they were wrong. They said it a year ago and they were wrong." With that poor track record, our medical officer of health wonders why we're so quick to bite again. Directory: files -> documents documents -> North Mankato Taylor Library documents -> In the Red and Brown Water documents -> - documents -> I. Disaster Summary Sheet II. 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