y = 4.4 22. A multinational company believes that the exchange rate at the maturity date of the loan is 5 Israel shekels per dollar. If the company's prediction proves correct, which alternative is cheaper?
Direct loan cost = (200,000 x 5) +[(1,000,000 x 5) - 4,000,000] = 2,000,000 Israel shekels
Credit swap cost = 200,000 x 5 + 400,000 = 1,400,000 Israel shekels 23. If market analysts predict that the exchange rate will be 5 Israel shekels per dollar at the maturity of the loan, which alternative would rational decision-makers recommend?