The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth

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Figure S1. NH (left) and Global (right) mean temperature observations (GISTEMP-red) vs. CMIP5 mean estimated forced component (black) using CMIP5 anthropogenic-only forcing experiments (AD 1880-2014).

Figure S2. NH (left) and Global (right) mean residual components after CMIP5-estimated forced component is subtracted from (GISTEMP) observational temperatures using CMIP5 anthropogenic-only forcing experiments (AD 1880-2014).

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