The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth

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Figure S3. NH (left) and Global (right) mean temperature natural variability component associated with five different Monte Carlo Persistent Red Noise realizations (gray) using CMIP5 anthropogenic-only experiments. Shown for comparison are the raw observational series (red) (AD 1880-2014).

Figure S4. NH (left) and Global (right) mean temperature natural variability component associated with five different Monte Carlo Persistent Red Noise realizations (gray) using CMIP5 anthropogenic-only experimenmts. Shown for comparison are the raw observational series (red) (AD 1880-2014).

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