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Impacts- Econ Bad- War- A2: Interdependence



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Impacts- Econ Bad- War- A2: Interdependence


Economic interdependence won’t stop war- WWI and current day Taiwan potential prove
Innocent 9 (Malou, Foreign policy analyst @ Cato institute, Real Clear World, Feb 27, http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2009/02/china_peace_partner_or_warmong.html ) ET

While there is some evidence to support the presumption that China will become adversarial, others see China becoming a status quo power seeking peaceful relations with the rest of the global community. For these experts, the potential for hostile US-China relations is all the more reason to encourage Beijing's integration into the global economic and trading system, which may undermine China's propensity to base its interests simply in military terms. To put a twist on the old saying, so long as goods cross borders, soldiers won't. Nations that trade and cooperate are less likely to go to war, and given today's economic climate, it's hoped that Chinese and American strategic interests are converging because of economic interdependence. Economic interdependence, of course, doesn't preclude war. Strong trade ties between Britain and Germany didn't prevent the outbreak of World War I. Nations may be willing to forgo economic gains if it conflicts with their strategic interests. One potential flash point between the United States and China is Taiwan. Many believe that the US is committed to protect the peace and security of Taiwan from coercion by Beijing under the Taiwan Relations Act of 1979.
Economic interdependence doesn’t prevent conflict
The American 10 (http://blog.american.com/?page_id=13486, The American, Jan 10) ET

As Larison points out, America’s global presence over the past 60 years has not prevented conflicts (and, I would assume, miscalculation) from occurring. Nor would I make such a claim. Yet the increasing degree of instability, tension, and conflict that is normal in international affairs can only be exacerbated under conditions where both the existing hegemony and the accepted rules of the game (global trade, for example) are weakening or increasingly seen as ineffective. To take one current claim, everyone knows that China benefits enormously from the current global free trade regime, as well as from American willingness to provide public goods such as maintaining freedom of the seas. Many assume that China would therefore do nothing to kill the goose that lays the golden egg. I would simply respond that we have no way of knowing what calculations Beijing would make in a world in which current rules of trade and navigation and American military capability (if not will) no longer operate. Perhaps China’s leadership, instead of stepping up to fill the void, would prefer to avoid uncertainty and be satisfied with a smaller slice of the pie that they could control, say, the trade routes along the South China Sea. Perhaps globalization would make this impossible—trying to separate the strands of economic interdependence—but that doesn’t mean Beijing might not try, leading to unknown responses on the part of India, Japan, ASEAN countries, etc. The possibility of band-wagoning on the part of smaller nations would increase dramatically, further complicating the responses of bigger powers.




Impacts- Econ Bad- A2: Space


Space budget already cut- impacts empirically denied- and mars doesn’t matter

McMaken 10 (Ryan, political science at Arapahoe Community College, apr 13, 10, The LRC Blog, http://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/lewrw/archives/55600.html ) ET

Obama has done one decent thing and moved to cut funds to the space program. Neil Armstrong has condemned Obama for it. There are two thoughts that immediately come to me as a result: 1. “So what?” and 2. “Who cares what Neil Armstrong thinks?” Arguments in favor of the space program are based on two things: sentimentalism and militarism. The militaristic argument is the more sophisticated one. The space program, behind its veneer of civilian purpose, has always been a military program founded to improve rocket technology, and eventually, to provide the United States with military superiority over space itself. The sentimentalism is the rationale that most Americans subscribe to as they get misty eyed over fantasies about “the human spirit” and “destiny” and all those other concepts from Hollywood adventure films. From a pragmatic point of view, the space program is nothing more than a massive socialist spending program with militaristic intent, but which benefits handsomely from hysterical and maudlin appeals to hope in the government’s ability to accomplish anything provided enough time and taxpayers’ loot. In this age of budding private space travel, thanks to organizations like Virgin Galactic, government space travel is more unjust and obsolete than ever. Yet, glorified crash test dummies like Neil Armstrong feel free to throw hissy fits if someone dares to slow the flow of taxpayer dollars to his pet projects. Having spent decades of his life as a military bureaucrat on the government dole, it is beyond comprehension to Armstrong that government spending on the space program is unnecessary and totally wasteful. And, even if one granted that space exploration were a good thing, one would still be a long way from demonstrating the need for manned space flight. Armstrong and others who have walked on the moon have done absolutely nothing that a robot could not have done. The Mars missions are a perfect example of just how superfluous humans are to space exploration in the early 21st century. Having a human wander around on the surface of Mars will tell us nothing more about the air, the soil, or the gravitational pull than we already know. But, in the end, it’s all just special-interest and partisan politics. Broadly speaking, the Dems’ primary power base comes from Unions and non-whites and environmentalists. The GOPs power base comes from white males and the military establishment. It’s only natural that Obama would cut some military spending, in the form of NASA dollars, to throw some money to some of his base. Armstrong can rest assured that the next GOP president will shovel plenty of pork toward the space program.


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