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China Relations Core - Berkeley 2016
High Speed Rail Affirmative Politics Elections Link Turns UTNIF 2012

Relations UQ – no war



Public support to avoid military conflict with China is high and is less likely to cause conflict between the US and China.


A. Trevor Thrall, senior fellow for the Cato Institute’s Defense and Foreign Policy Department, Eric Gomez, research associate for defense and foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute, 6/9/2016, “THE AMERICAN PUBLIC IS NOT VERY HAWKISH ON CHINA”, Cato Institute, http://www.cato.org/blog/american-public-not-very-hawkish-china
Most importantly, though, Americans overwhelming support a cooperative approach to dealing with China rather than a confrontational one. Sixty-seven percent responded to the 2014 CCGA poll that the best way to handle the rise of Chinese power is to “undertake friendly cooperation and engagement,” compared to 29% who said the United States should “actively work to limit the growth of China’s power.” And when it comes to the prospect of military conflict with China the public is truly not interested. Just 26% believe the United States should send troops to help if China invades Taiwan. These figures provide fair warning to the next president to think twice about how to deal with China. An aggressive military posture like the one in place today (and promoted by both candidates) not only runs contrary to public preferences, it also increases the prospects for direct conflict between the United States and China.

Low risk of war – U.S. and China err toward coop


Hu Shuli, editor-in-chief of Caixin Media, 6/8/2016, “CHINA-U.S. RELATIONS: HOSTAGE TO NONE”, Caixin Online, http://english.caixin.com/2016-06-08/100952795.html
In addition to tensions over disputed islands and reefs in the South China Sea, friction has been generated in recent months by China's attempt to be recognized as a "market economy" and America's plan to deploy an anti-missile system in South Korea. Anti-China rhetoric spilling over from the U.S. presidential campaign has also fueled tension. But relations between the world's two largest economies must not be held hostage by these problems. This point was recently made clear by the Chinese ambassador to the United States, Cui Tiankai. We fully believe in the merits of his argument. The China-U.S. bilateral relationship has matured to a point where neither country can hurt the other without inflicting damage on itself. The line between cooperation and conflict, however, is constantly adjusting to reflect the dynamics of a fast-changing external environment and domestic politics. Regardless of how the line changes, though, each government has agreed – and should maintain this key position – that strengthening cooperation yields more benefits for all than does dwelling on diversions and friction points.


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