Yes, the forest fire index. Forest fire index is calculated by means of a model that describes moisture conditions in the top soil layer measuring about 6 centimeters in thickness. The input data for the model include precipitation and air temperature.
FMI has developed its own forest fire index algorithms in collaboration with rescue services. Forest fire indices are monitored routinely by the Safety Weather Service and in case of exceedence of certain threshold forest fire warning will be issued.
Relevant publications are listed in Appendix E below.
Yes, warm day = daily maximum temperature over 25 °C
Tropical night = minimum temperature during night over 20 °C.
FMI Safety Weather Service is responsible for issuing weather warnings on 24/7 basis. Heat wave and cold spell warnings have been available since 2011.
Yes, thresholds for precipitation (mainly for urban areas):
Heavy rain of long duration, warning limits, per 24 hours:
Awareness level 1: 50mm (yellow),
Awareness level 2: 70mm (orange) and
Awareness level 3: 120mm (red).
Downpour of short duration, warning limits, per hour:
Contact: Maria Hurtola. Email: maria.hurtola@fmi.fi. Phone: (+358) 29 5392220
France
Meteo France (MF)
In France, the concepts “heat wave” and “cold spell” are used to describe climate and weather events during which temperatures are abnormally warm or cold for a prolonged period of time.
In 2006, an operational method was created at national level to record heat waves using a national heat indicator (an average of 30 sets of data per day since 1947) based on the average temperature. It employs three thresholds (a threshold of 26°C above which a heat wave is identified, beginning/end dates which indicate the duration of an event, and an interval threshold of 20°C which enables two consecutive events to be grouped together).
This method was further developed in 2015 to incorporate parameters based on statistical distribution (99.5 percentile – 97.5 percentile and 95 percentile) so that it could be applied to all regional and local sets of data. These parameters are in line with the climate normal 1981-2010. The minimum duration of an event is five days (for further details see attached article.
Yes, a record of heat waves and cold spells has been available at national level in France since 1947 and is currently being validated at regional level.
MF monitors meteorological and agricultural droughts on the basis of the following standardized indices: the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) for precipitation, and the Standardized Soil Water Index (SSWI) for average soil moisture.
The work on the recording of heat waves and droughts has recently been published (see documents attached).
(Title/citation needed)
The new indices based on statistical distribution represent a standardized approach that can be applied to all climates in which heat waves or cold spells occur.
Heat waves and cold spells were incorporated into the weather monitoring system following the 2003 heat wave. However, the thresholds at which warnings are issued are established on the basis of criteria that are not only related to climate but also to consequences for health.
No standard indices for reporting on extremely heavy rainfall. Instead, the area of rainfall episodes that is above an isohyet contour is used.
Also, regionally, thresholds based on climatology are set.
Yes, annually: for the needs of the Annual Bulletin on the Climate in WMO Region VI, and seasonally: for the needs of the Climate Outlook Forums of SEECOF and MedCOF.
Yes, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI).
References of scientific papers can be found at:
a. Proceedings of the International Conferences on Meteorology, Climatology and Atmospheric Physics (COMECAP), Hellenic Meteorological Society (www.emte.gr).
b. Academy of Athens (www.academyofathens.gr)
No.
Yes, warnings are issued from the National Forecasting Center of the HNMS with collaboration of the General Secretariat for Civil Protection.
Papers and reports related to extreme weather/climate events:
www.hko.gov.hk/publica/pubtn.htm
www.hko.gov.hk/publica/pubtnl.htm
www.hko.gov.hk/publica/pubreprint.htm
Other related scientific publication is listed in Appendix D below.
No.
While the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) does not operate a warning system specifically designed for heat wave or extended cold spell, it issues warnings when very hot or cold weather is expected regardless of the duration, be it one day or several days ahead. The expected duration of very hot or cold weather is mentioned in the warning announcement to alert the public of how long the situation will persist.
Following the publication made by Wu et al. (2015), the “Severity Index” combining the magnitude of different rainstorm attributes for quantifying the overall severity of rainstorms in Hong Kong was defined. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.1397/abstract
Major climate and record breaking events are reported in the monthly weather summary and annual weather of Hong Kong:
Monthly summaries:
www.hko.gov.hk/wxinfo/pastwx/mws/mws.htm
Annual summaries:
www.hko.gov.hk/wxinfo/pastwx/ywx.htm Relevant statistics of climate and weather events (e.g. very hot days, hot night, thunderstorm days, rain days, etc.) are also available online :
No, there is no specific definition, but multiple definitions below:
Heat wave:
- At least four days with Temperature>40°C.
- Temperature with two or three standard deviation above average.
Cold spell:
- A rapid fall in temperature within 24-hour (10°C lower than previous day),
- Temperature with two or three standard deviation below average.
Yes, IMO usually warns for heat waves or extended cold spells. The occurrences of heat waves and cold spells are also reported monthly and annually by the National Drought Warning and Monitoring Center (NDWMC).
The National Drought Warning and Monitoring Center (NDWMC) routinely monitor drought. The indices used are: SPI, SPEI, RDI, EDI, Decile, Rainfall and temperature anomalies and for agricultural drought: ASIS, NDVI, VHI, TCI, VCI, BT.
List of publications given in the appendix.
No.
Yes.
IMO used indices as defined in WMO-TD No. 1500. Some are: R20mm, R30mm, RR95pTOT, RR99pTOT.
National Drought Warning and Monitoring Center (NDWMC):
ndwmc.irimo.ir
National Climate Research Institute (CRI):
www.cri.ac.ir
Monthly, seasonal and annual climate summaries are available in the websites:
Iran Meteorological Organization: www.irimo.ir
Contact: Iman Babaeian. Email: i.babaeian@gmail.com, affairs.intl@gmail.com. Phone: (+98) 21 66070038
Japan
Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)
No specific definition of a heat wave or extended cold spell.
JMA provides weekly, monthly and seasonal monitoring reports on extreme climate events with brief descriptions of disastrous events in the world (including heat waves and cold spell). Especially, JMA pays attention to extremely high temperatures in summer and extremely low temperatures in winter in consideration of heat waves and cold spells and their impacts. In these monitoring reports, descriptions of disastrous events and their impacts are based on reports from the government authorities, the international organizations and the media.
JMA provides weekly, monthly and seasonal monitoring reports on extreme climate events with brief descriptions of disastrous events in the world (including heat waves and cold spell). These reports are based on the CLIMAT and SYNOP reports from NMHSs through the Global Telecommunication System (GTS) of WMO as well as reports from the government, the international organizations and the media.
Monthly and Seasonal Highlights on the Climate System to summarize the status and analysis of climate in Japan and world, climate system and oceanic condition:
JMA monitors the precipitation amount based on rain gauge observations over Japan and issues advisory information about light precipitation to draw attention of related fields such as agriculture and water resource management in appropriate cases. JMA uses percentile values of 7/14/28/42/56-day accumulated precipitation amount at the certain observation point and division-averaged precipitation amount accumulated over the past 10-day/one-month/three-month to classify the climate condition into five categories. For example, JMA classifies “significantly below normal” precipitation in the case a precipitation amount anomaly was lower than its 10th percentile.
However, JMA does not have any indices to use for monitoring drought.
Climate Change Monitoring Report
www.jma.go.jp/jma/en/NMHS/indexe_ccmr.html
No standard indices to use for the monitoring of heat waves or extended cold spells.
JMA uses percentile values of 7/14/28/42/56-day averaged temperature at the certain observation point and 10-day/one-month/three-month mean division-averaged temperature to classify the climate condition into five categories. For example, JMA classifies “significantly above normal” temperature in the case a temperature anomaly exceeded its 90th percentile and “significantly below normal” temperature in the case a temperature anomaly was lower than its 10th percentile.
JMA monitors the surface air temperature based on the surface observations over Japan and issues advisory information about high/low temperature to draw attention of related fields such as agriculture and public health in appropriate cases. Furthermore, “Early Warning Information on Extreme Weather” issues when a high probability (30% or more) of a very high or very low seven-day average temperature is predicted within two-weeks ahead.
JMA does not have any standard indices for reporting on extreme heavy rainfall.
JMA uses percentile values of 7/14/28/42/56-day accumulated precipitation amount at the certain observation point and division-averaged precipitation amount accumulated over the past 10-day/one-month/three-month to classify the climate condition into five categories. For example, JMA classifies “significantly above normal” precipitation in the case a precipitation amount anomaly exceeded than its 90th percentile. JMA provides weekly, monthly and seasonal monitoring reports on extreme climate events with brief descriptions of disastrous events in the world (including heavy rain). JMA also issues Monthly and Seasonal Highlights on the Climate System to summarize the status and analysis of climate in Japan and world, climate system and oceanic condition.
Yes. Heat wave: at least six consecutive days with Tmax > 90th percentile.
Cold wave: at least six consecutive days with Tmin<10th percentile.
No. Forecasts of heat or cold waves in accordance with the definition are not issued. Only short- and medium- range weather forecasts are made that indicate whether the temperature will rise or fall in relation to the observed air temperature.
Yes, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), the Selyaninov Hydro Thermal Coefficient (HTC) and the Shashko Moisture index (Md). See Appendix C below for the formulae.
Only the results of the monitoring are recorded. For example, data on the heat and cold wave indices are published in the Annual Bulletin of Climate Change Monitoring in Kazakhstan. An annual review of severe hydrometeorological phenomena is also compiled, which includes information on heavy rainfalls and droughts. Website: www.kazhydromet.kz
Other paper: S.S. Baisholanov and E.N. Mukanov, "The zoning and assessment of growing-season aridity in the Republic of Kazakhstan".
Yes. Warm Spell Duration Index: the total number of days during the year when the daily maximum temperature>90th percentile for at least six consecutive days.
Cold Spell Duration Index: the total number of days during the year when the daily minimum air temperature<10th percentile for at least six consecutive days.
Yes, severe weather warnings are issued if the forecast temperature is due to be higher (in the case of hot weather) or lower (in the case of cold spells) than a given limit, which is established for each region.
Heavy rain: at least 50mm/12hr or less, or in the case of mountainous regions and areas prone to mudflows, at least 30mm/12hr or less.
Heavy snow: at least 20mm of precipitation/12hr or less.
Yes, www.kazhydromet.kz
Yes, monthly bulletins with maps of temperature and precipitation anomalies. The Annual Bulletin of Climate Change Monitoring in Kazakhstan, provides information on: monthly, seasonal and annual anomalies of temperature and precipitation levels with assessment of the probability that those anomalies will not be exceeded; Long-term trends in monthly, seasonal and annual temperature and precipitation levels; Values of indices of extremes of temperature and precipitation; and the long-term trends in the those indices.
Yes, specific definition for the heat wave based on the following criteria:
The heat wave does not need to be considered until maximum temperature of a station reaches at least 40°C for plains and 35°C for high lands. It should persist for duration of at least 2 – 3 days :
b) When normal maximum temperature of a station is 35°C, 5°C- 7°C above normal is considered as a heat wave.
c) When actual maximum temperature remains 42°C or more regardless of normal maximum temperature, heat wave is declared.
Normal period used is 1961-1990.
No.
Yes, but it is done by the Drought Administration at the Ministry of Agriculture.
Link to technical reports: sds-was.aemet.es/materials/technical-reports/technical-reports
Link to the paper: sds-was.aemet.es/materials/technical-reports/SDSWASNAMEE2015001SDS_LIBYA.pdf
No.
Yes. Through radio and TV weather forecast information.
No.
No website for reporting extreme events. The routine climate summaries are lacking from sustainability and development.
Contact: Ali S. Eddenjal. Email: welcomemohabdo@gmail.com. Phone: (+218) 92 6967283
Mexico
Heat wave: high temperatures persisting more than four consecutive days. The same applies in the case of low temperatures (a cold spell), where the threshold depends on geographical region.
The threshold for the high and low temperatures over a 24-hour period is based on values exceeding return periods of one, five, 10 and 20 years. These return periods are calculated with a resolution of 0.2° longitude x 0.2° latitude over continental Mexico.
Yes.
The principal Mexican drought monitoring tool (MSM) is based on the North American Drought Monitoring (NADM) methodology, which comprises a set of various indicators, including the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), rainfall deviations from the norm as a percentage, a Vegetation Health Index (VHI) which measures vegatation stress levels by means of observed radiance, the CPC-NOAA Leaky Bucket Soil Moisture Model, which estimates soil moisture using a one-layer hydrological model, and a further set of various vegetation, temperature and water availability indices.
Yes. Most of these are case studies or special reports for the journals of Mexican specialized institutions. Mexico’s monthly climate report, summarizing the main events affecting the country and the recent state of the climate, appears in the climate section of the Internet portal, issued monthly and annually.
Each year, the National Meteorological Service contributes to the American Meteorological Society "State of Climate" report, publishing relevant aspects of Mexico’s climate.
No.
Yes. In the form of general weather forecast bulletins, frost warnings through press releases, video, radio, TV, interviews and twitter.
Currently the CAP (Common Alerting Protocol) is implemented for weather events such as tropical cyclones and cold fronts; It is intended that this is to be extended for heat waves and cold spells.
Accumulated rainfall over 24 hours is classified as follows:
• Heavy rain: from 25.1-50mm.
• Very heavy rain: from 50.1-75mm.
• Intense rain: from75.l-150mm.
• Torrential rain: from 150.1-250mm.
• Exceptional rainfall: in excess of 250 mm.
For extreme events and climate summaries:
smn.conagua.gob.mx.
For climate summaries go to: Climate section >> Mexican Climate Report.
Heat wave: two or more consecutive days with Tmax> 7-8oC than the Normal condition (1961-1990) in two Regions or two States.
Cold wave is typically defined as two or more consecutive days where the daily minimum temperature falls 7 deg C to 8 deg C than the Normal condition (1961-1990) in two Regions or two States.
Yes.
Rainfall categorization is done according to percent to normal in a dekadal time scale. Above normal is when > 20% of normal, and below normal is when <20% of normal.
If rainfall is three consecutive dekad below normal, then the third dekad can be defined as first period of drought. If this below normal condition is continued to the following dekad, then the fourth dekad is defined as second period of drought, etc.
No.
No.
Yes.
Heavy rain>3 inches/24hr (76mm/24hr) valid for almost part of the whole country, except for the dry zone areas in central Myanmar, where rain> 1.5 inches/24hr (38mm/24hr) is considered as extreme.
Yes, for extreme events and climate summaries: Yes, www.dmh.gov.mm.
Basic threshold in use for heavy rainfall is defined as 50mm/24hr. During the forecasting process different indices are used for heavy rainfall at 1 hour to 3 hour intervals.
Yes, www.meteona.com.
Contact: Simon Andre Dirkse. Email: simondirkse@gmail.com. Phone: (+264) 61 2877012
Netherlands
KNMI
Persistent heat: four or more days with Tmax>27oC.
Heat wave : At least 5 days with Tmax>25oC where minimum 3 days have Tmax>30oC.
No.
Yes, by the National Water Distribution Committee (LCW). Indicators used for drought are derived from river discharge, groundwater levels and evaporation surplus.
Yes, www.knmi.nl.
Yes, from the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIMV).
Yes, starting October 2015.
Rain>75-100mm/24hr.
For extreme events and climate monitoring : www.knmi.nl.
Contact: Gerard van der Steenhoven. Email: prnetherlands@knmi.nl.
New Zealand
No specific definition of a heat wave or extended cold spell.
Yes, extended periods of heat and/or cold are reported on in NIWA’s monthly climate summaries, however these are included on a subjective basis, as opposed to utilizing a quantitative/qualitative definition of heat waves and cold spells.
Yes. Soil moisture deficit, soil moisture anomaly, Standardized Precipitation Index (1 & 2 months), rainfall deciles (monthly and 3-monthly), Potential Evapotranspiration Deficit accumulation. Examples: www.niwa.co.nz/climate/nz-drought-monitor/droughtindicatormaps Indices used to monitor drought are station-specific CDD (Consecutive Dry Days with < 1mm of rain), SPI, and significant and extreme soil moisture deficit (>110mm and>130mm deficit, respectively).
On drought: - www.niwa.co.nz/sites/niwa.co.nz/files/2013-18-The%202012-13%20drought%20an%20assessment%20and%20historical%20perspective.pdf and www.niwa.co.nz/sites/niwa.co.nz/files/slmacc_drought_sldr093_june2011.pdf
No.
No. At present, heat waves are not a major consideration in New Zealand, as very hot temperatures (e.g. > 35°C) are very uncommon, and typically short-lived (i.e. lasting one or two days at a time). Cold spell occurrence is similarly rare, and their severity are relatively minor (temperatures < -10°C are very uncommon in New Zealand settlements). As such, no dedicated heat wave/cold spell warning service exists.
Rain>50mm/6hr or 100mm/24hr covering an area of 1000 square kilometres or more, or rainfall intensity exceeding 25mm/hr hour for severe thunderstorm warnings.
See metservice.com/warnings/weather-warning-criteria.
Extreme events and their impacts are reported in NIWA’s monthly climate summaries. NIWA also operates a web-based service called the ‘High Intensity Rainfall Design System’ (www.hirds.niwa.co.nz) which is used to evaluate the rarity of heavy rainfalls.
Annual indices are reported to WMO, at a subset of better-quality stations. These are:
Annual total wet-day rainfall (PRCPTOT), - only counts days with >= 1mm,
Annual count of heavy rain days (days with rain > 25mm) (R25),
Annual maximum 1-day rain total (RX1DAY),
Annual maximum 5-day rain total (RX5DAY),
Extreme wet-day rainfall (the size of the top 4 rain events per year, in fact sum of daily rain if daily rain exceeds long-term 99th percentile), (R99).
Contact: Gregor Macara. Email: gregor.macara@niwa.co.nz. Phone: (+64) 3 3860509
Peru
A heat wave is defined as a rise in temperatures in the rainforest for a minimum period of two days. Cold spells can occur in both mountainous and rainforest regions. In the mountains, a cold spell is defined as a decrease in temperatures following the arrival of a cold air mass from the Pacific associated with a trough of low pressure and usually lasting at least two days. In the rainforest, a cold spell is referred to as “el friaje”; it involves a polar air mass moving northeast and sometimes reaching the northern rainforest. It can last a minimum of three days as it moves from the southern to the northern rainforest.
Yes. In the form of warnings, issued four or five days in advance for cold spells and two or three days in advance for heat waves.
Yes, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) on various time scales (1, 3, 6, and 12 months).
Yes. Studies on significant meteorological events: www.senamhi.gob.pe/?p=0702. Reports on monitoring and forecasting:
Example on Weekly Rainfall Bulletin (Boletín semanal de lluvias) and Synoptic Monitoring of South America and its Outlook (Vigilancia Sinóptica de Sudamérica y su perspectiva) available from www.senamhi.gob.pe/?p=0701
No indices defined for both events.
Warnings for heat waves and extended cold spells (“friajes” and temperature drops in the mountains) are issued as part of weather warnings and are published on the website.
The 90th, 95th and 99th percentiles are used to report extremely heavy rainfall. This allows us to form a depiction of daily precipitation.
The RX1day index is used (maximum 1-day precipitation amount, measuring the monthly maximum 1-day precipitation amount in mm), which is also used in climate change studies.
Monthly National Climate Bulletin/“Boletín Climático Nacional” www.senamhi.gob.pe/?p=0701
Contact:
Philippines
No. Heat wave and cold spell is not common in the Philippines.
No.
Two indices are used: percent to normal and the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI).
Cinco T.A. et al. (2014): Long-term trends and extremes in observed daily precipitation and near surface air temperature in the Philippines for the period 1951–2010, Atmospheric Research doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.03.025
No.
No.
Percentile rank for wettest events (99th percentile), for the period 1951-present.
For drought: www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Monthly and annual climate statistics are produced, but not published in the website.
Contact: Rosalina G. de Guzman. Email: rdeguzmanph@yahoo.com. Phone: (+63) 632 4342698
Thailand
No, TMD doesn’t have specific definition of heat wave or extended cold spell.
Yes, TMD routinely report the occurrence consecutive cold days and very cold days.
Yes. Standardize Precipitation Index (SPI), Soil Moisture Index (SMI), Moisture Available Index (MAI), Generalized Monsoon Index (GMI) and precipitation deciles.
Several examples of report on extreme events: Trends of extremes indices in daily air temperature and rainfall over Thailand www.tmd.go.th/info/Rclimdex_yuwadee%202555.pdf,
GMI drought monitoring and annual report of Rainy Season of Thailand.
www.tmd.go.th/climate/climate.php?FileID=10
No, but TMD monitor and report daily minimum temperature during cool and cold days.
Yes, TMD has warning service for cold and very cold days during winter period only.
Yes, TMD reports maximum 24hr rainfall in monthly and annual time periods.
RClimdex is used for the 1951-2012 rainfall data. (unclear)
No, TMD doesn’t have a website for reporting information on extreme climate events.
But TMD produce routine monthly summaries www.tmd.go.th/en/climate.php?FileID=4, annual and seasonal summaries www.tmd.go.th/en/climate.php?FileID=5
Yes. Abnormally hot weather: During the period from April to September, the Tave > the climate norm by 7°C for 5 days or longer.
Abnormally cold weather: During the period from October to March, Tave<7°C for 5 days or longer.
The definitions are given in RD 52.27.724-2009. (Manual on general purpose short-term weather forecasts,
meteoinfo.ru/media/books-docs/nast2009.pdf.)
Information on the occurrence of heat waves and extended cold spells is transmitted in the "Storm" telegrams (for the phenomena lasting 5 days or more).
The All-Russia Research Institute for Agricultural Meteorology (ARRIAM) (Obninsk) operates the Centre for Drought Monitoring www.cxm.obninsk.ru/index.php7id-154).
Decadal drought monitoring data is also presented on the website of the North-Eurasian Climate Centre
seakc.meteoinfo.ru/climatemonitoring.
For drought monitoring a number of aridity indexes are in use:
1) Selyaninov's Hydrothermal Coefficient (HTC);
2) Shashko's Moisture Indicator (Md);
3) Protserov's Moisture Indicator (V, %);
4) Number of days with Relative Humidity <30% (N0);
5) Number of days with a maximum air temperature> 30 °C (Nr);
6) Amount of productive moisture in the soil layer of 0-20 em under winter crops, early summer crops and late spring crops (W0-20);
7) Amount of productive moisture in the soil layer of 0-50 em under winter crops, early summer crops and late spring crops (W0-50);
8) Amount of productive moisture in the. soil layer of 0-100 em under winter, early sununer and late spring crops (W0-100).
A detailed description of the indices in use is provided on the website of the North-Eurasian Climate Centre: seakc.meteoinfo.ru/climatemonitoring.
Reports and reviews on the monitoring of hydrometeorological events, including extreme: www.meteorf.ru/product/climat/, official websites of the Hydrometeorological Centre of Russia
www.meteoinfo.ru/climate, the Institute of Global Climate and Ecology (IGCE)
www.igce.mlcategorv/informacionnve-produktv-obzorv-doklady-i-dr, and the Research Institute for Hydrometeorological Information-World Data Centre (RIHMI-WDC)
meteo.ru/pogoda-i-klimat A detailed review of existing publications is given in: (Roshydromet’s 2nd Assessment Report on Climate Change and its Impacts in the Russian Federation) downloacls.igce.ru/publications/OD22014/v2014/htm/l.htm.
News of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Physics of the Atmosphere and the Ocean), vol. 47, No. 6 (special issue devoted to the summer of 2010).
No.
Warnings about heat waves and cold spells are posted on the official website of the Hydrometeorological Centre of Russia along with other prognostic information in the section Forecast of hazardous and adverse events in Russia :
www.Meteoinfo.ru/hazardsbull, and in the section Emergency
Information: www.meteoinfo.ru/extrainfopage.
According to RD 52.88.699-2008
(Regulations on the actions of institutions and organizations in case of threat of the emergence and occurrence of natural hazards), the following terms are used in Russia to determine the extreme heavy rainfall: heavy rain, very heavy rain (very heavy sleet, very heavy wet snow, very heavy snow with rain), very heavy snow. The criteria of hazardous events are set by the territorial authority for the territory it serves taking into account the 10% recurrence values of meteorological parameters.
Heavy rain: heavy showers with the amount of precipitation>30mm over the period of not more than 1 hour.
Very heavy rain: considerable wet or mixed precipitation (rain, torrential rain, sleet, wet snow) with the ammmt of precipitation of at least 50 mm (in shower/mudflow-prone mountain areas- 30mm) over a period of no more than 12 hours.
Very heavy snow: considerable solid precipitation (snow, snow showers) with the amount of precipitation of at least 20mm over a period of no more than 12 hours.
Forecast of expected severe weather:
www.meteorf.ru/product/emergency
Review of extreme climate events on RIHMI-WDC site:
Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia (RHMSS)
Three definition for heat wave:
First: 5 consecutive days of Tmax>5.1 degrees above the long term Tmax average for climate standard normal period (1961-1990, 1971-2000, 1981-2010) for all 28 main meteorological stations.
Second: 5 consecutive days of Tmax exceeding the 90th percentile value.
Third: based on WHO recommendation on specific temperature threshold influencing health, criteria of heat wave for each of the 28 municipalities in Serbia that unfavorably affects the health, thresholds for Tmax have been defined which should last for three or more consecutive days.
For cold spell similar definition is used according to Tmin.
Yes, in the form of daily advisory bulletin informing heat wave or cold wave.
Also heat wave and cold waves are summarized in monthly, seasonal and annual bulletins.
Yes, Standardized Precipitation Index on multiple timescale (1, 2, 3, 6, and 12 months), and potential evaporation.
DMSCEE project reports for drought monitoring and forecasts
www.dmscee.org.
Yes, two indices are used: warm-spell duration index (WSDI) and cold-spell duration index (CSDI).
Yes, Meteoalarm on RHMSS web page, as well as sending emails and SMS to ministries and other end users based on short range forecast.
Weekly Climate Watch Bulletins are issued based on monthly and seasonal forecasts.
Yes, all indices defined by ETCCDI expert team are used. The indices are applied for different time scales according to specific analyses and end-users needs.
No, due to small daily temperature range. Work is in progress in developing a definition of heat wave in Singapore, due to increasing trends in mean temperature, warm days and warm nights.
No.
Yes. Drought defined as period of 15 consecutive days with total rainfall below 0.2mm for more than two thirds of the country.
Yes. Past climate trends www.weather.gov.sg/climate-past-climatetrends/
A detailed analysis of the observed climate trends is available on
Yes. Prolonged monsoon heavy rain: rainfall exceeding 20mm/hr lasting more than 6 hours. Short duration heavy rain: rainfall exceeding 50mm in an hour.
Yes. Historical extremes: www.weather.gov.sg/climate-historical-extremes/. Monthly rainfall and temperature information: www.weather.gov.sg/climate-detailed-view/. Annual climate report is available at www.weather.gov.sg/climate-annualclimate-reports/
No specific definition of heat wave or extended cold spell.
Yes, SHMI reports in the time of expectance or occurrence of heat wave or extended cold spell.
Yes, since March 2015. Indices used: SPI, SPEI, CMI, and Palmer Z-index. www.shmu.sk/sk/?page=2049&id=637
Monitoring of drought: www.vupop.sk/dokumenty/vedecke_prace_2010.pdf
Heat wave: At least two or more tropical days (Tmax≥ 30 deg) or tropical nights (Tmin≥20 deg). Cold spell: At least two or more artic days (Tmin≤-10 deg).
Yes, SMHI has warning service for heat waves. SHMI issues warnings in 3 levels of heat ave intensity www.shmu.sk/sk/?page=987, taking into account recommendations of project EMMA (Meteoalarm).
No specific indices but SHMI uses 40 mm and more for daily sum and Wussow criteria for heavy rains for 5 – 360 minutes.
Reports on extreme climate events: www.shmu.sk/sk/?page=1
Monthly and annual climate summaries:
www.shmu.sk/sk/?page=1613
www.shmu.sk/sk/?page=1614
Contact: Pavel Šťastný. Email: pavel.stastny@shmu.sk. Phone: (+421) 2 59415359
Switzerland
Not in climatological sense, but the Heat Index which combines temperature and humidity is used for operations.
Yes, in monthly climate bulletin and annual climate report.
Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evaporation Index (SPEI), and Agricultural Reference Index for Drought (ARID).
Yes. Dog days: days on which the temperature exceeds 30°C.
Tropical nights: days on which the temperature does not dip below 20° C.
Icy days: days on which the temperature remains below 0° C.
Yes, warnings for heat waves and freezing of the ground (during spring time).
Warning levels depends on the Heat Index and the duration for the event. Warning levels explained in: www.meteoswiss.admin.ch/home/weather/hazards/explanation-of-the-danger-levels/heat-wave.html, while heat index is defined as in: www.nws.noaa.gov/om/heat/heat_index.shtml.
Very heavy precipitation days: rain>20mm/day. Precipitation on very wet days: rain>95th percentile. Maximum number of consecutive wet days: rain>=1mm/day.
Yes, for extreme events: www.meteoschweiz.admin.ch/home/aktuell/meteoschweiz-blog.html and for monthly climate bulletin, seasonal climate bulletin, annual climate bulletin, annual climate report: www.meteoschweiz.admin.ch/home/service-und-publikationen/publikationen.html
Contact: Christoph Schmutz. Email: christoph.schmutz@meteoswiss.ch. Phone: (+41) 58 4609593
Tanzania
No.
No.
Yes, index used are percent to mean, and standardized drought index, applied on dekadal (10 days) scale.
None on the web at the moment, but process is ongoing.
No.
No heat wave or cold spell events have ever been observed.
Yes, rainfall > 50mm in 24 hours.
Extreme events and climate summaries in www.meteo.go.tz.
Contact: -
Tunisia
Tmax values to warn against potential heat wave:
Interior regions: 39-40 °C, plus or minus 0.5 to 1 °C.
Coastal regions: 36-37 °C, plus or minus 0.5 to 1 °C.
Heat wave criteria is 3 consecutive days of Tmax > Q3 (third quartile).
No definitions for cold spells.
No.
Yes (through the relevant Ministry of Agriculture departments).
Indices:
• Rainfall (Amount and relation to average).
• Water volumes in reservoirs.
• Groundwater levels.
Yes, internal working documents.
No.
No.
Yes. Rainfall intensity (IDF curves): based on maximum rainfall intensities relating to different return periods considered to be standard indices of extreme rainfall. These indices cover the period 1970-1990 (for all main stations) and some stations have updated information covering the period up to 2010.
Extreme climate events:
www.meteo.tn,
page: Regional Climate Centre RCC-RA I (currently in testing phase).
Monthly and decennial report published in printed format.
Heat wave, in winter: a large body of rising warm air, in summer: a seasonal thermal depression. Cold spells are associated with a polar trough (a flow of cold air from the north-east).
A decrease (or increase) in air temperature of 10°С or more within 24 hours: strong cooling (or warming); intense heat (temperatures of between +35°С and +40°С) or intense cold (between –30°С and –35°С). Heat or cold wave warnings with a lead time of between 24 and 48 hours.
Yes. Information is issued for periods between one and ten days.
The following indices are used for drought monitoring:
Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and the Hydrothermal Coefficient (HTC).
In Ukraine regular drought monitoring is carried out by the organizations of the hydrometeorological service. It includes: the collection, processing, aggregation, classification and analysis of information; the drafting of recommendations and expert findings; and the provision of information to various users.
No.
No.
Yes, for heat and cold wave warnings with a lead time of between 24 and 48 hours.
No.
Yes, on www.meteo.gov.ua. Monthly and annual overviews of weather conditions are prepared.
There is no definition of ‘heat wave’ across the UK (England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland).
England has a ‘Heat Wave Plan’: www.gov.uk/government/publications/heatwave-plan-for-england for further details, noting that the definitions/thresholds used differ from the WMO definition.
The UK has a cold weather payment scheme, details at www.gov.uk/cold-weather-payment
England has a cold weather plan available at www.gov.uk/government/publications/cold-weather-plan-for-england-2014.
The Met Office tends to adopt the WMO definition of a heat wave: “when Tmax of more than five consecutive days exceeds the average maximum temperature by 5C”. Note on limitations: there can technically be heat wave in winter with relatively low temperatures.
Yes, advice to several levels of governments, and emergency responders are provided. Other than that temperature forecasts through our Public Weather Service, and support heat and cold episodes with blogs, press releases etc.
Yes, in the form of cumulative rainfall over periods which are critical to the resilience of the water resources system across greater than 100 catchments across England. This involves assessing n-month totals in relation to their probability of occurrence against historical datasets. Seven categories are used from exceptionally low/high, notably low/high, below/above normal, normal. The exceptionally low category has a probability of 0.05.
The Standardized Precipitation Index can also be used on these hydrological catchments to set the context of the current situation.
Blogs and general summaries of spells of severe weather:
List of samples of publications given in Appendix B below.
Respective information is available in the links given above.
Yes, for England only in the form of ‘Heat Health Alerts’ and ‘Cold Weather Watches’, but no official ‘warnings’.
As we provide impact based warnings, we do not issue warnings or forecasts for a certain amount of rainfall in a certain time period. However, we do issue that type of information through the Flood Forecasting Centre to the English Environment Agency as part of the hydromet guidance.
Routine reports from National Climate Information Centre publishes this information at www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries
Contact: Jane Wardle. Email: ukpr@metoffice.gov.uk. Phone: (+44) 1392 886807
USA
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
There are a variety of proposed definitions that depend on the duration of the anomaly from climatology, some with and without the effects of moisture, but nothing official. However, the National Weather Service (NWS) issues Heat and Cold Advisories and Warnings based on the impact to human health. These warning criteria vary spatially.
No. (?)
The U.S. monitors drought on a weekly basis through the U.S. Drought Monitor. The monitor is produced through a partnership between the National Drought Mitigation Center, the U.S. Department of Agriculture, and NOAA. The product characterizes drought into 5 categories beginning at DO (abnormally dry) through D4 (exceptional drought). Many tools are used to determine the subjective determination of drought, including products providing information on current conditions related to precipitation, streamflow, soil moisture, looking over extended periods of time.
www.drought.gov/drought/
www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/drought/201506
The Heat Index and Wind Chill are the elements which warnings are based on. However, more generalized indexes of the intensity of a regional heat wave or cold spells are not standardized.
Yes. The excessive heat warning and the wind chill warning are official NWS products widely communicated by the American Weather Enterprise.
No. However, there is a database of precipitation frequency for numerous locations. For example, defining what a 1 in 100 year rainfall event is. See:
Contact: Mike Halpert. Email: mike.halpert@noaa.gov.
Uzbekistan
Uzhydromet
Uzhydromet defines the anomalous hot weather”: TAve>7 degrees above normal for 5 or more consecutive days (applies to Apr-Sep). While the “anomalous cold weather”: TAve<7 below normal for 5 consecutive days or more (applies to Oct-Mar).
Yes, when anomalous hot or cold weather are expected.
Yes, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Ped’s Drought Index.
A publication with the title Profile of climate risks in Uzbekistan is available.
Drought bulletins are available from the Drought Management Center.
Publications are available from climatechange.uz.
No.
Yes, when anomalous hot or cold weather are expected, warnings are issued indicating the period of the expected anomalous event.
No.
Extreme climate events: climatechange.uz.
Review of monthly weather conditions is printed and distributed to interested users.
A review of weather conditions during the warm period (Apr-Sep) and the cold period (Oct-Mar) is prepared annually.
This review is sent to North Eurasia Climate Centre (NEACC), and published on the website: seaks.meteoinfo.ru.
Uzhydromet information is used to prepare reports on the status and trends of climate change on the territory of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) for each season, for consolidated annual reports on the status of climate and climate change. Those reports are also published on the NEACC website above.
Contact: I. B. Zaytseva. Email: zaytseva@meteo.uz. Phone: (+998) 71 237 35 11
(Bolivarian Republic of) Venezuela
Reference from the Guide to Public Weather Services Practices (WMO-No. 834) is used as a point of reference for defining a heat wave or an extended cold spell. It states that the heat index is a measure of how hot it feels when the effects of humidity are combined with the temperature.
Anomalous high termperatures considered as heat wave during dry season from Dec-Apr are continuously monitored. When these situations occurred authorities and the public are kept informed.
Yes, the Standardized Precipitation Index on multiple time scales: 1, 3, 6, 12, 24 and 48 months.
SPI maps are produced twice a year since 1969.
Caracterización de la Sequía Meteorológica en los llanos Centro Orientales de Venezuela para el manejo Integral de los Recursos Hídricos 2007 [Characterization of Meteorological Drought in the Central Eastern plains of Venezuela for the Comprehensive Management of Water Resources 2007], using the SPI.
No particular regulation is adopted, but however for heat wave monitoring, the heat index system formulated by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is used as a guide.
Reports are made when anomalies are observed in relation to normal conditions.
-
Information on extreme events, routine reports are on the website: