Armenian Railways: Five Year Business Plan


Table 8 Base Case: Transportation CJSC, Passenger Line of Business



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Table 8
Base Case: Transportation CJSC, Passenger Line of Business
(AMD Millions)







Projected




2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005






















Operating Revenue



















Freight revenue

0

0

0

0

0

0

Passenger revenue

141

156

169

183

198

214

Other revenue

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total

141

156

169

183

198

214






















Operating Expenses



















Payroll

98

101

104

110

112

114

Social insurance

27

28

29

31

31

32

Materials

4

4

4

4

4

4

Fuel

11

11

12

12

12

12

Electric power supply

27

28

29

29

30

31

Depreciation

20

20

20

19

19

19

Other

150

154

159

164

168

172

Total

337

345

357

370

376

385






















Payment to Rollingstock JSC

832

879

922

959

982

1028

Payment to Infrastructure JSC

716

728

742

754

763

776

Wagon hire (net)








































Bad debt (on current year's revenue)

0

0

0

0

0

0

Bad debt (on prior year's revenue)

0

0

0

0

0

0






















Total Operating Expenses

1886

1952

2020

2083

2121

2189






















Operating Income

(1745)

(1796)

(1851)

(1899)

(1923)

(1975)



Table 9
Base Case: Transportation CJSC, Freight Line of Business
(AMD Millions)







Projected




2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005






















Operating Revenue



















Freight revenue

4098

4480

4842

5250

5684

6158

Passenger revenue

0

0

0

0

0

0

Other revenue

301

329

355

385

417

452

Total

4398

4809

5197

5635

6101

6609






















Operating Expenses



















Payroll

127

135

143

156

166

176

Social insurance

36

38

40

44

46

49

Materials

5

5

5

5

5

5

Fuel

15

15

16

16

16

17

Electric power supply

35

36

38

39

41

42

Depreciation

26

26

26

26

26

26

Other

196

203

212

220

229

237

Total

440

458

479

507

530

553






















Payment to Rollingstock JSC

2124

2331

2521

2744

2995

3271

Payment to Infrastructure JSC

916

988

1066

1158

1267

1384

Wagon hire (net)

376

373

371

369

368

367






















Bad debt (on current year's revenue)

82

90

97

105

114

123

Bad debt (on prior year's revenue)

95

19

0

0

0

0






















Total Operating Expenses

4034

4259

4534

4884

5273

5697






















Operating Income

364

550

664

751

828

912


Table 10
Base Case: Transportation CJSC, Balance Sheet, (AMD Millions)







Actual

Projected

As of 31 December

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

ASSETS














































Current Assets






















Cash and short term financial instruments

59.5

(557.0)

(1492.9)

(2345.7)

(3122.2)

(3826.1)

(4488.5)

Accounts Receivable






















For Passenger Service




12.3

13.7

14.8

16.1

17.4

18.8

For Freight Service




454.7

496.6

536.2

580.8

628.2

679.9

Other




34.6

37.8

40.9

44.3

48.0

52.0

Total Accounts Receivable

469.7

501.7

548.1

591.9

641.2

693.6

750.7

Inventories, Goods in Process, Other

63.4

63.1

65.1

67.6

70.1

72.3

74.6

Total Current Assets

592.6

7.7

(879.7)

(1686.1)

(2411.0)

(3060.2)

(3663.2)

























Long Term Assets






















Property, Plant & Equipment






















Original Cost

1065.5

1065.5

1065.5

1065.5

1065.5

1065.5

1065.5

Accumulated Depreciation

374.4

419.8

465.2

510.6

556.0

601.4

646.8

Net Property Plant & Equipment

691.0

645.6

600.2

554.8

509.4

464.0

418.7

Capital Construction Projects in Process

25.5

25.5

25.5

25.5

25.5

25.5

25.5

Long Term Investments

16.8

16.8

16.8

16.8

16.8

16.8

16.8

Total Long Term Assets

733.3

687.9

642.5

597.1

551.7

506.3

460.9

























Total Assets

1325.9

695.6

(237.2)

(1089.0)

(1859.3)

(2553.9)

(3202.2)

























LIABILITIES & EQUITY














































Liabilities














































Current Liabilities






















Short Term Loans

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Accounts payable

786.5

1050.1

1112.5

1174.0

1243.6

1316.6

1400.9

Other

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Total Current Liabilities

786.5

1050.1

1112.5

1174.0

1243.6

1316.6

1400.9

























Long Term Liabilities






















Long Term Loans

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Other

0.0

157.3

78.7

23.6

2.4

0.0

0.0

Total Long Term Liabilities

0.0

157.3

78.7

23.6

2.4

0.0

0.0

























Total Liabilities

786.5

1207.5

1191.1

1197.6

1245.9

1316.6

1400.9

























Equity














































Capital

568.7

568.7

568.7

568.7

568.7

568.7

568.7

























Retained Earnings






















Beginning balance

0.0

(29.3)

(1080.6)

(1997.0)

(2855.4)

(3674.0)

(4439.2)

plus net income (loss)

(29.3)

(1051.2)

(916.5)

(858.3)

(818.6)

(765.2)

(732.7)

less dividends paid

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Ending balance

(29.3)

(1080.6)

(1997.0)

(2855.4)

(3674.0)

(4439.2)

(5171.9)

























Total Equity

539.4

(511.8)

(1428.3)

(2286.6)

(3105.2)

(3870.5)

(4603.1)

























Total Liabilities & Equity

1325.9

695.6

(237.2)

(1089.0)

(1859.3)

(2553.9)

(3202.2)



Table 11
Base Case: Transportation CJSC, Cash Flow, (AMD Millions)







Projected




2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005






















Operating Activities








































Net Income

(1,051)

(916)

(858)

(819)

(765)

(733)






















Add back expenses not requiring cash



















Depreciation

45

45

45

45

45

45

Loss on retirement of excess assets

0

0

0

0

0

0






















Change in accounts receivable (reduction is source of cash)

(32)

(46)

(44)

(49)

(52)

(57)






















Change in prepaid assets, inventories & other short term assets (reduction is source)

0

(2)

(3)

(2)

(2)

(2)






















Change in long term assets other than property plant & equipment(reduction is source)

0

0

0

0

0

0






















Change in current accounts payable & other short term liabilities (increase is source of cash)

264

62

62

70

73

84






















Change in accounts payable older than one year (increase is a source of cash)

157

(79)

(55)

(21)

(2)

0






















Total Operating Activities

(617)

(936)

(853)

(777)

(704)

(662)











































Investing Activities








































Capital Investments

0

0

0

0

0

0











































Financing Activities








































Changes in Loans & Credits (increase is source of cash)

0

0

0

0

0

0






















Changes in Capital (increase is souce of cash)

0

0

0

0

0

0






















Dividend Payments (use of cash)

0

0

0

0

0

0






















Total Financing Activities

0

0

0

0

0

0






















Total Sources and Uses

(617)

(936)

(853)

(777)

(704)

(662)






















Cash at beginning of period

59

(557)

(1,493)

(2,346)

(3,122)

(3,826)






















Cash at end of period

(557)

(1,493)

(2,346)

(3,122)

(3,826)

(4,488)

























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