Election Disadvantage 1
Uniqueness 2
Obama Wins 1NC 3
Obama Win – 60%-55% 4
Obama Win – Approval Rating 5
Obama Win – Electoral Votes 8
Obama Win – Halloway Prediction 9
Obama Win – Latinos 10
Obama Win – Swing States 11
Election is a Dead Heat 12
Obama Lose – Economy 13
Obama Lose – Latino Turnout 15
Romney Win – Fundraisers 16
Romney Win – Likely Voters 17
Romney Win – Momentum 18
Romney Winning Swing States 19
AT: Gay Marriage 20
October Surprise – Iran Strikes Cause Obama to Lose 21
October Surprise – Iran Strikes Cause Obama to Win 22
Uniqueness Prodicts 23
Election Markets Best 24
Favorability Polls Best 26
Gallup Poll Best 27
Lichtman Best 28
AT: Lichtman 29
National Polls Best 30
Polls Accurate 31
Polls Inaccurate 32
Rasmussen/Survey USA Best 35
Rasmussen Biased 37
AT: Pew Research Center 38
Links 38
Transportation 1NC 39
Generic Transportation Links 40
Generic – No New Infrastructure 43
Generic – Spending 44
Generic – Transportation Spending 45
Generic – Talking Points 2NC 47
Gas Tax Link 2NC 49
Ext – Transportation Spending = Gas Tax 50
Ext – Gas Tax Unpopular 52
Ext – Gas Tax Outweighs Public Support for Infrastructure 53
Link Shield – Public Distrust 54
Link Shield – Public Priorities 55
Link Shield – Cannot Spur Voters 56
Link Booster – Pork Barrel Spending 57
High Speed Rail Links 58
High Speed Rail – Link Shield 61
Highways Links 62
Keystone Links 63
Ext – Keystone Kills Environmentalist Support 64
Mass Transit Links 65
Port Security Links 67
Public-Private Partnership Links 68
AT: No Link – Not Congress 69
AT: Link Turn – Plan is a Win (Jobs) 70
Internal Links 70
Economy Key 71
Economy Key – Outweighs Partisan Issues 72
AT: Economy Outweighs Other Issues 73
Independent Voters – Romney Winning 74
Independent Voters Key 75
Independent Voters Key – Uniqueness Trick 77
Independent Voters Key – Economy Issues 78
Independent Voters Key – Likely to Switch 80
Independent Voters Key – Swing States 81
Independents Key – Arizona 83
Independents Key – Colorado 84
Independents Key – Iowa 85
Independents Key – Pennsylvania 86
Partisanship Kills Obama 87
Rural Voters Key 88
Women Voters – Pro-Obama Now 91
Young Voters Key 93
Young Vote Key – Close Election 96
Young Voters Not Key 97
Obama Good (Domestic) 97
Turns Case – Transportation Spending 98
Ext – Obama Will Increase Transportation Spending 99
Ext – GOP Rollbacks Transportation Spending 100
Economy 2NC 101
Economy – Foreign Tax Exemption 2NC 102
Economy – Tax Cuts 2NC 103
Ext – Tax Cuts Hurt Economy 104
Ext – Romney Kills Jobs 106
Ext – Romney Kills the Economy 108
Economy – Obama Policy Good 110
Cap and Trade 2NC 112
Ext – Romney Kills Cap and Trade 114
EPA 2NC 115
Ext – Romney Will Rollback EPA Regulations 116
EPA Regulations Good – Climate 117
EPA Regulations Good – Economy 119
Ethanol Subsidies 2NC 120
NASA 2NC 121
Obamacare 2NC 124
Ext – Obama Key to Obamacare 125
Ext – Romney Kills Obamacare 127
Obamacare Good – Economy 129
Obamacare Good – Disease 130
Obama Good (Foreign Policy) 130
China Bashing 2NC 131
Ext – Romney Leads to China Bashing 132
Turns Soft Power 133
Trade War Bad – US/China War 134
Trade War Bad – China Economy 2NC 135
China Bashing Bad – Economy 136
Climate Deal 2NC 137
CTBT 2NC 138
Ext – Obama Key to CTBT 140
CTBT – AT: Obama Won’t Push 141
CTBT Good – Disarm 142
CTBT Good - Multilateralism 144
CTBT Good – Proliferation 145
CTBT Good – AT: Deterrence 147
Defense Cuts – Obama Will Cut 148
Defense Cuts – Romney Will Increase 150
Defense Cuts Good – Military Effectiveness 152
Global Zero 2NC 154
AT: Cuts Bad – No Impact to Deterrence 156
Iran Strikes 2NC 158
Ext – Romney Will Strike Iran 159
Iran Strikes – AT: Campaign Rhetoric 160
Strikes Bad – Economy 161
Strikes Bad – Hezbollah 162
Strikes Bad - NATO 164
Strikes Bad – Russia 165
Strikes Bad – AT: Just Nuclear Strikes Not Regime Change 166
Strikes Bad – AT: No Escalation 167
Strikes Bad – AT: Limited War 168
US/Russia Relations 2NC 169
Ext – Obama Solves Russia Reset 170
Ext – Romney Kills US/Russian Relations 171
US/Russia Relations – Iran 175
US/Russia Relations – Warming 176
Missile Defense Coop 2NC 177
Ext – Obama Will Promote MD Coop 178
Ext – Romney Promotes Aggressive MD 180
Aggressive MD Bad – Arms Race 182
Aggressive MD Bad – Conflict 183
Aggressive MD Bad – First Strike 184
Aggressive MD Bad – START 185
START Good – Nuclear War 186
Syria Arms 2NC 187
Ext – Obama Won’t Arm Syrian Rebels 188
Ext – Romney Will Arm Syrian Rebels 189
Syrian Conflict Impact – Saudi/Iran War 190
Ext – Syrian Conflict Escalates 192
Syrian Conflict Impact – Sectarian Conflict 193
Syrian Conflict Impact – AT: No Middle East War 195
Taiwan F16s – Romney Will Sell 196
Taiwan F16s Bad – South China Sea 197
Taiwan F16s Bad – US/China Relations 199
Taiwan F16s – AT: Non-Unique – F16 Upgrades 200
Unilateralism 2NC 201
Ext – Romney Leads to Bush Doctrine 202
AT: Palestinian Peace Process 203
AT: Romney Will Be Moderate 204
States 204
Swing States – Spending Link 205
Swing States – Economy Key 206
Swing States – Core Four (FL/NC/OH/VA) 207
Swing States Key 208
AT: Link Turn – Jobs Key to Swing States 209
AT: Link Turn – Swing State Economy 210
Arizona – Not Swing State 211
Colorado – Swing State 212
Florida – Romney Winning 214
Florida Key 215
Iowa 2NC – Rural Voters 217
Iowa – Economy Key 218
North Carolina – Swing State 219
North Carolina – Not Swing State 220
Ohio – Obama Winning 221
Ohio – Swing State 222
Ohio – Not Key 223
Pennsylvania Key 224
Virginia – Dead Heat 225
Virginia – Obama Winning 226
Virginia – Unemployment Key 227
Virginia – Swing State 228
Washington – Dislike Transportation Spending 230
Wisconsin – Swing State 231
Obama Bad 232
Links 232
Transportation Infrastructure 1NC 233
Generic – AT: Other Issues 235
Compromise Link 236
Plan = Jobs Agenda 237
Job Creation Link 238
Job Creation Link – Perception 239
Job Creation Link – Economy Key 240
Job Creation – Key to Election 241
Generic – Investment Support 242
Generic – HNTB Survey Prodict 245
Generic – Swings Voters 246
Generic – AT: But They Don’t Want to Pay 247
Generic – Public Transportation 248
Latinos 2NC 249
Latinos – Key to Election 250
Latinos – AT: Immigration Key 252
Latinos – AT: Latinos Key 253
Latinos – Low Turnout 255
Airports Links 257
Bicycles Links 258
High Speed Rail Links 259
Highways Links 260
Mass Transit Links 261
National Infrastructure Banks Links 262
Sustainable Communities Links 263
AT: Gas Tax Link 264
Obama Bad Impacts (Foreign Policy) 264
Deterrence 2NC 265
Ext – Obama Kills Deterrence 266
Ext – Nuclear Cuts Kill Deterrence 269
Ext – Modernization Now 271
Unilateral Disarm Bad – Nuclear War 272
Deterrence Good – Nuclear War 274
Deterrence Good – Probability 276
Deterrence Good – AT: Conventional Solves 277
Nuclear Cuts Bad – AT: Modeling 278
US/Israel Relations 2NC 279
Ext – Obama Hurts US/Israel Relations 281
US/Israel Relations Good – War 285
Obama Weakness 2NC 286
Ext – Obama is Weak 288
Palestinian Peace Process 2NC 289
AT: Palestinian Peace Process Good 290
Taiwan F16s Good – Alliances 292
Ext – Taiwan F16s Key to Alliances 293
Taiwan F16s Good – Asian Credibility 294
Taiwan F16s Good – Perception 295
Ext – Taiwan F16s Key to Resolve 297
Taiwan F16s Good – AT: US/China Relations 298
Taiwan F16s – F16 Upgrades Now 299
Taiwan F16s – AT: Non-Unique – House Passed 300
Aggressive MD Good – Conflict 301
Aggressive MD Good – Laundry List 303
Aggressive MD Good – AT: Relations 305
AT: Bush Doctrine 306
AT: Climate Change 308
AT: Law of the Sea 309
AT: Trans-Pacific Partnership 311
Obama Bad (Domestic) 311
Cap and Trade Bad – Competitiveness 312
Cap and Trade Bad – Economy 314
Cap and Trade Bad – Farming 316
Cap and Trade Bad – Free Trade 317
Ext – Cap and Trade Hurts Free Trade 318
Cap and Trade Bad – Warming Answers 319
EPA Regulations Bad – Coal 321
EPA Regulations Bad – Economy 323
EPA Regulations Bad – Steel 324
Ext – EPA Regulations Hurt Steel Industry 326
Ext – Steel Key to Hegemony 327
EPA Regulations – No Rollback 328
Obama Economic Policy Bad 329
Obama Economic Policy Bad – Buffett Rule Bad 330
AT: Obamacare – Rollback Inevitable 331
AT: Obamacare – Romney Alternative 332
Miscellaneous Answers 333
No Link – Perception 334
Too Far Out 335