Jackson Vanik will pass – bipartisan support of congress and interest groups gives momentum
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turns aidsRelations solves the AIDS epidemic and saves millions of livesVERSHBOW 2004 (ALEXANDER, US AMBASSADOR TO RUSSIA, STATE DEPARTMENT APRIL 22) Without intervention, researchers predict that over 75 million people will be infected worldwide by 2010, with a loss of human life to AIDS totaling 100 million by 2020. Scientists predict that more than two million Russians could be infected by 2005 - next year - and millions more by 2010; in fact, the HIV virus is spreading more rapidly here than in almost any other country on the planet. Unless decisive action is taken - and soon - Russia faces a humanitarian catastrophe rivaling that of World War II. Fortunately, this represents an area tailor-made for bilateral cooperation. As the AIDS epidemic began in the United States years before it struck Russia, we have considerable experience in treating the disease and controlling its spread. Russia has an educated population and an expanding sector of dedicated NGOs that provide hope that concerted efforts at prevention can succeed. What these organizations lack is resources and, most crucially, high-level political support. In addition, Russia is blessed with a large and talented medical and scientific community that can play an important role in international efforts to find a cure and develop a vaccine. Given our complementary resources and our mutual interest in staving off disaster, the AIDS crisis provides an ideal opportunity to demonstrate the potential of our partnership for the betterment of Russia's own people, and all of humanity. turns human rightsEconomic relations solves human rights/democracy violationsRyzhkov 3-20 (Vladimir-, The Moscow Times, “Replace Jackson-Vanik With the Magnitsky Act”, http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/replace-jackson-vanik-with-the-magnitsky-act/455023.html#ixzz1poAe5NtL) In our appeal to the U.S. Congress, my colleagues and I are proposing a different approach. In our opinion, a failure to repeal Jackson-Vanik could hurt the development of economic cooperation between Russia and the United States and could badly limit needed investment in the country. Without a developed economy, democracy has little chance of taking hold in Russia. The driving force behind democratic change in Russia is the "Decembrists 2.0" movement — protests against Putin's authoritarianism by young, educated and politically savvy middle-class Russians who grew up during the past 20 years of market reforms. These are the people who have gathered on Russia's streets to demand democracy, the rule of law and punishment for criminals and corrupt government officials. The larger Russia's middle class becomes, the better chance that it will be able to influence political change in a peaceful manner and strengthen the country's democratic institutions. U.S. businesses that have invested in Russia help develop the economy and thereby expand the social base of the country's budding civil society and democracy. Any laws that act as barriers to that process should be repealed. 2nc at: no war1. Cross apply Bandow from the overview – war is possible if we endanger Russia’s national security – deterrence doesn’t work if make Russia feel we’re actively threatening their country and uniquely breaks down if we interfere in their sphere of influence – Russian military statements prove.2. They don’t assume miscalculation – interference restarts the cold war and means nuclear brinksmanship, lack of cooperation, and faulty early warning systems make accidental nuclear war possible – that’s Cohen.Nuclear war possible over SyriaLaRouche 12-9 (Lyndon LaRouche, political activist & economist, author of multiple books on economics & politics, Norman Bailey, formerly with the National Security Council, described LaRouche's staff as one of the best private intelligence services in the world, 12-9-11, “Why Obama has to go: to risk thermonuclear war is clinically insane,” Executive Intelligence Review, http://www.larouchepub.com/eiw/public/2011/eirv38n48-20111209/index.html) "What's happened is, the U.S. forces in the Eastern Mediterranean, and in the Persian Gulf region, especially naval forces, in particular, are positioned for launching a thermonuclear war. The name of the game, of course, is what we're going to do to Syria, what we're going to Iran, but if you look at the forces in the area, that makes no sense. Then you look at other aspects of it, and you know that now the Russians are in on the thing, in defending Syria, in particular, against this atrocity, and you realize that we're on the edge of actually going to thermonuclear war. "What happened was, of course, and I don't know how much, or how well this is known, but our leading general officers, advisors, and so forth, who advise us on our security, have opposed any action by Obama of this type. So therefore, that is, in that degree, tied up. But, what's hanging out there, is, at any moment, a war could start. "Now, this war will be a war with thermonuclear weapons. That's the fact. The idea that this is only Syria and Iran is nonsense. What we have positioned in the Gulf area, and in the Eastern Mediterranean, is the capability for thermonuclear war, and nothing else. Our allies, including the British, do not have the depth of weapons capability for doing something like this. Only the United States, and only the thermonuclear warfare capability of the United States, could actually conduct such a war. It would be a war against the entirety of Asia, and other places." Directory: file -> view view -> Western Europe after wwii view -> Author study: paul fleischman view -> Qpa1 7ela study Guide view -> Arctic Oil/Gas Neg view -> November 1970 Approximately 150,000-500,000 deaths Bhola Cyclone Bangladesh view -> Grade Level: 6 Unit of Study: Caribbean glce view -> Citation: Duffield, Katy view -> Table of Contents Lesson # view -> Chinese Wind Energy Disad Download 0.68 Mb. Share with your friends:
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