Long Island and Mid-Atlantic Record Deluge Pattern and Analysis



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KBWI – Baltimore-Washington International Airport

Observed

1 Year PF Estimate

10 Year PF Estimate

100 Year PF Estimate

1000 Year PF Estimate

Time Window

3 Hour

4.97

1.51

2.71

4.20

6.04

1600-1900 UTC 12 August 2014

6 Hour

5.75

1.86

3.32

5.32

7.98

1300-1900 UTC 12 August 2014

Table 5. Baltimore-Washington International Airport. 3-hour observed total from 1600 to 1900 UTC and 6-hour estimated 1300-1900 UTC compared to the NOAA Atlas-14 volume 2, 10, 100, and 1000 year return periods. Return to text.

KPWM – Portland, ME Jetport

Observed

1 Year PF Estimate

10 Year PF Estimate

100 Year PF Estimate

500 Year PF Estimate

Time Window

2 Hour

4.21

1.00

1.82

3.16

4.67

0100-0300 UTC 14 August 2014

6 Hour

6.06

1.53

2.96

5.45

7.34

2100-0300 UTC 13-14 August 2014

Table 6. Portland International Jetport. 2-hour observed total from 0100 to 0300 UTC and 6-hour estimated 2100-0300 UTC compared to the NRCC Extreme Precipitation Analysis webpage for 1, 10, 100, and 500 year return periods. Return to text.

Appendices of summarized METAR hourly rainfall used to estimate return periods and produce imagery.




1 Previous record 11.6 inches in 24 hours set 27-28 August 2011 in Tannersville, NY

2 USDOC Technical Paper 40 does not categorize frequencies for return periods greater than 100 years



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