Military/ Economy
Increases in space debris threaten space accessibility- Space is key to military and economic operations
Shelton 11 (Commander, Air Force Space Command, Assistant Vice Chief of Staff and Director, Air Staff, U.S. Air Force, Pentagon, Bachelor of Science degree in astronautical engineering, U.S. Air Force Academy, Master of Science degree in astronautical engineering, U.S. Air Force Institute of Technology, Master of Science degree in national security strategy, National War College) Lieutenant General William M. Shelton, Emmett Fletcher April 19, 2011 “Remarks from the 27th National Space Symposium” http://www.emmetfletcher.com/blog/2011/04/19/remarks-from-the-27th-national-space-symposium-gen-william-l-shelton/
The second fact is that our vulnerability in space is increasing. If you look at debris, both natural and manmade debris, that’s increasing. The traffic is increasing. We’ve now got over 50 nations that are participants in the space environment. Then the counter-space threats, both ground-based and space-based counter-space threats that we have to pay attention to. Then the third fact, our budget will at best be flat. There are some other Draconian projections out there that would have our budget turning down very steeply. How much of that share will come to the space business? I don’t think we know. But I think it’s safe to assume that it’s going to be a challenging time for us. So if you think about those three facts — dependence being high, vulnerability is increasing, and the budget for space is likely to come down — the logic would say that we ought to get more money, but we’re not going to get more money. So how do we think about this? And here’s the question that I would like to pose to all of us. Are there architectural options that will provide a nexus of adequate capability, of passive resiliency and costs that are within budget? What do I mean by all of that? Let’s talk about adequate capability. We’re not going to get any relief. I don’t expect any relief, I’m not asking for any relief from the National Command Authority, from combatant commanders, others users of space systems. In terms of protected comms, national and nuclear command and control capability. When that message absolutely has to get there, nobody’s going to relieve us of that requirement. Wideband communications. Increasing use of airborne ISR traffic over wideband communications. Intelligence traffic. Routine command and control that travels over wideband comms. It’s our lifeline, absolutely our lifeline to deployed forces around the world, as well as to our diplomatic corps around the world. And in this era of information-enabled warfare, there’s no question that wideband satellite communications will continue to play a central role. Missile warning. We’ve got to maintain visual on some events around the planet. Missile defense. The contribution of missile warning to missile defense. Theater warning. Telling our troops when to duck, where that missile may impact. And with increasing capabilities on a space-based infrared system, battlespace awareness, technical intelligence. As we refine our IR sensors from space, there is no question that there will be more demand for this capability, not less. Let’s talk about GPS for just a second. GPS is absolutely the gold standard for the position, navigation, timing capability across the world. And oh by the way, it’s free. That’s not a paid political announcement, it is free. There are civil, military, commercial uses that abound. It’s a $110 billion industry right now. Five hundred million cell phones are GPS-enabled just today. The military dependence on the timing signal from GPS as well as the positioning and navigation capabilities from GPS just flat enables precision warfare. Everything we do employing weapons any more seems to somehow involve GPS. Again, nobody’s going to relieve us of that requirement. Weather satellites. With the recent breakup of the NPOESS program, the defense weather satellite system is part of the national and international weather capabilities for our globe. We’ve got the morning orbit, and it’s essential that we continue weather capabilities for our warfighters and for our civilian counterparts.
Debris turns Econ and Heg—satellites key to industry and military readiness
Brower et. Al 8 (1Lt Kevin Johnson, Stephanie Cook, John G. Hudson II, Edward Dale, Josh Koch, John Miller, Stephanie Silva, “Eliminating Space Debris: Applied Technology and Policy Prescriptions,” www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA497909)
“Many objects have been jettisoned into space: lens covers, auxiliary motors, launch vehicle fairings, separation bolts used to lock fixtures in place…and objects merely dropped or discarded during manned missions.”2 That outer space exploration would create by-products is not surprising; every human venture in history has carried inefficiencies. While outer space seemed limitless a half-century ago, the Space Age has exemplified how quickly orbits around the Earth can be. Space debris has evolved from an environmental nuisance to a serious hazard; the U.S. space shuttle flies backwards and upside down to avoid the problem.3 With tens of millions of debris fragments flying at high velocity through lower earth orbit, both human explorers and space hardware are vulnerable. General Kevin P. Chilton, head of United States Strategic Command, recently wrote: “Military and civilian entities are heavily reliant on services that satellites provide, and space operations are so pervasive that it is impossible to imagine the U.S. functioning without them.”4 During Operation Desert Storm, commercial satellites provided 45% of all communications between the theater and the continental United States.5 Today, according to General Chilton, “We rely on satellites to verify treaty compliance, monitor threats and provide advance warning of missile attacks. It's important to remember that every soldier, sailor, Marine and airman in Iraq and Afghanistan relies on space technology for crucial advantages in the field.”6 Commercially, the economy of the United States is heavily dependent on space assets in virtually every industry. Communications, Global Positioning System (GPS) technology, agriculture, weather monitoring, and shipment tracking in the manufacturing sector are all indispensable to workings of the market.7, 8With international economies interwoven across borders and cultures, damage to a critical satellite might pose serious monetary repercussions throughout multiple countries. For example, nearly a decade ago the failure of the Galaxy IV satellite rendered certain communications useless for two days. “The failure of that one satellite left about 80 (to) 90 percent of the 45 million pager customers in the United States without service…and 5400 of 7700 Chevron gas stations without pay-at-the-pump capability.”9 U.S. News and World Report recently reviewed an exercise simulating a day in the life of the U.S. military without satellites; the deputy under secretary of the Air Force for space programs was questioned about the results. “Fundamentally, you go back to fighting a war like World War II where it’s huge attrition rates, huge logistics, and huge expenses.”10 This example certainly speaks to the reliance on space assets. A lack of action to secure space assets might prove even costlier.
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