AbstractThe main objective of the study was to estimate the responsiveness of tobacco supply to change in prices in Zimbabwe. Historical time series data from 1980 to 2015 and the OLS approach were used in order to achieve the stated objective. The study followed the adapted ARDL
Nerlove (1958) logarithmic supply response model also used by Leaver (2004). All variables except for short-run technological improvements and sales quotas were found to be statistically significant. Supply of tobacco in Zimbabwe was found to be positively influenced by expected tobacco prices, population of active tobacco growers and by technological advances in the long- run and inversely affected by previous tobacco quantities and expected maize prices. The short- run and long-run price elasticities of tobacco supply of 0.12 and 0.16
were estimated, indicating that tobacco output is unresponsive to changes in output prices. Therefore, the hypothesis that tobacco output respond to price changes in Zimbabwe maybe rejected. Given the findings, the study recommended for price supporting
instruments such as input, credit and mechanization policies for effective growth in the production and supply of tobacco in Zimbabwe.
Table of ContentsAbstract i
Table of Contents ii
List
of tables ivList of figures iv
List of Acronyms v
CHAPTER ONE
1
INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND 1.0 Introduction 1.2 Problem Statement 1.4 Research Objectives 1.5 Research Hypothesis 1.6 Significance of the Study 1.7 Organisation
of the Rest of the Study5
CHAPTER THREE11
METHODOLOGY
11 3.0 Introduction 3.1 The Model Specification 3.1.1 The Theoretical Model 3.1.2 The Empirical Model 3.2. Definition and Justification of Variables 3.3 Estimation procedure 3.4 Unit root tests 3.5 Model Diagnostic Tests 3.6 Data sources, Type and Period 3.7 Conclusion
16
CHAPTER FOUR
17
ESTIMATION, PRESENTATION AND INTERPRETATION OF RESULTS 4.0
Introduction17