Relations impacts and cp’s
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Grigoriev 2005 [Leonid, President of the Association of Russian Economic Think Tanks; Head of the Management Department of the International University in Moscow. “Russia’s Place in the Global Economy,” Strategiya Rossii magazine, No. 1/2005. http://eng.globalaffairs.ru/numbers/11/913.html]As a result, Russia simultaneously exports oil, oil revenues and educated people. Russian biologists, who in Russia earn $5,000 a year at most, move to the U.S. where they stand to earn $50,000-100,000. By encouraging its educated citizens to move abroad, Russia increases the effectiveness of the global economy, but does very little for its domestic economy. Russia has two major kinds of resources – human capital and natural resources, but it only really employs the latter. Russia exports more than half of its oil, one-third of its natural gas, a huge amount of timber and paper, and much of its nonferrous and ferrous metals, largely because the domestic economy does not need all these resources. Russia is unable to change its place in the global economy – that of a raw-material supplier. Nothing of what Russia produced in the 1980s was accepted by the world market at free prices; since then, this country has produced nothing new since it has had “more important” things on its mind. This is one of the tragedies of the transitional period – Russia has solved many problems, but not the problem concerning its economic modernization. This problem will have to be solved by the next generation. In 2004, Russia took the lead in global oil production, leaving behind Saudi Arabia. Additionally, Russia remains a major producer of natural gas and is the largest gas exporter in the world. It must be noted that when Russia exports chemicals, fertilizers, ferrous and nonferrous metals, in reality it also exports energy. The production of metals in Russia is the “packing” of cheap electric power in iron and copper. Considering also oil, gas, coal and electric power “packed” in aluminum and chemicals, Russia is the main source of energy resources in the world – now and, possibly, in the future. Russia can retain its leading positions in the world economy if it continues exporting energy within reasonable limits.AT: US-Japan relations good: economyRussian Economic Collapse causes extinctionFilger 9 (Sheldon, Columnist and Founder – Global EconomicCrisis.com, “Russian Economy Faces Disasterous Free Fall Contraction”, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/sheldon-filger/russian-economy-faces-dis_b_201147.html) In Russia, historically, economic health and political stability are intertwined to a degree that is rarely encountered in other major industrialized economies. It was the economic stagnation of the former Soviet Union that led to its political downfall. Similarly, Medvedev and Putin, both intimately acquainted with their nation's history, are unquestionably alarmed at the prospect that Russia's economic crisis will endanger the nation's political stability, achieved at great cost after years of chaos following the demise of the Soviet Union. Already, strikes and protests are occurring among rank and file workers facing unemployment or non-payment of their salaries. Recent polling demonstrates that the once supreme popularity ratings of Putin and Medvedev are eroding rapidly. Beyond the political elites are the financial oligarchs, who have been forced to deleverage, even unloading their yachts and executive jets in a desperate attempt to raise cash. Should the Russian economy deteriorate to the point where economic collapse is not out of the question, the impact will go far beyond the obvious accelerant such an outcome would be for the Global Economic Crisis. There is a geopolitical dimension that is even more relevant then the economic context. Despite its economic vulnerabilities and perceived decline from superpower status, Russia remains one of only two nations on earth with a nuclear arsenal of sufficient scope and capability to destroy the world as we know it. For that reason, it is not only President Medvedev and Prime Minister Putin who will be lying awake at nights over the prospect that a national economic crisis can transform itself into a virulent and destabilizing social and political upheaval. It just may be possible that U.S. President Barack Obama's national security team has already briefed him about the consequences of a major economic meltdown in Russia for the peace of the world. After all, the most recent national intelligence estimates put out by the U.S. intelligence community have already concluded that the Global Economic Crisis represents the greatest national security threat to the United States, due to its facilitating political instability in the world. During the years Boris Yeltsin ruled Russia, security forces responsible for guarding the nation's nuclear arsenal went without pay for months at a time, leading to fears that desperate personnel would illicitly sell nuclear weapons to terrorist organizations. If the current economic crisis in Russia were to deteriorate much further, how secure would the Russian nuclear arsenal remain? It may be that the financial impact of the Global Economic Crisis is its least dangerous consequence. A2: US-Japan relations Good- Prolif/Noko warNations such as North Korea and Iran don’t perceive U.S.-Japan relations- they proliferated while relations were intactTurn- US-Japan missile alliance causes global prolifBlank 09[Stephen J. Blank, Strategic Studies Institute’s expert on the Soviet bloc and the post- Soviet world , Associate Professor of Soviet Studies at the Center for Aerospace Doctrine, Research, and Education, Maxwell Air Force Base, and taught at the University of Texas, San Antonio, and at the University of California, Riverside. "RUSSIA AND ARMS CONTROL:ARE THERE OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION?" March 2009 http://www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil] Directory: file -> view view -> Western Europe after wwii view -> Author study: paul fleischman view -> Qpa1 7ela study Guide view -> Arctic Oil/Gas Neg view -> November 1970 Approximately 150,000-500,000 deaths Bhola Cyclone Bangladesh view -> Grade Level: 6 Unit of Study: Caribbean glce view -> Citation: Duffield, Katy view -> Table of Contents Lesson # view -> Chinese Wind Energy Disad Download 1.27 Mb. Share with your friends:
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