University of zimbabwe faculty of social studies department of economics



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taku dissertation
taku dissertation, taku dissertation


UNIVERSITY OF ZIMBABWE
FACULTY OF SOCIAL STUDIES
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS







SUPPLY RESPONSE OF TOBACCO OUTPUT TO PRICE CHANGES IN ZIMBABWE
(1980 to 2015)
BY
R136817E
THIS DISSERTATION IS SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE
REQUIREMENT OF THE BACHELOR OF SCIENCE HONOURS DEGREE IN
ECONOMICS.

MAY 2016

i
Abstract
The main objective of the study was to estimate the responsiveness of tobacco supply to change in prices in Zimbabwe. Historical time series data from 1980 to 2015 and the OLS approach were used in order to achieve the stated objective. The study followed the adapted ARDL
Nerlove (1958) logarithmic supply response model also used by Leaver (2004). All variables except for short-run technological improvements and sales quotas were found to be statistically significant. Supply of tobacco in Zimbabwe was found to be positively influenced by expected tobacco prices, population of active tobacco growers and by technological advances in the long- run and inversely affected by previous tobacco quantities and expected maize prices. The short- run and long-run price elasticities of tobacco supply of 0.12 and 0.16 were estimated, indicating that tobacco output is unresponsive to changes in output prices. Therefore, the hypothesis that tobacco output respond to price changes in Zimbabwe maybe rejected. Given the findings, the study recommended for price supporting instruments such as input, credit and mechanization policies for effective growth in the production and supply of tobacco in Zimbabwe.

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