1. Section 1 1 Introduction 1 Section 2 2 Drought Hazard Profile 1


Frequency of Occurrence and Magnitude



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6.3Frequency of Occurrence and Magnitude


Hurricane magnitude is measured on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale, shown in Table 7, which categorizes hurricane magnitude by wind speeds and storm surge above normal sea levels. However, hurricanes and tropical storms, even those of low wind strengths, can also bring torrential rains, causing extensive inland and coastal flooding.

Table 7: Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale



Category

Wind Speed

Storm Surge (feet above normal sea level)

Expected Damage

1

74-95 mph

4-5 ft.

Minimal: Damage is done primarily to shrubbery and trees, unanchored mobile homes are damaged, some signs are damaged, no real damage is done to structures.

2

96-110 mph

6-8 ft.

Moderate: Some trees are toppled, some roof coverings are damaged, major damage is done to mobile homes.

3

111-130 mph

9-12 ft.

Extensive: Large trees are toppled, some structural damage is done to roofs, mobile homes are destroyed, structural damage is done to small homes and utility buildings.

4

131-155 mph

13-18 ft.

Extreme: Extensive damage is done to roofs, windows, and doors; roof systems on small buildings completely fail; some curtain walls fail.

5

> 155 mph

> 18 ft.

Catastrophic: Roof damage is considerable and widespread, window and door damage is severe, there are extensive glass failures and entire buildings could fail.

Source: Understanding Your Risks: Identifying Hazards and Estimating Losses. FEMA. 2001.


Table 8: Frequency of Hurricanes Passing Within 80 Miles of New Orleans, Louisiana

Intensity

Frequency

Category 1

8 years

Category 2

19 years

Category 3

32 years

Category 4

70 years

Category 5

180 years

Source: USGS, “Environmental Atlas of Lake Pontchartrain,” http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2002/of02-206//phy-environment/
Louisiana has had four hurricanes of category 4 or 5. As Table 7 shows, hurricanes of this magnitude have sustained winds reaching up to 155 mph, have storm surge heights up to 18 feet, and can cause extensive damage to structures. As Table 8 at right shows, the frequency of Louisiana experiencing a category 4 hurricane is 70 years.

Maps 4 and 5 depicts sea, lake, and overland surges from hurricanes (SLOSH) models run to identify areas of southern Louisiana that can be affected by storm surge inundation in category 3 and category 5 hurricanes. SLOSH models represent the storm surge of hundreds of simulated hurricanes, taking into account storm wind intensities, forward speeds, directions of motion, and radius of maximum winds. The SLOSH models show that most places along the southern coastline and 100 miles inland can experience significant inundation depths. Category 3 storms can bring depths up to 24 feet as far north as the City of New Orleans. Category 5 storms can produce depths as high as 36 feet.

Hurricane impact can be even more severe when combined with the ongoing, but long-term phenomenon of coastal subsidence and the potential release of hazardous materials. Roads for evacuation routes are sinking and, in time, may be unusable in developed areas during coastal storms. Furthermore, flooding from storm surge can lead to damage to hazardous materials facilities in the “petrochemical industrial corridor” between New Orleans and Baton Rouge. Damaged pipelines or storage tanks can leak into storm waters and contaminate surface waters, soil and groundwater resources.

6.4Sources of Information


Earth Observatory, National Aeronautics and Space Administration. Available from

World Wide Web: http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/NaturalHazards/ natural_hazards_v2.php3?img_id=5164.

A rainfall mapping estimate based on NASA and NASDA’s Tropical Rainfall

Measurement Mission (TRMM) satellite was used to create the image of Hurricane

Lili’s rainfall footprint.
Federal Emergency Management Agency. 1997. Multi-Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment: A Cornerstone of the National Mitigation Strategy.
Federal Emergency Management Agency. 2001. Understanding Your Risks: Identifying

Hazards and Estimating Losses.
Louisiana Office of Emergency Preparedness. 2001. State of Louisiana Hazard Mitigation Plan.
Storm Events Database. National Climatic Data Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Available from World Wide Web:

http://www4.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-win/wwcgi.dll?wwEvent~Storms.



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