10nfl1-Nukes-Cover

10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 5 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com
THE
HEALTH
AFFECTS
ARE
MINIMAL
GIVEN
THE
LOW
LEVEL
OF
RADIATION
THAT
WOULD
OCCUR
AND
WOULD
DEVELOP
SLOWLY
OVER
TIME.
115
RESEARCH
IS
INCONCLUSIVE
ON
THE
AFFECTS
OF
RADIATION
115
WE
WONʼT
KNOW
THE
TRUE
CONSEQUENCES
FOR
YEARS
TO
COME
116
DESPITE
PROBLEMS
WITH
CURRENT
STORAGE
FACILITIES,
THE
TECHNOLOGY
IS
IMPROVING
116
NEW
TECHNOLOGY
ALLOWS
NUCLEAR
WASTE
TO
BE
REUSED
IN
NUCLEAR
ENERGY
PLANTS
THAT
WOULD
DRASTICALLY
REDUCE
THE
RADIOACTIVE
LIFETIME
OF
THE
MATERIALS.
117
AT

D
UAL USE

118
THERE
IS
NO
SUCH
THING
AS
“PEACEFUL”
NUKE
WEAPONS
USE
–
ALL
USES
GIVE
INFORMATION
ON
HOW
TO
BETTER
DEVELOP
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS.
118
BAD
DEFLECTION
HURTS,
ALSO
EXPLOSIONS
MAKE
IT
A
SHOTGUN
EFFECT. 118
THERE
ARE
NO
THREATENING
ASTEROIDS,
AND
NUKES
ARE
BAD
AT
DEFLECTING
THEM.
119
NUCLEAR
EXPLOSIONS
ARE
A
RIDICULOUS
SOLUTION
TO
OIL
SPILLS.
119
ASTEROID
DESTRUCTION
BY
NUKE
IS
DANGEROUS
AND
IMPRACTICAL.
120
USING
NUKES
TO
STOP
OIL
SPILLS
WOULD
EMIT
RADIATION
INTO
THE
AIR.
120
IF
ALIENS
WANT
US
DEAD,
WE
WILL
HAVE
NO
CHANCE.
PREPARATION
IS
A
WASTE
OF
TIME.
121
I
MPERIALISM

122
THE
NPT
IS
THE
ROOT
OF
THE
NUCLEAR
DOMINATION
OF
THE
THIRD
WORLD. 122
THE
THIRD
WORLD
POSSESSION
OF
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
IS
DESCRIBED
IN
PATRIARCHAL
TERMS.
123
THE
THIRD
WORLD
POSSESSION
OF
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
IS
DESCRIBED
IN
PATERNAL
TERMS.
123
THE
DISCOURSE
SURROUNDING
THIRD
WORLD
POSSESSION
OF
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
IS
OPPRESSIVE.
124
THE
DISCOURSE
ON
NUCLEAR
PROLIFERATION
AND
POSSESSION
BLAMES
THE
WRONG
PEOPLE.
124
EXTINCTION
SCENARIOS
FROM
NUCLEAR
WAR
ARE
CHAUVINISTIC.
125
“C
IVILIAN RESISTANCE
”
ALTERNATIVE

126
CIVILIAN
RESISTANCE
EXPLAINED
126
CIVILIAN
RESISTANCE
BEST
DETERS
A
NUCLEAR
ATTACK
126
CIVILIAN
RESISTANCE
DOES
NOT
RELY
MERELY
ON
GUILT
126
IF
DETERRENCE
IS
MORAL
BECAUSE
OF
ITS
NECESSITY,
CIVILIAN
RESISTANCE
MUST
BE
GRAPPLED
WITH
TO
DECLARE
IT
MORAL
127
M
ISCELLANEOUS

128
NUCLEAR
POWER
IS
TOO
RISKY
AND
IS
BASED
ON
THE
UNRELIABLE
METH
OF
TRIAL-AND-ERROR.
128
LEARNING
BY
DOING
IN
THE
CASE
OF
NUCLEAR
POWER
IS
DANGEROUS.
128
NUCLEAR
WAR
VIOLATES
SOVEREIGNTY.
128
NUCLEAR
WAR
IS
NOT
A
PERMISSIBLE
FORM
OF
SELF-DEFENSE.
130
NEITHER
SIDE
IS
JUSTIFIED
IN
LAUNCHING
A
NUCLEAR
WAR.
130
NEGATIVE EVIDENCE
131
D
ISARMAMENT IMPOSSIBLE

131
DISARMAENT
IS
UNREALISTIC.
ACCEPT
THE
NUCLEAR
STATE.
131

10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 6 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com
ABOLISHING
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
IS
IMPOSSIBLE
GIVEN
THE
CURRENT
WORLD.
131
FULLY
GETTING
RID
OF
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
IS
IMPOSSIBLE
132
U
NILATERAL DISARMAMENT BAD

133
DISARMAMENT
COULD
LEAD
TO
NUCLEAR
DESTRUCTION.
133
GIVING
UP
US
NUCLEAR
DETERRENCE
COULD
PRECIPITATE
THE
MOST
DANGEROUS
WAR
IN
HISTORY.
134
THE
US
CANʼT
FILL
THE
NUCLEAR
DETERRENT
GAP
WITH
CONVENTIONAL
FORCES.
135
U.S.
DETERRENCE
STOPS
PROLIFERATION
AMONGST
ITS
ALLIES
135
D
ETERRENCE
/MAD
SUCCEEDS

136
EVEN
IF
A
NATION
IS
LEAD
BY
SOMEONE
DEEMED
“IRRATIONAL”
NUCLEAR
DETERRENCE
WILL
KEEP
THEM
IN
136
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
UNIQUELY
ALLOW
FOR
DETERRENCE
136
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
UNIQUELY
ALLOW
FOR
DETERRENCE
137
EVEN
BETWEEN
HEAVILY-ARMED
STATES,
A
FULL-BLOWN
NUCLEAR
WAR
IS
UNLIKELY
137
ARMS
RACES
ARE
NOT
INEVITABLE
SINCE
A
LARGE
FORCE
IS
UNNECESSARY
TO
DETER
137
ARMS
REDUCTION
TREATIES
ARE
LIKELY
138
THE
THREATS
POSED
BY
RUSSIA
AND
CHINA
REQUIRE
CONTINUED
POSSESSION
OF
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
138
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
HAVE
A
STRONG
HISTORICAL
TRACK
RECORD
138
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
HAVE
A
STRONG
HISTORICAL
TRACK
RECORD
139
INDIA
AND
PAKISTAN
PROVIDE
A
STRONG
MODEL
FOR
THE
CONTINUING
ROLE
OF
NUCLEAR
DETERRENCE
139
IRAN
AND
NORTH
KOREA
ARE
BOTH
SUBJECT
TO
THE
LOGIC
OF
DETERRENCE
139
REDUCTION
OF
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
IS
BETTER
THAN
ABOLITION
SINCE
IT
RETAINS
THEIR
DETERRENT
VALUE
140
DETERRENCE
PREVENTED
WAR
BETWEEN
THE
US
AND
THE
USSR.
140
MERE
POSSESSION
IS
SUFFICIENT
FOR
DETERRENCE.
141
EVEN
AFTER
DEEP
CUTS,
NUKES
DETER
–
AND
THE
CUTS
PREVENT
NUCLEAR
WINTER.
141
NUCLEAR
PROLIFERATION
HELPS
MAINTAIN
PEACE,
AND
PREVENTS
WAR
141
NUCLEAR
ACQUISITION
PREVENTS
CONFLICT
AMONGST
PROLIFERATING
NATIONS
142
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
ARE
BEING
DEVELOPED
BY
MANY
NATIONS
AS
A
SELF
DEFENSE
MECHANISM.
143
NUCLEAR
PROLIFERATION
IN
THE
MIDDLE
EAST
WILL
NOT
CAUSE
WAR
OR
A
NUCLEAR
TERRORIST
ATTACK
143
NUCLEAR
PROLIFERATION
LEADS
TO
PEACE
144
NUCLEAR
PROLIFERATION
WILL
LEAD
TO
DECREASED
VIOLENCE,
AND
LESS
LIKELINESS
OF
WAR.
144
ATOMIC
WEAPONS
HAVE
BROUGHT
PEACE,
AND
EXAMPLE
IS
THE
COLD
WAR,
OR
LONG
PEACE
145
PROLIFERATION
DETERS
LARGE-SCALE
REGIONAL
WAR
145
PROLIFERATION
PREVENTS
MISCALCULATIONS
OF
DAMAGE
WHICH
EMPIRICALLY
CAUSES
THE
BLOODIEST
WARS
146

10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 7 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com
PROLIFERATION
MAKES
STATES
TOO
AFRAID
OF
ESCALATION
TO
RISK
TENSION
146
C
ONVENTIONAL WAR

147
THE
US
AND
RUSSIA
WANT
TO
KILL
CONVENTIONALLY,
BUT
ARE
SPENDING
TOO
MUCH
ON
NUKES.
147
DISARMAMENT
FREES
UP
MONEY
TO
SPEND
ON
CONVENTIONAL
WAR,
ENDANGERING
THE
WEST.
147
ALLOWING
LARGE
CONVENTIONAL
WARS
TO
RETURN
WOULD
BE
A
CATASTROPHE
147
ESCALATION
IS
MORE
LIKELY
IN
A
WORLD
WITHOUT
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS.
CONVENTIONAL
WARS
ARENʼT
AS
BLOODY
IN
A
WORLD
WITH
THE
BOMB.
148
C
HEMICAL
/
BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS

150
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
CAN
ALSO
SERVE
TO
DETER
HOSTILE
STATES
FROM
USING
CHEMICAL
AND
BIOLOGICAL
WEAPONS
150
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
DETER
CHEMICAL
AND
BIOLOGICAL
WEAPONS
USES
150
BIOLOGICAL
WEAPONS
CANNOT
SUBSTITUTE
FOR
NUCLEAR
WEAPONSʼ
DETERRENT
VALUE
151
PROLIFERATION
PREVENTS
BIOLOGICAL
AND
CHEMICAL
WARFARE
152
R
EARMAMENT

153
TAKING
AWAY
NUKES
DOESNʼT
TAKE
AWAY
THE
INCENTIVE
FOR
WEAPONS
DEVELOPMENT.
153
DISARMING
DOES
NOT
PREVENT
OTHERS
FROM
WANTING
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
153
DISARMING
MAY
LEAD
STATES
UNDER
THE
NUCLEAR
UMBRELLA
TO
DEVELOP
THEIR
OWN
WEAPONS
153
WE
CANNOT
EVER
TRULY
ELIMINATE
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
–
THE
KNOWLEDGE
REMAINS.
THE
CAPABILITY
OF
BUILDING
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
CANNOT
BE
UNLEARNED,
POSING
PROBLEMS
IN
A
NUCLEAR
FREE
WORLD
STRUCTURE. 154
IF
THE
US
NUCLEAR
UMBRELLA
COLLAPSES,
GERMANY
AND
JAPAN
MAY
PROLIFERATE.
154
D
ISARMAMENT CREATES NUCLEAR WASTE

155
NUCLEAR
BOMBS
CONTAIN
MASSIVE
AMOUNTS
OF
PLUTONIUM-
SEPARATED
PLUTONIUM
IS
EXTREMELY
INSECURE.
155
CURRENT
MEANS
OF
DEALING
WITH
NUCLEAR
WASTE
ARE
INADEQUATE
–
COST,
GEOLOGICAL
CONDITIONS
AND
KNOWLEDGE
155
RADIOACTIVE
MATERIALS
DECAY
OVER
THOUSANDS
OF
YEARS
MAKING
NUCLEAR
RADIATION
A
LONG
TERM
HEALTH
RISK
156
CURRENT
TECHNOLOGY
IS
NOT
SUFFICIENT
TO
CONTAIN
NUCLEAR
WASTE 156
PLUTONIUM
AND
OTHER
NUCLEAR
MATERIALS
ARE
EXTREMELY
TOXIC
157
EVEN
WHERE
SAFETY
STANDARDS
EXIST,
THEY
ARE
RARELY
FOLLOWED
157
THERE
IS
ALREADY
A
LOT
OF
NUCLEAR
WASTE
TO
BE
DISPOSED
OF
–
CREATING
MORE
WOULD
POSE
EVEN
GREATER
ENVIRONMENTAL
RISKS
157
DESPITE
THE
FAILURE
OF
CURRENT
PROCEDURE,
THERE
IS
NO
VIABLE
ALTERNATIVE
MEANS
OF
STORAGE
158
NUCLEAR
WASTE
STORAGE
FACILITIES
ARE
NOT
POPULAR
WITH
THE
PUBLIC158
AT

N
UCLEAR WEAPONS IMMORAL

159
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
LIKELY
SAVED
MANY
LIVES
DURING
THE
COLD
WAR
159
EVEN
AFTER
THE
COLD
WAR,
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
STILL
SERVE
TO
SAVE
MANY
LIVES
159

10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 8 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com
THE
WRONGFUL
INTENTIONS
PRINCIPLE
SHOULD
NOT
BE
APPLIED
TO
DETERRENT
INTENTIONS
BECAUSE
OF
A
DISCONNECT
BETWEEN
INTENT
AND
DESIRE
160
INTENTS
MAY
HAVE
THEIR
OWN
INDEPENDENT
CONSEQUENCES,
RENDERING
THE
INTENT
TO
DO
SOMETHING
IMMORAL
MORAL.
160
IF
THERE
IS
NO
ABSOLUTE
PROHIBITION
AGAINST
CONDITIONAL
INTENTS,
THE
DEONTOLOGICAL
OBJECTION
TO
DETERRENCE
COLLAPSES
TO
CONSEQUENTIALISM
161
IF
THERE
IS
AN
ABSOLUTE
PROHIBITION
AGAINST
CONDITIONAL
INTENTS,
THE
DEONTOLOGISTʼS
ARGUMENT
EQUATES
THREATENING
TO
USE
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
WITH
ACTUALLY
USING
THEM
162
THE
DEONTOLOGISTʼS
ARGUMENT
IS
INCORRECT
IN
FOCUSING
ON
THE
INTENT
INSTEAD
OF
ACTUAL
RISKS
162
EVEN
UNDER
DEONTOLOGY,
THE
RIGHT
TO
NOT
BE
THREATENED
MAY
BE
OVERRIDDEN
BY
OTHER
CONCERNS
163
ONLY
UNDER
AN
ABSURDIST
DEONTOLOGY
WOULD
THREATS
BE
IMMORAL
AND
PREVENT
ACTION
FROM
BEING
TAKEN
TO
SAVE
LIVES.
163
DETERENCE
NOT
EQUIVALENT
TO
HOSTAGE-TAKING.
164
DETERRENCE
NOT
IMMORAL
BECAUSE
LIVES
ARE
THE
MORE
MORALLY
IMPORTANT
THAN
NOT
BEING
THREATENED.
164
AT

T
HEFT
/
TERRORISM

165
NUCLEAR
STATES
WILL
NOT
GIVE
WEAPONS
TO
TERRORISTS
165
AL
QAEDA
DOESNʼT
WANT
NUKES.
165
EVEN
THOUGH
PLANS
ARE
ON
THE
INTERNET,
THEYʼRE
INADEQUATE
AND
PEOPLE
STILL
CANʼT
BUILD
THEM
RIGHT.
165
RUSSIAʼS
NUKES
ARE
SECURE.
166
THE
CHANCE
OF
A
NUCLEAR
TERRORIST
ATTACK
IS
LOW-
TERRORISTS
ARE
UNLIKELY
TO
BE
INTERESTED
IN
WMDʼS
AND
EVEN
IF
THEY
WERE
WOULD
NOT
GET
STATE
SUPPORT.
166
THERE
IS
NO
EVIDENCE
PROVING
AL
QAEDA
IS
MAKING
NUKES
AND
THEY
WOULD
NEVER
HAVE
THE
RESOURCES
NECESSARY
TO
DO
SO.
167
NUCLEAR
TERRORISM
IS
TRULY
A
WORST-CASE
SCENARIO-
WE
ARE
WASTING
TIME
AND
RESOURCES
BY
TRYING
TO
PREVENT
AN
ATTACK.
168
A
NON-STATE
GROUP
IS
INCAPABLE
OF
CREATING
A
BOMB-
IF
AL-QAEDA
HAD
A
BOMB
THEY
WOULD
HAVE
USED
IT
ALREADY.
169
THE
THEFT
OF
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
IS
ALMOST
IMPOSSIBLE-
MOST
ARE
LOCATED
IN
THE
US
AND
RUSSIA
AND
ARE
EXTREMELY
SECURE.
170
NUKES
FEATURE
NUMEROUS
SAFEGUARDS-
TERRORISTS
WOULD
NOT
BE
ABLE
TO
GET
ACCESS.
170
STATES
WILL
NOT
HELP
TERRORISTS-
IT
IS
WAY
TOO
RISKY
AND
THE
POSSIBILITY
FOR
BACKLASH
IS
HIGH.
171
INTELLIGENCE
AGENCIES
HAVE
EFFECTIVELY
STOPPED
TERRORIST
OPERATIONS.
171
AL-QAEDA
HAS
A
TON
OF
ENEMIES-
THEY
ARE
UNLIKELY
TO
GET
THE
OUTSIDE
SUPPORT
NEEDED
TO
CARRY
OUT
AN
ACT
OF
NUCLEAR
TERRORISM.
172
WEAPONS
ARE
EQUIPPED
WITH
HIGH-TECH
SECURITY
SYSTEMS
THAT
TERRORISTS
CANʼT
BYPASS.
172
LOOSE
NUKES
ARE
NOT
A
LEGITIMATE
THREAT-
ALL
NUKES
ARE
ACCOUNTED
FOR.
173

10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 9 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com
NATIONS
HAVE
A
HIGH
INTEREST
IN
KEEPING
THEIR
WEAPONS
SECURE.
173
NO
THREAT
OF
A
LOOSE
NUKE
BEING
DETONATED
–
BOMBS
ARE
OUTFITTED
WITH
SECURITY
MEASURES
174
THE
PROBABILITY
OF
A
NUCLEAR
TERRORIST
ATTACK
IS
LOW
174
THERE
IS
TOO
MUCH
RISK
FOR
ANY
COUNTRY
TO
CONSIDER
GIVING
BOMBS
TO
TERRORISTS.
175
BOMBS
HAVE
A
SHORT
LIFESPAN,
HAD
ANY
BEEN
STOLEN
IN
THE
PAST,
THEY
WOULD
NO
LONGER
BE
USEFUL.
175
RUSSIA
AND
PAKISTAN
HAVE
A
HIGH
INTEREST
IN
KEEPING
THEIR
WEAPONS
SECURE.
176
EMPIRICALLY
ATTEMPTS
AT
GETTING
LOOSE
NUKES
HAVE
FAILED
MISERABLY.
176
MOST
NUCLEAR
SCIENTISTS
ARE
NOT
CAPABLE
OF
SINGLE-HANDEDLY
CONSTRUCTING
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS.
177
AL-QAEDA
HAS
NOT
BOUGHT
ANY
SUITCASE
NUKES.
177
THE
IMPLICATIONS
OF
A
NUCLEAR
TERRORIST
ATTACK
ARE
OVERBLOWN.
178
AQUIRING
NUCLEAR
WEAPONS
ISNʼT
IN
THE
AGENDA
OF
TERRORIST
GROUPS
178
EVEN
IF
TERRORISTS
GOT
A
BOMB,
THEY
COULDNʼT
DETONATE
IT.
178

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