AT I MPACTS 179 NUKES WOULDNʼT TANK THE ECONOMY. 179 SCHELL EXAGGERATES – HUMANS CAN SURVIVE A NUCLEAR WAR. 179 NUCLEAR WAR ONLY KILLS MOST OF THE GLOBE, NOT ALL OF HUMAN LIFE. 179 A STEROIDS 180 THERE IS NO DOUBT THAT AN ASTEROID STRIKE WILL HAPPEN AGAIN – GAMBLING ISNʼT AN OPTION. 180 THERE ARE 200 ASTEROIDS READY TO HIT EARTH, AND THEY HAVE ALREADY ENDED LIFE SIX TIMES. 180 ASTEROID STRIKES ARE LIKE NUCLEAR WINTER… ONLY WORSE. 181 THIS IS STILL A RELEVANT HARM – THERE ARE ABOUT 20,000 DEADLY ASTEROIDS NEAR EARTH. 181 BECAUSE THE IMPACT OF ASTEROIDS IS SO GREAT, THE LOW PROBABILITY DOESNʼT MATTER. 182 O IL SPILLS 183 USE NUKES TO STOP OIL SPILLS. 183 NUKES CAN STOP OIL SPILLS. 183 THE SOVIETS USED NUKES TO STOP OIL SPILLS, SO CAN OTHER NATIONS. 183 A 20% CHANCE OF FAILURE AND LITTLE EFFECTS OF RADIATION MAKE NUKING SOUND LIKE A FEASIBLE WAY TO STOP OIL SPILLS. 184 NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS ARE A TIME TESTED WAY OF STOPPING OIL SPILLS. 184 ENERGY EXPERTS RECOMMEND NUKES FAST WAY TO SOLVE OIL SPILLS. 185 NUKES WILL BE TOO DEEP TO CAUSE HARM UNLIKE THE OIL SPILL THAT WILL DESTROY THE OCEAN ENVIRONMENT. 185 THE SOVIETS SUCCESSFULLY USED NUKES COMPARABLE TO THE ONES USED ON JAPAN TO SEAL OIL WELLS. 185 RADIOACTIVE FALLOUT WILL BE MINIMAL FOR NUKES USED TO SEAL OIL SPILLS. 185 OIL TAR HARMING HUNDREDS OF ANIMALS AND COASTAL RESIDENTS IS MUCH WORSE THAN LIMITED RADIOACTIVE HARM IN SUBOCEANIC BEDROCK. 186
10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 10 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com NUKES WERE USED TO STOP A GAS LEAK IN UZBEKISTAN ONCE. 186 A LIENS 187 ALIENS WANT NATIONS TO DISARM. 187 ALIENS WANT NATIONS TO DISARM. 187 ALIENS EXIST – EYEWITNESS TESTIMONY SHOULDNʼT BE DISMISSED. 188 ALIENS EXIST, AND WE SHOULD AVOID THEM. 188 CONTACT WITH ALIENS IS SURE TO BE HOSTILE. 188 I RAN 189 LET IRAN HAVE NUKES TO DETER US INVASION. 189 ISRAEL MUST HAVE NUKES TO SECURE ITSELF FROM IRANIAN THREAT. 190 IRAN IS NOT FANATICAL; IT CAN HANDLE THE NUKE. 190 IRAN NEEDS NUKES TO DETER ISRAELI ATTACK, NOT CAUSE IT. 190 IRAN WILL NOT ENGAGE IN MASS MURDER IF IT ACQUIRES NUKES. 191 IRANIAN NUKES ARE NECESSARY TO SECURE THE NATION FROM EXTERNAL THREATS. 191 IRANIAN BOMB DOES NOT HARM ISRAELI DETERRENCE. 191 AN IRANIAN NUKE IS NECESSARY TO DETER A US NUCLEAR STRIKE IN THE REGION. 192 IRAN MUST GO NUCLEAR TO SAVE ITSELF FROM A NUCLEAR ISREAEL, A NUCLEAR RUSSIA, AND A NUCLEAR AMERICA OCCUPYING TWO COUNTRIES SURROUNDING IT. 192 THE ONLY IMPLICATION TO IRANIAN PROLIFERATION IS STABILITY. 193 M ISCELLANEOUS 194 THE POSSESSION OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS FULFILLS THE NEEDS OF A PROLIFERATING STATE. 194 FOCUS ON THE HORROR OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS USE TRANSFERS AGENCY TO THE BOMB. 194 DONʼT BLAME THE BOMB. 195 NMD FAILS TO WORK BECAUSE NUCLEAR WEAPONS AND BE DELIVERED IN A NUMBER OF WAYS 195 NATIONS WILL PURSUE NUCLEAR WEAPONS IF STATES ALREADY HAVE IT. THEY NEED SECURITY TOO. 196 NUCLEAR WEAPONS HAVE INCREASED STATESʼ SECURITY. 196 NOT ALL FORMS OF NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION ARE BAD 197 NUCLEAR WEAPONS ARE THE ULTIMATE EQUALIZER IN INTERNATIONAL POLITICS. 197 NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION REPLACES OTHER, MORE EXPENSIVE FORMS OF MILITARY GROWTH 199
10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 11 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com Topic Analysis by Ryan Hamilton This topic has a lot of promise – but there area lot of traps that debaters must work hard to avoid lest they inflict upon judges and one another a boring debate that has no substantial clash and few educational merits. To that end, it is my advice that debaters work hard to either affirm or negate the resolution on its basis as a normative ethical claim rather than on any kind of act-actor grounds. I think there are several good reasons why debaters should choose this interpretation of the resolution first, it is clearly what the author of this resolution intended. There are some topics these days that focus on an actor or use a particular term of art that invites an advocacy that is hyperspecific – this is not one of them. More to the point, if someone asked another should states possess nuclear weapons And the other party replied Iran ought not possess nuclear weapons, the asking party would probably say That doesnʼt answer my question It might be tempting to take the path which requires less intellectual rigor – but that is a path what has no destination that include sense. Second, any engagement of implementation of plans requires debaters – the most advanced of which are still only high school students with perhaps one or two civics or government classes on their CV – to engage in rank speculation regarding the nature and way any country might chose to disarm or the political ramifications of joining this treaty or that. I have sat through a great many practice rounds already and the most boring and narrow debates were between two debaters forwarding case positions that required them to speculate on the nuclear weapons firing protocol between countries who mayor may not have been minutes away from blowing us all away in a horrible nuclear holocaust because of some flock of birds or whatever or what Israel must do to satisfy its irrational enemies in the near east. Lets face it youʼre not Madeleine Albright and neither am I. Third, it doesnʼt make any sense. Youʼd necessarily need an agreement or imperative that states ought not possess nuclear weapons prior to engaging in any type of debate regarding disarmament – an ethical debate about the merits of the topic would necessarily precede any debate about how best to form a reality around the normative claim should it be affirmed – so why not just have that debate The alternative is to skirt the issue and try to shove a square peg in a very round hole – sometimes so forcefully that it can only be described as a sort of intellectually violent action. For instance, if the topic were individuals ought not lie, the most proper debate would be about how others have rights to the truth and how lying calls into question the notion of truth in the first place. Once that proposition has been affirmed, and only once it has – can we move onto discuss methods by which we try to order society or moral systems around its validity. But the veracity of the claim must first be established. It is not clear, independent of the capability
10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 12 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com to disarm all countries immediately, whether or not states have any kind of imperative to not possess them. Lastly, the sort of debate found above doesnʼt educate anyone regarding moral truth and vastly increases the breadth of research debaters will need to be competitive or even slightly authoritative in their claims. They will have to research all combinations of two (or more) of the 9 known nuclear powers to be topical (since states means two or more) and then, when it comes to implementation, research particular methods of disarmament, understand which economies can support which measures, and soon and soon. This might be easier to understand and is certainly more straightforward, but my advice is to stop the madness before it starts and write a case position that engages the moral and ethical issues that exist in the abstract and does not require any knowledge of the minutia that might result from any plans of disarmament that happen post-affirmation. The alternative seems to avoid these pitfalls and provide an excellent opportunity for students to discuss and engage in philosophical debate about ethical prescriptions. Whether or not nuclear weapons – the sole purpose of which is to destroy on a magnitude so vast that we can hardly understand it, or to threaten that destruction to coerce others to act in such away as we wish – are ethical is a question that is ripe for the picking. These sorts of debate, however, require an intellectual rigor – understanding moral concepts does not come easy to most of us, myself included. It requires reflection and meditation on concepts, going through examples trying to distill a clear principle. Please do not give up during your research periods – forge ahead, read one more page, lookup one more explanation. Once that process is done, most of the cases that follow the above advice will probably include a lot of framework. Give judges a very clear value and criterion structure that sets your argumentation up for success. I have no small stake in this – as a judge, I feel the argument about the way in which I should evaluate the arguments is probably the most interesting part of the debates. I will outline some case positions for both sides below, starting with the affirmative. Affirming: First, and most obviously tome, is a case position that is consistent with a deontological understanding of ethics. Nuclear weapons are not ends in themselves, they are only instruments – typically of foreign policy or warfare – that seek the ends of a greater strategy. The key to that strategy is to threaten force so great that no actor – rational or otherwise – would ever defy an ultimatum where nuclear destruction were the consequence. There are two parts to the action threat of force and it seems inevitable, use of force. But it is difficult to warrant claims that nuclear
10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 13 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com weapons will necessarily be used in the future, and even then, it engages in the sort of rank speculation of which I have already spoken ill. But the threat seems tome to meet a threshold of violation of rights – it treats individuals strictly as a means to a greater strategic policy of coercion. This clearly means that states in possession of nuclear weapons violate a fair treatment of individuals standard by ignoring that individuals are ends in and of themselves, not slaves to some greater foreign policy objective by their home country or a foreign one. In this way, the possession of nuclear weapons is immoral because of the way it makes objects out of people – lives become the collateral of foreign policy strategies, numbers to be added together. This position has several advantages, if you ask me first, it avoids the debates about implementation that I have already discussed. Second, it doesnʼt speculate on this, but rather speaks to the nature of mere possession of nuclear weapons without considering their particular use. All one must do is setup a framework whereby individuals ought to be treated as ends in themselves, warrant the destructive potential of nuclear weapons, easily enough done, warrant that the threat of said destruction itself is a sufficient enough violation of the standard and you have yourself a good starter affirmative case position. I have given significant time to reflection on whether or not the nature of a nuclear weapon – with its implications for destruction and coercive power – is not so contrary to a free living and purposeful advancement of the species through time and space that it violates ethical standards by its nature alone. I think it is fairly reasonable to hold that the intention to destroy ones enemy is not altogether immoral depending on the situation – but who can argue that the destruction be carried out when it has the capability to not just destroy ones enemy but to annihilate him complete and along with him all mankind and even rob life of its home hereon Earth – which nuclear weapons, by their very nature, do. If the idea can be rejected as immoral, then certainly there are sufficient dangers associated with the material object, the bomb itself, which are so offensive to our code of ethics which is meant to protect and promote life. This, of course, is a somewhat mystical case that would require a great deal to warrant in the framework, but it is not without literature in the academic world. When the topic was first released, I immediately researched what Bertrand Russell had to say about the issue. He is perhaps the most famous global zero (before it was called that) academic who found the nature of nuclear weapons, vis a vis their destructive power, to simply be incompatible with our humanity. Indeed, his famous radio address, Manʼs Peril ends with a call for individuals to remember their humanity and forget all else. The underlying assumption of Russellʼs objection to nuclear weapons was that they posed a risk not only to Soviets or Americans, to capitalists or communists, but to the advancement of the species into the future. For all of his liberal atheism, Russell saw in nuclear weapons the ultimate threat to a conservative position he looked to what wed accomplished, to how we gained from our surroundings an understanding of working, created beautiful works of art
10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 14 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com and music. He liked what he saw, and thought that it ought to be preserved. Any threat to its preservation, particularly threats over which we as a species have control, ought to be eliminated out of hand. Additionally, this gives the opportunity for local debaters to introduce new philosophies that arenʼt outrageous to their circuits to not only raise the level of discourse but get ahead start on college philosophy classes. This summer I was fortunate enough to assist in the philosophy focus week at the Victory Briefs Institute where was taught contractualism. Contractualism can be summed up in an easy and debate-packaged way we form normative ethical codes on propositions which cannot be reasonably rejected. In other words, morality has a lotto do with actions which can be justified to others. It seeks to combine the best elements of consequential frameworks and deontic frameworks and create positions that neither could reasonably reject. The next thing to warrant is how undue harm to innocent parties is not justified by this ethical framework because of the lack of a convincing justification – even if the affirmative debater concedes that civilians in two or more warring parties can be considered collateral to the opposing state, nuclear weapons have consequences that will necessarily negatively effect innocent parties who arenʼt part of the conflict – as small as radiation, air, and water pollution and as large as a cataclysmic nuclear winter that wipes out all life on Earth. Insofar as any use of nuclear weapons will inevitably harm uninvolved, innocent third parties to a conflict, their possession is unjust. Negating: The most attractive negative position, for me, comes out of an article by Hans Morgenthau called The 6 Principles of Political Realism that is easily found by a Google search mixed in with a little basic social contract theory. Morgenthau differentiates between the obligations of individuals and the obligations of states since individuals operate on their own behalf, they are readily able to self-sacrifice since theirs is the only agency that goes down with them. States, on the other hand, exercise power on behalf of others and therefore cannot engage in self-sacrificing actions because they would violate the agency of the individuals they are meant to protect. In this way, states should certainly not surrender nuclear weapons, doing so would be a major abrogation of what they are expected to do – then, states ought to acquire and accumulate weapons with this end in mind protect the citizens. This furthers the states ethical obligation to protect its citizens and makes it amoral pursuit. It also has a lets get real approach about the world approach – states do not exist in utopian settings where most people get along, but rather a state of nature more like what Thomas Hobbes described – caught between imperialism and regional tensions, states should be looking to how to best navigate the international system in away that serves their best interests, and not subject to some highfalutin
10NFL1-Nuclear Weapons Page 15 of 199 www.victorybriefs.com moral charge that forces them to abandon what have turned out to be extraordinarily useful tools. More to the point, these weapons are part of a very rare genus whereby states with small or nonexistent conventional armies have the capability of pushing back against larger forces that are typically trying to exert control or exercise influence contrary to a weaker states good. The sort of naiveté engendered by the affirmative position only compounds the problem it leaves states ill equipped to protect their citizens in an increasingly hostile international realm. Indeed, basic social contract theory tells us that we give up certain rights to states in exchange for protection, and insofar as nuclear weapons exist, it makes sense that the state should seek to acquire them to further its goal of protecting its charges. No person would ever enter into asocial contract knowing that their particular state would preference everyone the same regardless of borders – this idea rather negates the entire point of the social contract. Therefore, if states have any obligations to their citizens they must first uphold those in order for any subsequent action to be moral or just or credible – it is therefore not immoral to possess nuclear weapons, but rather the possession of instruments which further the duty of the state can be proactively moral and a hinge on which all further state action maybe judged as immoral if they surrender the weapons. All of this is just a starting point – I hope youʼll consider my advice as you embark on case writing and researching. Best of luck to you all
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