Chinese Wind Energy Disad


NC/1NR UQ—China Growth Now



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2NC/1NR UQ—China Growth Now

China’s growing now---no alt causes


Ling 13—Li, writer at the Global Times. “China’s path gives global economy hope,” 2013, http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90778/8122121.html
At the recent 2013 World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, China tops the agenda. The agenda on the first day was about China's growth. When I opened the thick handbook, all I could see were China-related topics. This has never occurred in the history of Davos. ¶ WEF Chairman Klaus Schwab told me the arrangement was made in response to feedbacks from participants.¶ Hot discussions about China were not only reflected in the 115-page agenda, but also at forums where China was not the main subject but was constantly mentioned. ¶ The theme of this year's Davos was "Resilient Dynamism." Currently, the prospect for the recovery of developed economies is still gloomy. Though there have been signs that economies in Europe and the US are rebounding, real reforms are few, which means that the mechanisms that caused the financial crisis haven't been changed. ¶ Meanwhile, almost all developed countries have overdrawn their fiscal expenditures and are not able to do anything more. ¶ China has brought confidence and hope to a global economy that is still stuck in the mud. China's economy is developing fast in the transformation process. In 2012 when it slowed its growth rate, it still maintained a growth rate of 7.8 percent. It is expected that the figure will be about 8.2 percent in 2013. This trend has been admired by many. When I attended various forums and communicated with participants, they all spoke highly of China's economic development.¶ Of course China has its own problems. When I discussed with experts about the problems and solutions, I often heard that every country has problems, and different problems come at different times. The changes China has experienced these years show that it has the capability to solve its problems.

AT: China Growth Weak—Inflation/Overheating

No overheating


WSJ 12—MarketWatch, “China’s inflation not such a worry for now”, http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2012/12/09/chinas-inflation-not-such-a-worry-for-now/
Chinese data out Sunday showed that consumer prices picked up in November, but economists moved to dispel concerns about a possible price shock from rising food costs. The consumer price index is a key data point for investors, with a desire to keep control of prices one of the main reasons behind China’s post-2009 policy-tightening moves.¶ China’s November data out over the weekend saw CPI growth at 2%, accelerating from 1.7% in October, with Jun Ma at Deutsche Bank noting the increase was due mainly to a sharp rise in vegetable prices, which climbed 11% month-on-month.¶ November’s food-related rebound in consumer inflation “is sparking fears about another inflationary shock next year,” said Xianfang Ren at Capital Economics.¶ However, Ren also said that while inflation is expected to pick up in 2013, it won’t likely be a dramatic rise.China now is actually standing at the late stage of contraction and early stage of expansion — likely a weak expansion cycle. Bottom line is that inflation won’t be the No. 1 concern next year.” Ren said.¶ HSBC Greater China chief economist Qu Hongbin also focused on the growth backdrop as a reason for expecting the data series to remain benign in 2013. Demand is not running at full speed, he said, while modest growth means imported inflation risks should be manageable, as Chinese demand is so large that it plays a significant role in setting global commodities prices. Qu said that “given that over 30% of China’s CPI basket is food, which is sensitive to weather conditions,” the CPI rate tends to be vulnerable to supply shocks. But he went some way to try to dispel fears about food prices.¶ “The good news is that the ninth consecutive good harvest – something not seen for half a century – will help maintain the balance of food supply and demand. The supply of live pigs is sufficient to avoid large price rises,” the economist said.¶ Beijing will likely be happy with CPI in a range of between 3% and 4% in 2013, Qu said, adding that “price stability remains a priority, not only for economic development, but also for social stability.”

Their ev is overly-pessimistic—China’s growth is strong


Ezrati 13—Milton, economics writer at On Wall Street [“China's Economy Looking More Secure,” 2013, http://www.onwallstreet.com/ows_issues/23_2/china-s-economic-outlook-looking-more-secure-2682937-1.html]
It seems China's economic outlook at last has stopped keeping investors up at night. For the last 18 months or so, experts have worried about China's prospects. Pointing to the economy's slow growth and its bursting real estate bubble, they have fretted over economic collapse, the possibility of a "hard landing," and the potential repercussions for the global economy and its financial markets.¶ Deeper analyses and real-world probabilities always suggested that such fears were overblown, but they have persisted nonetheless. Now recent data emerging from Beijing offers still more reason for investors to set aside their worst fears about China. Its economy, of course, will not recapture the astronomical growth rates of some years ago. But still, it looks quite capable of sustaining real growth in the range of 7.5% to 8.5% a year. Considering that this rate of expansion is more than four times the pace expected for the United States, it should provide considerable opportunity in Chinese investments, both directly and through equity purchases.



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