Cp solves the whole aff and gets China onto the fmct key to counter prolif



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Colonization

And no solvency deficits – SLS is on track – testing now with good results


ChinaPost 6-30 — ChinaPost ("NASA tests rocket booster ahead of 2018 mission", 6-30-2016, Available Online at http://www.chinapost.com.tw/life/science-&-technology/2016/06/30/470723/NASA-tests.htm, accessed 7-15-2016, JSO)

MIAMI, Florida--NASA on Tuesday performed its second and last test-fire of a rocket booster for the Space Launch System (SLS), a powerful engine that may one day launch astronauts to Mars, the U.S. space agency said. Fire and gray smoke billowed from the booster, which lay on the ground during the two-minute test fire in the remote hills of Utah at 11:05 a.m. (1605 GMT). NASA has described the SLS as the "world's most powerful rocket," and said the test aimed to see how the booster's propellant performed at the colder end of its temperature range. "This final qualification test of the booster system shows real progress in the development of the Space Launch System," said William Gerstenmaier, associate administrator for the Human Exploration and Operations Mission Directorate at NASA.

Status quo solves — multilateral space cooperation at UN’s COPUOS.


Rose 16 — Frank A. Rose, 2016 ("Using Diplomacy to Advance the Long-Term Sustainability and Security of the Outer Space Environment » US Mission Geneva," No Publication, March 3rd, Available Online at https://geneva.usmission.gov/2016/03/07/using-diplomacy-to-advance-the-long-term-sustainability-and-security-of-the-outer-space-environment/, Accessed 7-15-2016)

A second promising area is the important work being done in the UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space, or COPUOS, on the development of new international long-term sustainability, or LTS, guidelines. Under the capable chairmanship of Peter Martinez of South Africa, the COPUOS Working Group has identified areas of consensus as well as remaining areas of disagreement. We hope to work constructively with all COPUOS participants in Vienna to complete work on consensus guidelines for long-term sustainability of outer space activities in 2016. The effort on the LTS guidelines is mutually reinforcing with the implementation of the GGE’s recommendations, as the LTS guidelines can lay the foundation for additional TCBMs. Another promising area is our work in this region, in concert with Japan, Australia, and others, to advance TCBMs in the ASEAN Regional Forum, or ARF. We recognize the rapid emergence of a range of Asia-Pacific nations in space and continue to attach great importance to this particular forum, which reflects the diversity and energy of the region. We have already co-hosted two ARF Workshops on Space Security, including one with Japan and Indonesia in 2014 here in Tokyo. We will continue to stay engaged in this important regional forum, and our hope that the ARF Workshops will in the future yield potential TCBMs for the region to consider.

No interest on either side – China doesn’t need US expertise anymore and Washington opposes Beijing’s currency policies


Jim Wolf 11, writer for MSNBC news, 1/3/11 “Space: A frontier too far for U.S.-China cooperation,” https://www.coursehero.com/file/p3v9ds9/there-are-fears-that-states-might-someday-attack-US-satellites-to-cripple-its/

WASHINGTON — The prospects for cooperation between the United States and China in space are fading even as proponents say working together in the heavens could help build bridges in often-testy relations on Earth. The idea of joint ventures in space, including spacewalks, explorations and symbolic "feelgood" projects, have been floated from time to time by leaders on both sides. Efforts have gone nowhere over the past decade, swamped by economic, diplomatic and security tensions, despite a 2009 attempt by President Barack Obama and his Chinese counterpart, Hu Jintao, to kick-start the bureaucracies. U.S. domestic politics make the issue unlikely to advance when Obama hosts Hu at the White House on Jan. 19. Washington is at odds with Beijing over its currency policies and huge trade surplus but needs China's help to deter North Korea and Iran's nuclear ambitions and advance global climate and trade talks, among other matters. Hu's state visit will highlight the importance of expanding cooperation on "bilateral, regional and global issues," the White House said. But space appears to be a frontier too far for now, partly due to U.S. fears of an inadvertent technology transfer. China may no longer be much interested in any event, reckoning it does not need U.S. expertise for its space program.




No mars col – starvation, bad tech, and a whole bunch of other things

Anthony 14

(Sebastian Anthony On October 13, 2014 At 9, 10-13-2014, "The first Mars One colonists will suffocate, starve, and be incinerated, according to MIT," ExtremeTech, http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/191862-the-first-mars-one-colonists-will-suffocate-starve-and-be-incinerated-according-to-mit/jkuffour)



In the 2020s, Mars One — essentially a Dutch-made extraplanetary reality TV show — will send amateur astronauts on a one-way trip to Mars. Their attempts to colonize the Red Planet will be televised — which, according to a new report by aerospace researchers at MIT, might make for particularly morbid viewing. The MIT researchers analyzed the Mars One mission plan and found that the first astronaut would suffocate after 68 days. The other astronauts would die of starvation, dehydration, or incineration in an oxygen-rich atmosphere. The analysis also concludes that 15 Falcon Heavy launches — costing around $4.5 billion — would be needed to support the first four Mars One crew. In short, the colonization of Mars will make for some seriously compelling TV. Following the announcement of its one-way mission to Mars in 2012, some 200,000 people registered their interest on the Mars One website. That number has now been whittled down to 705 candidates — a fairly even mix of men and women from all over the world (but mostly the US, of course!) Several teams of four astronauts (two men, two women) will now be assembled, and training will begin. The current plan is to send a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket carrying the first team of four to Mars in 2022 — just eight years from now. The whole thing will be televised as a reality TV show. In the interim, a number of precursor missions — supplies, life-support units, living units, and supply units — will be sent to Mars ahead of the human colonizers. More colonists will be sent fairly rapidly thereafter, with 20 settlers expected by 2033. The technology underpinning the mission is rather nebulous, though — and indeed, that’s where the aerospace researchers at MIT find a number of potentially catastrophic faults. Basically, while we kind of have the technology to set up a colony on Mars, most of it is at a very low technology readiness level (TRL) and untested in a Mars-like environment. Mars One will rely heavily on life support and in-situ resource utilization (ISRU) — squeezing water from Martian soil and oxygen from the atmosphere — but these technologies are still a long way off large-scale, industrial use by a nascent human colony on Mars. NASA’s next Mars rover will have an ISRU unit that will make oxygen from the Red Planet’s atmosphere of CO2 — but that rover isn’t scheduled to launch until 2020, just two years before the planned launch of Mars One. The paper prepared by the MIT researchers [PDF] is rather damning. Basically, due to the difficulty of shipping supplies to Mars, the colonists will mostly live off the land. The problem is, plants produce a lot of oxygen — and in a closed environment, too much oxygen is a bad thing (things start to spontaneously explode). So, you have to vent the oxygen — but we don’t yet have the technology to vent oxygen without also venting the nitrogen, which is used to pressurize the various Mars One pods. As a result, air pressure will eventually get so thin that the colonists can’t breathe — with the first one dying of hypoxia after 68 days. Other potential modes of death are: starvation (the current Mars One plan simply doesn’t contain enough calories for the colonists); dehydration; CO2 poisoning; and death by spontaneous immolation due to a rich oxygen atmosphere. The researchers also note that Mars One’s plan of sending more colonists after the original four is a bad, bad idea. Not only will this exacerbate any technological issues, but there’ll be an ever-increasing demand on resources like food and water, and faster wear-and-tear that will require more replacement parts. All of these factors will increase the number of resupply craft, pushing the total cost of the project into tens of billions of dollars. In short, the MIT researchers find a lot of problems with the current plans laid out by Mars One. Dutch entrepreneur and CEO of Mars One, Bas Lansdorp, disputes the contents of the MIT report, saying “oxygen concentrators” already exist — and if oxygen levels and air pressure can be kept stable, then many of MIT’s other assertions about dehydration and starvation are moot. In any case, the MIT report highlights that Mars One might be overreaching slightly. I think it’s totally feasible that Mars One can get people to Mars, but their quality of life once they get there will probably be pretty rough. This isn’t to say that colonizing Mars is impossible: We could certainly have the technology ready in the next few years if there was enough money/sponsorship behind it — but so far, I don’t think Mars One has progressed far enough or fast enough to colonize Mars in 2022. At least not ethically, anyway: There’s always the option that Mars One will send the settlers to Mars knowing full well that they won’t survive longer than 68 days. It would be the perfect and sickening culmination of society’s infatuation with reality TV.


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