Draft import risk analysis report



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3.5 Summary of risk analysis.


Table 3.

Agent

Likelihood of entry

Likelihood of establishment

Consequences of establishment

Risk management required, yes/no

Rift Valley fever

Negligible.

Not relevant.

not relevant

No

Rabies virus

Low from endemic countries.

Negligible from unaffected countries.



Low.

Serious zoonosis.

yes

Aujeszky’s disease

Extremely low.

Extremely low to negligible.

Medium to serious.

No

Coronaviruses (TGE)

Negligible.

Not relevant.

Not relevant.

No

Burkholderia mallei (glanders)

Very low from affected regions, negligible from unaffected regions.

Within zoo, low; beyond zoo, very low to negligible.

Significant within zoo. Serious if spread to outside equine population.

Zoonosis.



Yes

Mycobacterium tuberculosis, M. bovis

Very low.

Within zoo, low; beyond zoo, negligible.

Serious at zoo or national level.

Zoonosis.



Yes

Francisella tularensis

Extremely low.

Low.

Serious.

No.

Trypanosoma brucei brucei, T. vivax. (nagana)

Very low from affected regions, negligible from unaffected regions.

Negligible.

Not relevant.

No

Agent

Likelihood of entry

Likelihood of establishment

Consequences of establishment

Risk management required, yes/no

T. evansi (surra)

Low for endemic regions, negligible for unaffected regions

Moderate to high.

Serious.

Yes

T. cruzi (Chaga’s disease)

Moderate from endemic regions, negligible from unaffected regions

Negligible

Not relevant

No

Echinococcus granulosus felidis

Low.

Negligible.

Not relevant.

No

E. multilocularis, E. oligarthus (alveolar hydatiosis)

Low.

Negligible.

Zoonosis with serious consequences to exposed zoo staff.

Yes

Trichinella spiralis

Low to moderate.

Negligible.

Zoonosis, but unlikely to affect zoo staff.

No

Cochliomyia hominivorax and Chrysomyia bezziana (Screw-worm fly)

Very low.

Low to moderate.

Serious.

Yes

Borna disease virus

Very low.

Insufficient information on transmission.

Medium.

No

Canine distemper virus

Very low.

High likelihood of spread to other susceptible zoo species.

Within zoos consequences could be serious. Beyond zoos, consequences negligible.

Yes

Nipah virus

Very low from endemic country, negligible from other regions.

Extremely low.

Serious zoonosis with extreme consequences.

Yes

Cowpox

Extremely low.

Very low to negligible.

Mild.

No

Puma lentivirus

Moderate for susceptible species only.

Negligible other than to identical species within zoo.

Mild.

No

Transmissible spongiform encephalopathy

Extremely low.

Negligible.

Not relevant

No

Ehrlichia canis, E. risticii

Extremely low.

Extremely low.

Mild.

No

Yersinia pestis (plague)

Low to extremely low from endemic regions, negligible from unaffected regions.

Insufficient data on Australia’s potential reservoirs.

Serious zoonosis reportable to the WHO. Potential for extreme consequences.

Yes

Blastomyces dermatidis

Very low.

Extremely low.

Mild.

No

Cytauxzoon felis

In Lynx rufus moderate, in other Felidae, negligible.

Very low.

Moderate at zoo level, otherwise negligible.

Yes for Lynx rufus only.

Agent

Likelihood of entry

Likelihood of establishment

Consequences of establishment

Risk management required, yes/no

Babesia felis

Extremely low.

Insufficient data.

Mild.

No

Besnoitia besnoitii

Extremely low.

Negligible.

Not relevant.

No

Schistosomes

Extremely low.

Negligible.

Zoonosis but no particular risk to zoo staff.

No

Paragonimus kellicotti

Extremely low.

Negligible.

Not relevant.

No

Diphyllobothrium latum

Very low.

Negligible.

Zoonosis but no particular risk to zoo staff.

No

Tunga penetrans

Extremely low.

Negligible likelihood of establishment beyond zoo, but moderate to high likelihood of spread if establishment did occur.

Mild.

No

Exotic ticks

High.

Moderate.

Dependent on species of tick and any disease agent it might carry.

Yes



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