Scenario B1 Alternative Method - rigid vehicles
|
Worst Case 12%
Discount rate
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
Number of fleet fitted with UP
(,000)
|
0.0
|
9.7
|
19.4
|
29.1
|
38.8
|
48.5
|
58.2
|
67.9
|
77.6
|
87.3
|
97.0
|
106.7
|
116.4
|
Percentage of fleet fitted with UP
(%)
|
0%
|
5%
|
10%
|
15%
|
20%
|
25%
|
30%
|
35%
|
40%
|
45%
|
50%
|
55%
|
60%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Front UP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits from percentage of fleet
fitted with UP ($m)
|
0.0
|
1.8
|
3.6
|
5.3
|
7.1
|
8.9
|
10.7
|
12.4
|
14.2
|
16.0
|
17.8
|
19.5
|
21.3
|
Present Value (PV) of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
1.6
|
2.8
|
3.8
|
4.5
|
5.0
|
5.4
|
5.6
|
5.7
|
5.8
|
5.7
|
5.6
|
5.5
|
Cumulative PV of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
1.6
|
4.4
|
8.2
|
12.7
|
17.8
|
23.2
|
28.8
|
34.5
|
40.3
|
46.0
|
51.6
|
57.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Installation cost of UP for new
vehicles ($m)
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
Present Value (PV) of the Cost
|
4.3
|
3.8
|
3.4
|
3.0
|
2.7
|
2.4
|
2.2
|
1.9
|
1.7
|
1.5
|
1.4
|
1.2
|
1.1
|
Cumulative PV of the Cost
|
4.3
|
8.1
|
11.5
|
14.5
|
17.2
|
19.6
|
21.8
|
23.7
|
25.5
|
27.0
|
28.4
|
29.6
|
30.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present Value (NPV)
|
-4.3
|
-6.5
|
-7.1
|
-6.3
|
-4.5
|
-1.9
|
1.3
|
5.0
|
9.0
|
13.3
|
17.6
|
22.0
|
26.4
|
Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
1.2
|
1.4
|
1.5
|
1.6
|
1.7
|
1.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Side UP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits from percentage of fleet
fitted with UP ($m)
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
0.8
|
1.1
|
1.5
|
1.9
|
2.3
|
2.6
|
3.0
|
3.4
|
3.8
|
4.1
|
4.5
|
Present Value (PV) of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
1.0
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
Cumulative PV of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.3
|
0.9
|
1.7
|
2.7
|
3.8
|
4.9
|
6.1
|
7.3
|
8.5
|
9.7
|
10.9
|
12.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Installation cost of UP for new
vehicles ($m)
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
Present Value (PV) of the Cost
|
8.2
|
7.3
|
6.5
|
5.8
|
5.2
|
4.7
|
4.2
|
3.7
|
3.3
|
3.0
|
2.6
|
2.4
|
2.1
|
Cumulative PV of the Cost
|
8.2
|
15.5
|
22.1
|
27.9
|
33.1
|
37.8
|
42.0
|
45.7
|
49.0
|
52.0
|
54.6
|
57.0
|
59.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present Value (NPV)
|
-8.2
|
-15.2
|
-21.1
|
-26.2
|
-30.5
|
-34.0
|
-37.1
|
-39.6
|
-41.7
|
-43.4
|
-44.9
|
-46.0
|
-47.0
|
Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rear UP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits from percentage of fleet
fitted with UP ($m)
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
1.4
|
1.6
|
1.8
|
2.0
|
2.3
|
2.5
|
2.7
|
Present Value (PV) of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
Cumulative PV of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.6
|
1.1
|
1.6
|
2.3
|
3.0
|
3.7
|
4.4
|
5.2
|
5.9
|
6.6
|
7.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Installation cost of UP for new
vehicles ($m)
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
Present Value (PV) of the Cost
|
7.5
|
6.7
|
6.0
|
5.3
|
4.8
|
4.3
|
3.8
|
3.4
|
3.0
|
2.7
|
2.4
|
2.2
|
1.9
|
Cumulative PV of the Cost
|
7.5
|
14.2
|
20.2
|
25.5
|
30.3
|
34.5
|
38.3
|
41.7
|
44.7
|
47.4
|
49.9
|
52.0
|
53.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present Value (NPV)
|
-7.5
|
-14.0
|
-19.6
|
-24.4
|
-28.6
|
-32.2
|
-35.3
|
-38.0
|
-40.3
|
-42.3
|
-44.0
|
-45.4
|
-46.6
|
Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
