Scenario B1 Alternative Method - rigid vehicles
|
Likely Case 7%
Discount rate
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
Number of fleet fitted with UP
(,000)
|
0.0
|
9.7
|
19.4
|
29.1
|
38.8
|
48.5
|
58.2
|
67.9
|
77.6
|
87.3
|
97.0
|
106.7
|
116.4
|
Percentage of fleet fitted with UP
(%)
|
0%
|
5%
|
10%
|
15%
|
20%
|
25%
|
30%
|
35%
|
40%
|
45%
|
50%
|
55%
|
60%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Front UP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits from percentage of fleet
fitted with UP ($m)
|
0.0
|
1.8
|
3.6
|
5.3
|
7.1
|
8.9
|
10.7
|
12.4
|
14.2
|
16.0
|
17.8
|
19.5
|
21.3
|
Present Value (PV) of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
1.7
|
3.1
|
4.3
|
5.4
|
6.3
|
7.1
|
7.7
|
8.3
|
8.7
|
9.0
|
9.3
|
9.5
|
Cumulative PV of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
1.7
|
4.8
|
9.1
|
14.5
|
20.9
|
28.0
|
35.7
|
44.0
|
52.7
|
61.7
|
71.0
|
80.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Installation cost of UP for new
vehicles ($m)
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
Present Value (PV) of the Cost
|
4.3
|
4.0
|
3.7
|
3.5
|
3.3
|
3.0
|
2.8
|
2.7
|
2.5
|
2.3
|
2.2
|
2.0
|
1.9
|
Cumulative PV of the Cost
|
4.3
|
8.3
|
12.0
|
15.5
|
18.7
|
21.8
|
24.6
|
27.3
|
29.7
|
32.1
|
34.2
|
36.3
|
38.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present Value (NPV)
|
-4.3
|
-6.6
|
-7.2
|
-6.4
|
-4.2
|
-0.9
|
3.3
|
8.4
|
14.2
|
20.6
|
27.4
|
34.7
|
42.3
|
Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
1.0
|
1.1
|
1.3
|
1.5
|
1.6
|
1.8
|
2.0
|
2.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Side UP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits from percentage of fleet
fitted with UP ($m)
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
0.8
|
1.1
|
1.5
|
1.9
|
2.3
|
2.6
|
3.0
|
3.4
|
3.8
|
4.1
|
4.5
|
Present Value (PV) of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
1.3
|
1.5
|
1.6
|
1.7
|
1.8
|
1.9
|
2.0
|
2.0
|
Cumulative PV of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
1.0
|
1.9
|
3.1
|
4.4
|
5.9
|
7.6
|
9.3
|
11.1
|
13.1
|
15.0
|
17.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Installation cost of UP for new
vehicles ($m)
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
Present Value (PV) of the Cost
|
8.2
|
7.7
|
7.2
|
6.7
|
6.3
|
5.9
|
5.5
|
5.1
|
4.8
|
4.5
|
4.2
|
3.9
|
3.6
|
Cumulative PV of the Cost
|
8.2
|
15.9
|
23.1
|
29.8
|
36.0
|
41.9
|
47.3
|
52.5
|
57.2
|
61.7
|
65.9
|
69.8
|
73.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present Value (NPV)
|
-8.2
|
-15.5
|
-22.0
|
-27.8
|
-32.9
|
-37.5
|
-41.4
|
-44.9
|
-47.9
|
-50.6
|
-52.8
|
-54.8
|
-56.4
|
Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rear UP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits from percentage of fleet
fitted with UP ($m)
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
1.4
|
1.6
|
1.8
|
2.0
|
2.3
|
2.5
|
2.7
|
Present Value (PV) of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.9
|
1.0
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
Cumulative PV of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.6
|
1.2
|
1.9
|
2.7
|
3.6
|
4.6
|
5.6
|
6.8
|
7.9
|
9.1
|
10.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Installation cost of UP for new
vehicles ($m)
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
Present Value (PV) of the Cost
|
7.5
|
7.0
|
6.5
|
6.1
|
5.7
|
5.3
|
5.0
|
4.7
|
4.4
|
4.1
|
3.8
|
3.6
|
3.3
|
Cumulative PV of the Cost
|
7.5
|
14.5
|
21.0
|
27.2
|
32.9
|
38.2
|
43.2
|
47.9
|
52.3
|
56.3
|
60.1
|
63.7
|
67.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present Value (NPV)
|
-7.5
|
-14.3
|
-20.4
|
-26.0
|
-31.0
|
-35.6
|
-39.6
|
-43.3
|
-46.6
|
-49.6
|
-52.2
|
-54.6
|
-56.7
|
Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
