Draft regulation Impact Statement for Underrun Protection a draft statement inviting discussion and comments from parties affected by the proposed heavy commercial vehicle safety initiative January 2007 Report Documentation Page



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Year

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

Number of fleet fitted with UP

(,000)


126.1

135.8

145.5

155.2

164.9

174.6

184.3

194.0

203.6

213.3

223.0

232.7

242.4

Percentage of fleet fitted with UP

(%)


65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

105%

110%

115%

120%

125%











































Front UP

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Benefits from percentage of fleet fitted with UP ($m)

23.1

24.9

26.6

28.4

30.2

32.0

33.7

35.5

37.3

39.1

40.8

42.6

44.4

Present Value (PV) of the Benefit

13.9

14.4

14.8

15.2

15.5

15.8

16.0

16.2

16.4

16.5

16.6

16.6

16.6

Cumulative PV of the Benefit

114.4

128.8

143.5

158.7

174.2

190.0

206.0

222.2

238.6

255.0

271.6

288.2

304.9

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Installation cost of UP for new

vehicles ($m)



4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

Present Value (PV) of the Cost

2.6

2.5

2.4

2.3

2.2

2.1

2.0

1.9

1.9

1.8

1.7

1.7

1.6

Cumulative PV of the Cost

46.9

49.3

51.7

54.0

56.2

58.3

60.3

62.3

64.1

65.9

67.7

69.3

70.9

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Net Present Value (NPV)

67.5

79.4

91.8

104.7

118.0

131.7

145.7

159.9

174.4

189.1

203.9

218.9

234.0

Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)

2.4

2.6

2.8

2.9

3.1

3.3

3.4

3.6

3.7

3.9

4.0

4.2

4.3











































Side UP

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Benefits from percentage of fleet

fitted with UP ($m)



4.9

5.3

5.6

6.0

6.4

6.8

7.1

7.5

7.9

8.3

8.6

9.0

9.4

Present Value (PV) of the Benefit

2.9

3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

3.3

3.4

3.4

3.5

3.5

3.5

3.5

3.5

Cumulative PV of the Benefit

24.2

27.3

30.4

33.6

36.9

40.2

43.6

47.0

50.5

54.0

57.5

61.0

64.5

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Installation cost of UP for new

vehicles ($m)



8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

Present Value (PV) of the Cost

4.9

4.7

4.6

4.4

4.2

4.1

3.9

3.7

3.6

3.5

3.3

3.2

3.1

Cumulative PV of the Cost

90.2

94.9

99.5

103.9

108.1

112.1

116.0

119.8

123.4

126.8

130.2

133.4

136.5

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Net Present Value (NPV)

-66.0

-67.7

-69.1

-70.3

-71.2

-71.9

-72.4

-72.7

-72.9

-72.9

-72.7

-72.4

-71.9

Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.5











































Rear UP

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Benefits from percentage of fleet fitted with UP ($m)

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

3.9

4.1

4.3

4.6

4.8

5.0

5.2

5.5

5.7

Present Value (PV) of the Benefit

1.8

1.8

1.9

1.9

2.0

2.0

2.1

2.1

2.1

2.1

2.1

2.1

2.1

Cumulative PV of the Benefit

14.7

16.5

18.4

20.4

22.3

24.4

26.4

28.5

30.6

32.7

34.8

37.0

39.1

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Installation cost of UP for new

vehicles ($m)



7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

Present Value (PV) of the Cost

4.5

4.3

4.2

4.0

3.8

3.7

3.6

3.4

3.3

3.2

3.0

2.9

2.8

Cumulative PV of the Cost

82.4

86.7

90.8

94.8

98.7

102.4

106.0

109.4

112.7

115.8

118.9

121.8

124.6

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Net Present Value (NPV)

-67.7

-70.2

-72.4

-74.5

-76.3

-78.0

-79.5

-80.9

-82.1

-83.1

-84.0

-84.8

-85.5

Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3


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