Draft regulation Impact Statement for Underrun Protection a draft statement inviting discussion and comments from parties affected by the proposed heavy commercial vehicle safety initiative January 2007 Report Documentation Page



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Year

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

Number of fleet fitted with UP

(,000)


126.1

135.8

145.5

155.2

164.9

174.6

184.3

194.0

203.6

213.3

223.0

232.7

242.4

Percentage of fleet fitted with UP

(%)


65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

105%

110%

115%

120%

125%











































Front UP

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Benefits from percentage of fleet

fitted with UP ($m)



23.1

24.9

26.6

28.4

30.2

32.0

33.7

35.5

37.3

39.1

40.8

42.6

44.4

Present Value (PV) of the Benefit

9.6

9.6

9.7

9.6

9.6

9.5

9.3

9.2

9.0

8.8

8.6

8.4

8.2

Cumulative PV of the Benefit

90.0

99.6

109.3

118.9

128.5

137.9

147.2

156.4

165.4

174.2

182.9

191.3

199.4

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Installation cost of UP for new

vehicles ($m)



4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.3

Present Value (PV) of the Cost

1.8

1.7

1.5

1.4

1.4

1.3

1.2

1.1

1.0

1.0

0.9

0.8

0.8

Cumulative PV of the Cost

39.9

41.6

43.1

44.6

45.9

47.2

48.4

49.5

50.5

51.5

52.4

53.2

54.0

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Net Present Value (NPV)

50.1

58.0

66.2

74.3

82.5

90.7

98.9

106.9

114.9

122.8

130.5

138.0

145.4

Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)

2.3

2.4

2.5

2.7

2.8

2.9

3.0

3.2

3.3

3.4

3.5

3.6

3.7











































Side UP

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Benefits from percentage of fleet

fitted with UP ($m)



4.9

5.3

5.6

6.0

6.4

6.8

7.1

7.5

7.9

8.3

8.6

9.0

9.4

Present Value (PV) of the Benefit

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

2.0

1.9

1.9

1.9

1.8

1.8

1.7

Cumulative PV of the Benefit

19.0

21.1

23.1

25.2

27.2

29.2

31.2

33.1

35.0

36.9

38.7

40.5

42.2

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Installation cost of UP for new

vehicles ($m)



8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

8.2

Present Value (PV) of the Cost

3.4

3.2

3.0

2.8

2.6

2.4

2.3

2.1

2.0

1.9

1.7

1.6

1.5

Cumulative PV of the Cost

76.8

80.0

83.0

85.8

88.4

90.8

93.1

95.2

97.2

99.0

100.7

102.4

103.9

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Net Present Value (NPV)

-57.8

-58.9

-59.9

-60.6

-61.2

-61.6

-61.9

-62.1

-62.2

-62.1

-62.0

-61.9

-61.7

Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.4











































Rear UP

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Benefits from percentage of fleet

fitted with UP ($m)



3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

3.9

4.1

4.3

4.6

4.8

5.0

5.2

5.5

5.7

Present Value (PV) of the Benefit

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.1

1.1

1.1

1.0

Cumulative PV of the Benefit

11.5

12.8

14.0

15.3

16.5

17.7

18.9

20.1

21.2

22.4

23.5

24.5

25.6

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Installation cost of UP for new

vehicles ($m)



7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

7.5

Present Value (PV) of the Cost

3.1

2.9

2.7

2.5

2.4

2.2

2.1

1.9

1.8

1.7

1.6

1.5

1.4

Cumulative PV of the Cost

70.1

73.1

75.8

78.3

80.7

82.9

85.0

86.9

88.7

90.4

92.0

93.5

94.9

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




 

 

 

 




Net Present Value (NPV)

-58.6

-60.3

-61.8

-63.1

-64.2

-65.2

-66.1

-66.8

-67.5

-68.1

-68.5

-68.9

-69.3

Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3


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