Note: this method was used to provide a sensitivity comparison to the method above.
Scenario B1 Alternative Method - rigid vehicles
|
Best Case 4% Discount
rate
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year
|
0
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
Number of fleet fitted with UP
(,000)
|
0.0
|
9.7
|
19.4
|
29.1
|
38.8
|
48.5
|
58.2
|
67.9
|
77.6
|
87.3
|
97.0
|
106.7
|
116.4
|
Percentage of fleet fitted with UP
(%)
|
0%
|
5%
|
10%
|
15%
|
20%
|
25%
|
30%
|
35%
|
40%
|
45%
|
50%
|
55%
|
60%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Front UP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits from percentage of fleet
fitted with UP ($m)
|
0.0
|
1.8
|
3.6
|
5.3
|
7.1
|
8.9
|
10.7
|
12.4
|
14.2
|
16.0
|
17.8
|
19.5
|
21.3
|
Present Value (PV) of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
1.7
|
3.3
|
4.7
|
6.1
|
7.3
|
8.4
|
9.4
|
10.4
|
11.2
|
12.0
|
12.7
|
13.3
|
Cumulative PV of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
1.7
|
5.0
|
9.7
|
15.8
|
23.1
|
31.5
|
41.0
|
51.3
|
62.6
|
74.6
|
87.2
|
100.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Installation cost of UP for new
vehicles ($m)
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
4.3
|
Present Value (PV) of the Cost
|
4.3
|
4.1
|
3.9
|
3.8
|
3.6
|
3.5
|
3.4
|
3.2
|
3.1
|
3.0
|
2.9
|
2.8
|
2.7
|
Cumulative PV of the Cost
|
4.3
|
8.4
|
12.3
|
16.1
|
19.8
|
23.3
|
26.6
|
29.9
|
33.0
|
36.0
|
38.9
|
41.6
|
44.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present Value (NPV)
|
-4.3
|
-6.7
|
-7.3
|
-6.4
|
-4.0
|
-0.2
|
4.9
|
11.1
|
18.3
|
26.6
|
35.7
|
45.6
|
56.2
|
Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
1.4
|
1.6
|
1.7
|
1.9
|
2.1
|
2.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Side UP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits from percentage of fleet
fitted with UP ($m)
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
0.8
|
1.1
|
1.5
|
1.9
|
2.3
|
2.6
|
3.0
|
3.4
|
3.8
|
4.1
|
4.5
|
Present Value (PV) of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
0.7
|
1.0
|
1.3
|
1.5
|
1.8
|
2.0
|
2.2
|
2.4
|
2.5
|
2.7
|
2.8
|
Cumulative PV of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
1.1
|
2.1
|
3.3
|
4.9
|
6.7
|
8.7
|
10.9
|
13.2
|
15.8
|
18.5
|
21.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Installation cost of UP for new
vehicles ($m)
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
Present Value (PV) of the Cost
|
8.2
|
7.9
|
7.6
|
7.3
|
7.0
|
6.7
|
6.5
|
6.2
|
6.0
|
5.8
|
5.5
|
5.3
|
5.1
|
Cumulative PV of the Cost
|
8.2
|
16.1
|
23.7
|
31.0
|
38.0
|
44.8
|
51.2
|
57.5
|
63.5
|
69.2
|
74.8
|
80.1
|
85.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present Value (NPV)
|
-8.2
|
-15.7
|
-22.6
|
-28.9
|
-34.7
|
-39.9
|
-44.6
|
-48.8
|
-52.6
|
-56.0
|
-59.0
|
-61.7
|
-64.0
|
Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rear UP
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefits from percentage of fleet
fitted with UP ($m)
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
1.4
|
1.6
|
1.8
|
2.0
|
2.3
|
2.5
|
2.7
|
Present Value (PV) of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
1.2
|
1.3
|
1.4
|
1.5
|
1.6
|
1.7
|
Cumulative PV of the Benefit
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
0.6
|
1.2
|
2.0
|
3.0
|
4.0
|
5.3
|
6.6
|
8.0
|
9.6
|
11.2
|
12.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Installation cost of UP for new
vehicles ($m)
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
7.5
|
Present Value (PV) of the Cost
|
7.5
|
7.2
|
6.9
|
6.7
|
6.4
|
6.2
|
5.9
|
5.7
|
5.5
|
5.3
|
5.1
|
4.9
|
4.7
|
Cumulative PV of the Cost
|
7.5
|
14.7
|
21.6
|
28.3
|
34.7
|
40.9
|
46.8
|
52.5
|
58.0
|
63.2
|
68.3
|
73.2
|
77.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Present Value (NPV)
|
-7.5
|
-14.5
|
-21.0
|
-27.1
|
-32.7
|
-37.9
|
-42.8
|
-47.2
|
-51.4
|
-55.2
|
-58.7
|
-62.0
|
-65.0
|
Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|