Energy reform wont pass- Democratic base not behind Obama
Wilson and Kornblut 6/17 [Scott, Anne E., Staff Writers, 2010 The Washington Post, Lexis] KLS
But Obama spoke only in general, often lofty terms about the need for Congress to pass energy reform legislation this year, a point he has made at least twice in the past month. He did not call for a price to be placed on carbon, even though one senior administration official said he thinks that is the most effective way to reduce U.S. energy consumption and protect against climate change. A presidential push for energy reform could energize a dispirited Democratic base heading into the fall campaign season. Liberals are dissatisfied with Obama on a range of issues -- including the still-stumbling economy and his escalation of the war in Afghanistan -- and the president's top advisers consider energy and the environment issues where he could work to restore his standing. But administration officials doubt the energy bill has enough support to pass in the Senate. "The votes don't exist now," one senior White House official said. "But he is going to press for it."
UQ: Won’t Pass- Elections
Energy Reform won’t pass- congressional elections means Democrats aren’t willing to take risks
Chestney 5/28[ Nina, Staff Writer, Reuters, http://blogs.reuters.com/nina-chestney/2010/05/28/u-s-climate-bill-seen-unlikely-in-2010-2/] KLS
COLOGNE, Germany (Reuters) – Senators are unlikely to pass legislation to tackle global warming this year as the time remaining to do so runs out, a panel of experts said on Friday at a carbon conference. U.S. Senators John Kerry and Joseph Lieberman unveiled a climate bill earlier this month. Congressional elections are less than six months away and with Democrats facing losses, June or July could be the last chance to pass a bill this year, before the political atmosphere gets too heated. Other countries are waiting anxiously for the bill to be passed so progress can be made later this year on an international pact to battle global warming. The U.S. legislation would establish a cap and trade system for reducing carbon emissions by utilities and industrial companies. Investors say cap-and-trade legislation will give them more certainty about their climate investments and international carbon trade. “There is little chance anything will happen this year,” said Tom Lewis, chief executive of Green Exchange. The political challenges in passing the bill are similar to those associated with a healthcare reform law, which was passed in March. “Healthcare legislation was passed because the president made a major push but no one is willing to take a major step prior to the mid-term elections,” Lewis said. “The Democrats are in line to lose a number of seats and I don’t see a passionate push between now and November 2 to get this over the finishing line,” he added, referring to the date of congressional elections.
UQ- Won’t pass- Empiric
The energy bill won’t pass- empirically a point of contention- our evidence assumes the BP oil spill
Khan June 29th ( Huma, Digital media producer, ABC News, http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/energy-climate-talks-stalled-cap-trade-debate/story?id=11045476 ) ET
Even as the sense of urgency to address the energy issue grows, momentum on the energy and climate bill is still stalled. The idea of a cap on carbon has become a central point of contention between Democrats and Republicans. President Obama strategizes how American can transition away from fossil fuels. The death of Sen. Robert Byrd, who, despite hailing from coal-producing West Virginia, became a proponent of fostering clean energy and passing a comprehensive bill, has also cast doubt on whether there will be enough Democratic votes to pass a partisan bill. Spencer Abraham, former energy secretary under President George W. Bush and a senator from Michigan for six years, said the current divisions are consistent with the history of energy politics. A similar outcry for energy reform erupted in 2003, when a power outage caused a massive blackout in the northeastern U.S. and parts of Canada, becoming, at the time, the second most widespread blackout in world history. But lawmakers still couldn't come together on energy legislation and even the "Energy Policy Act" that passed two years later was considerably watered down, said Abraham, whose new book "Lights Out!: Ten Myths about (And Real Solutions to) America's Energy Crisis" will be released next week. "It's not going to be easy because even with the oil spill and the pressure that's created, it reminds me a lot of 2003 where even though there's desire to do something, there's still very sharp divisions about what that something ought to be," Abraham told ABC News. President Obama, who has been mostly vague on specifically what he wants to see in a Senate energy bill, told Senators in a bipartisan meeting today that any energy bill should put a price on carbon pollution. "When companies pollute, they should be responsible for the costs to the environment and their contribution to climate change," the White House said in a statement. That, Republicans say, is not going to happen. "A cap and trade proposal, a national energy tax will not sell in this country at this time," Sen. Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, the ranking member on the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, said after the meeting today. Sen. Olympia Snowe, R-Maine, urged the administration to "carefully weigh the costs of action versus inaction to avoid unintended consequences that cost us jobs."
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