Gdi 2010 Energy Reform Politics da


**DA Turns Case** DA T/ Case- Oil Dependence



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**DA Turns Case**

DA T/ Case- Oil Dependence


Oil dependence will collapse the US government

Lundberg 6/25 [Jan, 2010, http://www.culturechange.org/cms/index2.php?option=com_content&do_pdf=1&id=661] KLS

Massive oil dependence, decade after decade -- as environmental, fiscal and military costs mount -- has retarded more than encouraged renewable energy as well as efficient lifestyles. Unchecked oil dependence, along with U.S. imperialism and devastating exploitation of nature, has generated a wide assortment of people inside and outside the U.S. wishing the U.S. government to just go away. The idea of toppling the U.S. government has much appeal to a small minority of frustrated or rebellious minded people throughout the country, but they have very little power, have no autonomous territory, and are not a military factor. This helps ensure that the U.S. will probably not topple as long as it has more oil than tea. But the government will collapse, probably sooner rather than later due to intensifying global, domestic and ecological pressures.



DA T/ Case- → Terrorism



Environmental destruction leads to terrorism

Diamond 4 [Jared, B.A.Harvard, Ph.D., University of Cambridge, Pulitzer Prize for General Non-Fiction, Japan's Cosmos Prize, National Science Medal, January 3, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=news.item&news_id=55747] KLS

Diamond listed the environmental problems we face today, some of which we share with past societies—deforestation, overpopulation, over-fishing, biodiversity loss, freshwater scarcity—and some of which are new: greenhouse gas, toxic releases, alien species, and fossil energy shortage. “These dozen environmental problems are time bombs with fuses of about 50 years…and will get resolved one way or another—pleasantly or unpleasantly—within the next 50 years,” warned Diamond. However, these environmental problems can blow up sooner: countries that are overwhelmed by environmental problems tend to develop political and economic problems, as desperate people turn to drastic measures like civil war and terrorism. Take an ecologist who is politically naïve…and ask that ecologist to name the countries in the world today that have the worst environmental problems or problems of overpopulation or both, and the environmentalist would say…the countries include Afghanistan, Burundi, Haiti, Indonesia, Iraq, Madagascar, Nepal, Pakistan, Philippines, Rwanda, the Solomon Islands….Then ask a first world politician who doesn’t care about the environment or dismisses the importance of environmental problems just to name the world’s trouble spots…and your politician would say…those trouble spots include: Afghanistan, Burundi, Haiti, Indonesia, Iraq, Madagascar, Nepal, Pakistan, Philippines, Rwanda, the Solomon Islands.


Global warming triggers terrorism

Zalman 7 [Amy, Ph.D. from New York University's Department of Middle Eastern Studies, as well as degrees from Cornell and Columbia Universities June 9, http://terrorism.about.com/b/2007/06/09/g8-climate-change-commitment-is-good-for-security-environment-too.htm] KLS

The G-8 Summit got a twofer this week. In making a commitment to address global climate change, they have also taken a step toward making the global security environment better, too. Slowly, but reasonably surely, the recognition is growing that there's a link between the climate and terrorism. In April, the Military Advisory Board, a panel made up of former generals, made the case that climate change is a security issue.Droughts and storms can exacerbate already fragile political, social and political situations, and destabilize even stable countries. Extreme environmental conditions can leave people hungry and thirsty, diseased, homeless, completely uprooted and thus vulnerable to extremist ideologies. According to a Board member, Admiral T. Joseph Lopez, the former Commander-in-Chief of U.S. Naval Forces Europe and of Allied Forces, Southern Europe, the links between climate changes and violent extremism are direct: Climate change will provide the conditions that will extend the war on terror … You have very real changes in natural systems that are most likely to happen in regions of the world that are alreadyfertile ground for extremism. Droughts, violent weather, ruined agricultural lands—those are the kinds of stresses we'll see more of under climate change . . . More poverty, more forced migrations, higher unemployment. Those conditions are ripe for extremists and terrorists.



DA T/ Case- → War



Ecological Decline leads to war

Buckley 4 [Adele, Independent Public Policy Professional, 54th PUGWASH CONFERENCE, May 9, http://www.pugwashgroup.ca/events/documents/2004/2004.11.04-Buckley.Seoul_paper.htm] KLS

Roy Woodbridge, in his new book[11], The Next World War, points out the perils of global ecological decline and the unsustainable human draw on natural systems. He calls on all societies to wage war against global ecological decline, and points out that, in spite of much discussion over the past decades, little progress has been made. He introduces provisioning, a concept that requires mobilizing global effort to secure access, for all, to ecological goods and services. With the combined effect of climate change and ecological decline, world security is clearly at a dangerous juncture. Disruptions in access to resources are certain to produce an even greater measure of desperate nation states or non-state groups who will choose violence as their only means of achieving access. All entities that exercise global influence and power must utilize means at their command to address this; and this includes multinational corporations, who must recognize their responsibility to act to turn around this potentially disastrous scenario. In this situation, weapons of mass destruction are a problem of alarming proportions. This is particularly true of nuclear weapons, as a significant nuclear conflict would make the earth uninhabitable. While nuclear weapons are probably the last thing under discussion in the boardrooms of the world, and it may seem a difficult task to raise awareness to the degree of danger that exists, nuclear arms control is without doubt an overarching





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