5.ACTIVE/REACTIVE
In slides prepared for his last talk (Kling, 2003), Rob reviewed themes from his career. Much of the talk focused on the current revival of robotics and AI, especially on its predominantly military orientation. It also included an elegant analysis of the restructuring of copyright law, arguing that it was driven by the needs of entertainment and sales rather than science and education. He continued to contest the claim that technology increasingly influences institutional and cultural contexts (i.e., transformation up the levels of analysis), arguing instead that “…technological determinism is a poor predictor, (and it is) institutional processes and local social process (that) influence outcomes.” Rob defined his perspective as “socio-technical, constructivist, institutional, and ecological.” He declared that “…institutional processes explain how social actors are channeled to perform legitimate actions and interactions within socially structured arrangements.”
Technology was barely a factor in his causal model. Moore’s law, he said, applied only to hardware, and he declared it “unfettered fantasy” to think it would bring improved software and systems. He did not consider the likelihood, explained above, that radically improved, low cost, widespread hardware might provide the scaffolding for generating new knowledge, increased experimentation and exercise of choice, and economies of scale that would accelerate the development of more congenial software and systems. Yet, this is what has happened: better tools and infrastructure have enabled many researchers and designers to disseminate results and products more quickly, creating new capabilities that have spawned huge markets.18
A balanced critical perspective would note limits to how effectively developers will achieve particular goals, but it would not discount the intensity with which dedicated people labor to improve search engines, exploit memory sticks, create software for blogging, or build open source software. It would not discount the possibility that the combined effects could be transformational. Like the case of the Chinese emperor, who for six weeks took little notice of his rice payment, these efforts had modest effects at first. Today, major industries including film cameras and photographic, analog audiotape and videotape, wireline telephony, recorded music, and traditional gaming have reached week seven: shutting down, transforming, or struggling to cope with displacement by new digital technologies.
Rob appreciated evidence that earlier technologies, such as the telephone, led to social consequences, but he resisted indications that digital technologies would do the same. In conversation, he linked such suggestions to AI hyperbole, not separating claims that computers can deliver immortality to people living today (Kurzweil, 2005) from observations that technologies were delivering unprecedented access to information to unprecedented numbers of people, or were on the verge of transforming entire industries. Again, the balance of critical perspective is difficult to attain and sustain. It is no surprise that Rob struggled with this challenge. Like Achilles, it sometimes seems to take forever to overtake the tortoise. Consider the following quote:
“A machine with vast logic power, capable of storing enormous quantities of information… A much greater growth rate than an exponential increase… The dam is bursting… Mankind today faces an information deluge of unimaginable complexity… We must protect computer users from the vast and overwhelming mass of data… the computer files of current IBM customer orders contain more than 100 billion bits of information.”
The author was James Martin, writing in 1973. Today, when a small laptop contains more than 100 billion bits, we consider 1973 to be part of the era of information scarcity. Rob saw Martin as an unreconstructed utopian,19 and in a sense that was fair. Today we hear much the same thing, albeit from more voices. Thirty years from now, today will probably seem to have been part of the era of information scarcity, and people will still be announcing that the dam is bursting.
What explains the mixed analytical record of this brilliant analyst, whose views were socio-technical, constructivist, institutional, and ecological? This is a difficult question to answer; it requires speculation about personal features of Rob’s worldview that, of course, are not readily accessible. Some of it was a failure to factor in the unparalleled nature of growth in this technology: Had Moore’s Law been repealed in 1975 or even 1985, Rob’s tendency to forecast unchanging weather might have remained tenable. The intensity with which his work was a central life interest suggests that Rob allowed his strong convictions and beliefs about power and technology to overshadow contrary evidence and open inquiry. Ironically, the answer may lie in the paradox between Rob’s love of technology and his deep commitment to social values. Rob may have over-compensated for his attraction to technology by being exceptionally doubtful of its potential for enabling social betterment. Knowing why the “seductive equation” was so seductive, he guarded against it with zeal. He set an extraordinarily high standard of proof for claims that technology had resulted in good outcomes, and even in the compelling cases he attached cautionary conditions.
Rob’s deep social convictions certainly played an important role in his work. His Jewish working-class post-WWII childhood made him mindful of the dark side of human nature. He knew the downsides of the capitalist system in the exploitation of the working class. He understood the intellectual appeal of Marxist worldviews, with their simple but powerful explanations of dialectical materialism, historical determinism and class politics. Rob was too strong an analyst to accept them uncritically; he was at heart an empiricist who required causal evidence of the sort Marxist interpretations seldom provide.
Rejecting simple, covering explanations for the complexities of socio-technical change, Rob embraced a broad, systematic view. He was adept at tracing the causal connections among complex relationships, but even the most capable minds succumb to the combinatorial complexity of sufficiently large and complex systems. With neither simple ideology or omniscient systematics to back him up, he asserted his critical perspective on computerization as a guardian over social values he cared about so deeply—compassion, fairness, equality, understanding. Rob was at heart an activist, but the inherent difficulty of mastering systems beyond the scope of one person forced a choice. He could take the route of dispassionate observer, thereby avoiding the slippery slope but abandoning his activism; or he could accept his critical view and become reactive. He chose the latter.
6.SALVATION THROUGH SENTIENCE
Some might view this discussion as a criticism of Rob’s work. If to acknowledge is to criticize, we stand guilty of the charge. We do not see this effort in those terms, however. We worked closely with Rob, and were deeply influenced by him in every respect. It seems appropriate to emphasize Rob’s humanity by observing that he was only human. His ambitions were exceptional: He tried to understand phenomena so complex that few around him even recognized the phenomena in the first place. He did this with dignity and grace, and if he was occasionally petulant or obtuse, he was certainly no different than most scholars. The truly extraordinary feature of Rob’s scholarship was the consistency of his purpose. Whether or not he believed it was possible to “think it through,” he acted as though he did. He refused to admit defeat, and in the absence of omniscience, he was willing to settle for sentience.
He left a legacy for his students, a community far larger than those who worked directly for him or with him. This legacy includes his writings, of course, but more importantly, it includes the attitude with which he pursued his work. He accepted the limits of the world as he struggled to understand it, and he refused to foreswear the central interest of his life. A thoroughly secular person, he accepted and respected what could not be explained. His inquiring nature survives him in those whose work he influenced, and through them he undoubtedly continues to ask questions now, even if he doesn’t have to.
In the golden book of the golden game,
The golden angel wrote my name.
When the deal goes down I’ll put on my crown,
Over in the old Golden Land.
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