Growth through Innovation An Industrial Strategy for Shanghai By Shahid Yusuf Kaoru Nabeshima April 22nd, 2009



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VI. Innovation Outcomes


The expenditure on R&D is a highly imperfect indicator of innovation capability because a lot of what is classified as R&D by firms is little more than minor product development and testing. Calling it R&D brings tax credits or other financial benefits but is not conducive to innovation. The indirect measures of innovation capacity are invention patents, papers published in refereed scientific journal, and new products. The newness of the latter is also often suspect and newness cannot be equated with innovation, nevertheless, it is a pointer. Patents and papers infrequently lead to commercial innovation however, these two contribute to the pool of scientific knowledge and useable ideas out of which come innovative products, processes or services which can be profitable over the longer term.

Strong encouragement by central and municipal governments, starting in 1999, produced a sharp increase in these three indicators of innovation capacity, after 2001. Table 5 .50 indicates how Shanghai has performed relative to China as a whole and to Beijing its closest competitor in patenting.125 Although the shares of applications from Shanghai are close to those from Beijing, patent applications emanating from Beijing seem to be approved more frequently, suggesting that the quality of patents from Beijing is higher.

Table 5.50: Share of Domestic Invention Patents from Beijing, Shanghai, and Hong Kong, 1990-2006

(%)





Applications

Granted




Beijing

Shanghai

Hong Kong

Beijing

Shanghai

Hong Kong

1990

14.2

5.1

-

18.8

8.6

-

1995

12.5

3.6

-

21.4

4.7

-

2000

13.4

18.6

0.6

17.4

4.9

0.5

2006

11.6

9.9

0.5

15.4

10.5

0.6

Note: only invention patents are included in the figure.

Source: Shanghai Science and Technology Yearbook 2007, China Statistical Yearbook on Science and Technology various years.


While the share of patent applications (including invention, utility, and design) from universities and colleges are increasing in recent years, more than two-thirds of patent applications come from firms (see Table 5 .51).126 Universities submit 25 percent of the invention patents, but the majority of patents are still granted to firms.127

Table 5.51: Share of Patent Applications by Different Types of Organizations in Shanghai

(%)




Universities and Colleges

Research Institutions

Industrial and Mining Enterprises

Government Agencies and Organizations

1996

2.1

4.7

32.7

11.2

2000

4.5

5.3

51.9

0.9

2003

2.8

3.1

81.9

0.5

2006

9.6

5.2

69.3

1.7

Source: Shanghai Science and Technology Yearbook 2007
Table 5.52: Share of Invention Patents by Different Types of Organizations in Shanghai, 2006

(%)




Natural Science R&D

Universities

Private R&D

Applications

11.2

25.0

41.2

Grants

15.5

4.9

34.8

Source: Shanghai Science and Technology Yearbook 2007
Firms in communication equipment, computers and other electronic equipment are in the forefront of applicants for invention patents and in being granted patents.128 In 2006, firms in this subsector applied for 1,289 patents (more than half of all applications for invention patents) and were granted 430 patents (about one-third of all invention patent grants) (see Table 5 .53). Firms in smelting and pressing of ferrous metals, general machinery, chemicals, medicine, and transport equipment follow the electronic industry in terms of patents. Firms in other manufacturing subsectors rarely apply for patents.

Table 5.53: Distribution of Patent Applications and Grants in Shanghai among Manufacturing Subsectors, 2006




Applications

Grants

Total

2301

1474

By Industrial Sectors







Processing of Food from Agricultural Products

0

2

Manufacture of Foods

4

7

Manufacture of Beverages

1

1

Manufacture of Tobacco

2

12

Manufacture of Textile

17

10

Manufacture of Textile Wearing Apparel, Footwear and Caps

0

0

Manufacture of Leather, Fur, Feather and Related Products

0

0

Processing of Timber, Manufacture of Wood, Bamboo, Rattan, Palm and Straw Products

4

1

Manufacture of Furniture

0

0

Manufacture of Paper and Paper Products

2

3

Printing ,Reproduction of Recording Media

9

4

Manufacture of Articles For Culture, Education and Sport Activities

10

1

Processing of Petroleum, Coking, Processing of Nuclear Fuel

42

118

Manufacture of Raw Chemical Materials and Chemical Products

128

130

Manufacture of Medicines

70

117

Manufacture of Chemical Fibers

0

0

Manufacture of Rubber

6

10

Manufacture of Plastics

6

1

Manufacture of Non-metallic Mineral Products

17

24

Smelting and Pressing of Ferrous Metals

323

266

Smelting and Pressing of Non-ferrous Metals

3

4

Manufacture of Metal Products

15

16

Manufacture of General Purpose Machinery

151

144

Manufacture of Special Purpose Machinery

81

35

Manufacture of Transport Equipment

74

51

Manufacture of Electrical Machinery and Equipment

22

62

Manufacture of Communication Equipment, Computers and Other Electronic Equipment

1,289

430

Manufacture of Measuring Instruments and Machinery for Cultural Activity and Office Work

9

5

Manufacture of Artwork and Other Manufacturing

0

0

Recycling and Disposal of Waste

0

0

Production and Supply of Electric Power and Heat Power

11

19

Production and Supply of Gas

0

0

Production and Supply of Water

5

1

Source: Shanghai Science and Technology Yearbook 2007

The number of papers published also increased dramatically (see Figure 5 .17). Clearly, innovation capacity as measured by these imperfect criteria, is on an upswing.


Figure 5.17: Number of Scientific Papers Published

Source: Shanghai Science and Technology Yearbook 2007


Introduction of new products to the market is also viewed as an indicator of innovativeness. In 2007, revenues from such new products accounted for 21 percent of gross value of industrial output in Shanghai as against 13 percent in 2001 (see Table 5 .54). There are a number of subsectors where the share of revenues from new products exceeded the average for Shanghai. It is noteworthy that equipment producers of various kinds lead the field. Three subsectors stand out. These are: general equipment; transportation equipment; and communications equipment, computers and other electronic equipment. These three subsectors account for more than 70 percent of the new product output, suggesting that their outputs are much larger than those coming from other subsectors, even innovative ones. Judging from Table 5 .54, it appears that these three subsectors also have the highest share of new products in exports, although export intensity and the revenues from new products are not correlated. There are some subsectors that have high export intensity (e.g. metal products, chemical fibers, and rubber products), although they do not introduce many new products.

Since 1994, manufacturers of general equipment, transportation equipment, and communications equipment, computer and other electronic equipment, have introduced the largest number of new products (see Figure 5 .18).


Table 5.54: New Products Development of Industrial Enterprises in Shanghai, 2007




Share of New Products in GVIO by Subsector (%)

Share of New Products Output in Shanghai (%)

Share of New Products Exports in Shanghai (%)

Export Intensity (%)

Overall Manufacturing

21.5







17.1

# Farm and Sideline Products Processing

0.4

0.0

0.0

6.4

Food

3.2

0.2

0.1

5.1

Beverage

0.8

0.0

0.0

0.0

Tobacco

11.9

0.7

0.1

3.2

Textile

4.6

0.4

0.1

5.4

Garments, Shoes and Accessories

0.4

0.0

0.0

20.2

Furniture

27.8

1.2

1.3

18.4

Paper-making and Paper Products

0.9

0.0

0.0

0.0

Printing and Record Duplicating

12.6

0.5

0.0

1.1

Stationary, Education and Sports Goods

2.4

0.1

0.1

10.4

Oil Processing, Coking and Nuclear

9.7

2.1

0.0

0.0

Raw Chemical Materials and Chemical

11.5

4.0

1.6

6.9

Medicine

26.4

1.6

0.3

3.5

Chemical Fiber

0.5

0.0

0.0

36.7

Rubber Products

17.5

0.6

1.2

33.6

Plastic Products

2.0

0.2

0.3

22.9

Nonmetal Mineral Products

4.9

0.4

0.4

14.5

Smelting and Pressing of Ferrous Metals

22.2

7.7

2.0

4.4

Smelting and Pressing of Nonferrous Metals

3.9

0.4

0.1

2.5

Metal Products

4.1

0.7

2.7

62.0

General Equipment

27.9

11.4

18.4

27.4

Special Purpose Equipment

14.7

1.9

1.7

15.4

Transportation Equipment

57.5

29.4

21.5

12.5

Electric Machinery Equipments

15.7

5.4

9.3

29.8

Communications Equipments, Computer and Other Electronic Equipment

27.3

29.4

33.6

19.5

Instruments, Meters, Culture and Office Equipments

21.5

1.5

5.0

57.0

Artworks and Other

0.9

0.0

0.0

31.7

Note: Export intensity is calculated as the share of new products exports over the revenue from the new products. Data is based on firms with revenues greater than 5 million yuan.

Source: Shanghai Statistical Yearbook 2008


Figure 5.18: Changes in Share of New Product Output in Shanghai



Source: Shanghai Statistical Yearbook 2008


Another indicator of technological, if not innovation capacity is the changing share of high tech components and capital goods in Shanghai’s exports. Close to 40 percent of exports from Shanghai are high-tech products up from 20 percent in 2001 (see Table 5 .55). The bulk of the high-tech exports are computer and telecommunication related goods. This also is a promising trend although thus far, most of these exports are produced by foreign invested firms using imported inputs.

Table 5.55: Value of Exports of High-tech Products in Shanghai (2001-2006), billion US$




2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Value of Exports of High-tech Products

5.4

7.5

16.4

28.9

36.3

44.3

Exports

27.6

32.1

48.5

73.5

90.7

113.6

Value of Exports of High-tech Products/Exports

19.6

23.4

33.8

39.3

40.0

39.0

By Technology Field



















of Which: Computers and telecommunications

3.2

4.2

11.3

19.1

24.4

30.2

Electronics

1.7

2.8

4.1

7.1

7.8

10.6

Life science

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.7

0.9

By Trade Mode



















of which: Processing with imported materials

3.3

4.7

12.0

20.4

27.2

34.8

General Trade

0.5

0.7

1.4

2.6

3.2

4.4

By Ownership



















of which: State-owned and Collective-owned

0.5

0.7

0.8

0.8

1.1

1.6

Cooperative

2.4

2.0

2.6

3.9

3.9

3.7

Foreign Funded

2.4

4.7

12.7

23.8

30.4

37.9

By Destinations



















of which: US

1.3

1.5

4.6

7.9

10.2

12.6

EU

1.3

1.5

4.1

7.9

10.6

12.3

Hong Kong

0.8

1.2

2.0

3.5

4.6

6.0

Japan

0.6

0.9

1.6

2.6

2.8

3.2

Source: Shanghai Science and Technology Yearbook 2007
The level and distribution of FDI offers an additional indirect perspective on how Shanghai’s comparative advantage is perceived by foreign investors.129 It is useful because such investors are able to compare Shanghai’s medium term potential with that of other cities in China and abroad and to make decisions which weigh a variety of options. By selecting specific industries, MNCs are factoring in incentives as well as technological capacity, the quality and productivity of the workforce, the adequacy of the physical infrastructure, and the livability of the city.

From the information contained in Figure 5 .19 one can see how rapidly FDI in Shanghai has risen since 1990. In 1990, the total FDI inflow was US$0.2 billion and there were hardly any wholly-owned foreign firms. By 2007, the actual FDI flow had increased to US$7.9 billion, three-quarters into wholly-owned foreign subsidiaries.


Figure 5.19: Amount of foreign direct investment inflow to Shanghai (billion US$)

Source: Shanghai Statistical Yearbook 2008


These are encouraging trends because they suggest that foreign businesses are beginning to view Shanghai as a center for advanced manufacturing activities which is making progress in perfecting a local innovation system.

Venture Capital


Much of the patient capital raised by firms in Shanghai comes from the banking sector which reflects an East Asia wide pattern. Banks being the dominant financial institutions do engage in venture financing, partly as a way of building their lending business.130 However, bank lending is only a partial substitute for the kind of risk capital innovative firms need, hence attention in China and elsewhere has focused on the venture capital industry. In 2007, there were 236 venture capital firms (including foreign venture capital) in Shanghai with investment of 30 billion yuan (see Table 5 .56). VC industry in Shanghai accounts for 40 percent of all VC activities in China (Shanghai Venture Capital Association 2008).
Table 5.56: Number of Venture Capital Firms and Capital Committed in Shanghai, 2004-2007




2004

2005

2006

2007

# of firms

106

204

215

236

capital under management (billion yuan)

16.8

25.0

28.0

30.46

Source: Shanghai Venture Capital Association (2008)
As one would expect, the type of subsector that VCs invest in is heavily geared towards high-tech areas such as software and networks; biotechnology; microelectronics; new materials; and also financial services (see Table 5 .57), although in recent years, the spread among different subsectors is lessening. The VC industry’s areas of focus overall are stable, but those by foreign VCs shift from one year to the next. In 2004, investments in software and biotech accounted for almost half of foreign VC investment. However, by 2006, the focus had shifted to telecommunication and traditional manufacturing. Broadly, the area of concentration is similar between the domestic and foreign firms in 2007, although foreign firms are more active in telecommunication and less so in biotech (Table 5 .58).
Table 5.57: Areas of Investment by VC in Shanghai, 2004-2007 (%)




2004

2005

2006

2007

Software and Networks

25.0

20.9

16.2

14.3

Biotechnology and Medical Care

21.3

20.9

16.2

13.7

Financial Services

5.0

7.0

5.4

8.6

Microelectronics

7.5

8.1

9.9

7.4

New Material

7.5

8.1

12.6

7.4

Telecommunication

5.0

9.3

8.1

6.9

Energy Technology

1.3

2.3

9.9

6.3

Traditional Manufacturing

2.5

0.0

3.6

6.3

Computer Hardware

2.5

1.2

3.6

2.9

Environment

0.0

0.0

0.0

2.9

Agriculture

0.0

0.0

1.8

2.3

Others

22.5

22.1

12.6

21.1

Source: Shanghai Venture Capital Association (2008)

Table 5.58: Area of Investment by Foreign VC in Shanghai, 2004-2007 (%)




2004

2005

2006

2007

Software and Networks

31.3

18.8

0.0

10.7

Microelectronics

12.5

18.8

15.4

10.7

Financial Services

12.5

6.3

0.0

10.7

Telecommunication

12.5

18.8

23.1

8.9

Computer Hardware

6.3

6.3

0.0

7.1

Biotechnology and Medical Care

18.8

6.3

7.7

7.1

New Material

0.0

6.3

0.0

7.1

Traditional Manufacturing

0.0

0.0

15.4

7.1

Energy Technology

0.0

0.0

15.4

5.4

Agriculture

0.0

0.0

7.7

3.6

Environment

0.0

0.0

0.0

3.6

Others

6.3

18.8

15.4

17.9

Note: Foreign VC includes those from Hong Kong, Taiwan (China), and Macao (China). This table is based on 16 foreign firms among the 85 VC firms sampled and returned the survey.

Source: Shanghai Venture Capital Association (2008)


VC investment in Shanghai is concentrated in the growth and expansion stage of the firm and not in the very early stages. Compared to the distribution in 2006 and that in 2007, the latest year for which information is available, has not changed radically, although there is more emphasis on the seed stage (see Table 5 .59). Foreign VCs also tend to prefer growth and expansion stages. This is also the pattern of venture capital investment in the United States and elsewhere. Typically, seed capital comes from angel investors rather than from venture capital (Auerswald and Branscomb 2003).
Table 5.59: Distributions of VC Investment in Shanghai, 2006 and 2007 (%)




2006

2007

Seed

21.6

23.1

Growth

36.4

34.6

Expansion

29.6

30.8

Mature

12.3

11.5

Source: Shanghai Venture Capital Association (2008)
Among the sampled VC firms, market prospects were singled out as the most important consideration before making an investment, followed by the quality of the management team, the financial condition of the firm, and the technological capability of the firm (see Table 5 .60).131 Foreign firms assign similar weights on these factors, except for technological capabilities. Instead, foreign VCs put more emphasis on the integrity of corporate governance.
Table 5.60: Factors Considered Important by VC Prior to Investment (%)




2006

2007

Market Prospects

32.6

32.4

Management team

24.5

23.1

Financial condition

16.3

14.7

Technology

11.4

12.2

Corporate Governance

6.5

6.3

Stock price

4.3

6.3

Investment location

2.2

3.4

others

2.2

1.7

Note: based on the responses by 83 firms sampled in 2007

Source: Shanghai Venture Capital Association (2008)


The most often used vehicle for exit is acquisition by domestic non-listed firms (or natural persons) (see Table 5 .61). Listing on the stock exchange abroad, ranks as the second most favored method. Combining this with domestic listings accounts for close to 40 percent of the exits. The balance is through acquisition by various types of firms. What is notable is that the acquisition by listed foreign firms is quite small, representing only 1.6 percent of the total.
Table 5.61: Modes of Exit by Start-Up Firms (%)




2004

2005

2006

2007

Acquisition by domestic non-listed firms or natural persons

32.0

43.9

25.0

29.3

Listing abroad

20.0

20.5

18.8

26.0

Acquisition by estate management

17.3

9.1

29.5

15.4

Acquisition by foreign non-listed firms

17.3

18.9

7.1

13.8

Listing domestically

9.3

5.3

10.7

13.8

Acquisition by listed foreign firms

4.0

2.3

8.9

1.6

Source: Shanghai Venture Capital Association (2008)
The number of people working for VCs more than doubled from 2003 to 2007. The number of professional managers also increased during these period. However, it seemed that the increase in the supply of professional managers was not able to keep up with the expansion of VC industry and the share of professional managers was decreasing until 2005.132 Since then, the supply of managers has begun outpacing the expansion of the industry. Foreign VCs are more often staffed with professional managers relative to the overall sample. The trend should enhance the effectiveness of the VC industry and facilitate the growth of more technology intensive firms. Nevertheless, more capable VCs can only make a contribution if innovative ideas are forthcoming. Venture capital cannot push innovation. It is pulled by innovation generally of the kind where the payback period is in the region of five years.133
Table 5.62: Number of Employees at VC in Shanghai, 2003-2007




2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

All sampled firms
















Total

405

711

765

868

962

Professional Managers

166

270

242

319

365

Share of Professional Managers (%)

41.0

38.0

31.6

36.8

37.9

Sample firms

51

70

81

65

83



















Of which: Foreign
















Total







113

99

140

Professional Managers







38

54

67

Share of Professional Managers (%)




33.6

54.5

47.9

Sampled foreign firms







15

7

16

Note: based on sampled firms

Source: Shanghai Venture Capital Association (2008)





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