Chicago Debate League 2013/14 Core Files


NC Shell: Politics Disadvantage 283



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1NC Shell: Politics Disadvantage 283



3) Ocean biodiversity is necessary to sustain all life on earth.
CRAIG, 03

[Robin Kundis, Associate Profess of Law at Indiana, “Taking Steps Toward Marine Wilderness Protection? Fishing and Coral Reef Marine Reserves in Florida and Hawaii,” Winter, 34 McGeorge L. Rev. 155]


More generally, “ocean ecosystems play a major role in the global geochemical cycling of all the elements that represent the basic building blocks of living organisms, carbon, nitrogen, oxygen, phosphorous, and sulfur, as well as other less abundant but necessary elements”. In a very real and direct sense, therefore, human degradation of marine ecosystems impairs the planet’s ability to support life. Maintaining biodiversity is often critical to maintaining the functions of marine ecosystems. Current evidence shows that, in general, an ecosystem’s ability to keep functioning in the face of disturbance is strongly dependent on its biodiversity, “indicating that more diverse ecosystems are more stable.

2NC Extensions: A/t - #1 “Obama Won’t Push” [1/2] 284



1) Obama is pushing the rules and has political strength behind him to overcome opposition. Their evidence is speculative while ours is conclusive. Extend our NATIONAL JOURNAL evidence.
2) Obama will push for climate change because he wants to create a climate legacy, and political capital is necessary for success.
GUARDIAN, 13

[Richard Schiffman; “President Obama is talking big on climate change, but will he act?” 6/25, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2013/jun/25/obama-climate-change-speech-more-promises]


That's not too hard to answer. If a president's first term is dedicated to pleasing the voters, the second term often focuses on the even trickier business of pleasing posterity. Freed of the need to be reelected, our leaders (when they are not preoccupied with scandals like Ronald Reagan's Iran-Contra imbroglio, and Bill Clinton's impeachment over the Monica Lewinsky affair) become suddenly obsessed with insuring "their legacy". In the tradition of the curse of the second term, President Obama's has gotten off to a rocky start with the Benghazi, the IRS and now the NSA scandals coming hot on the heels of one another. But also true to form, the president is looking for redemption in some historically consequential act – in this case putting the brake on global warming. But its too early to say if the president has earned his place in the Climate Hall of Fame. Obama will have to follow up with other actions like nixing the Keystone XL pipeline. Today again the president kicked that troublesome can down the road, giving no real hint about what he'll decide, although he did say he will approve the pipeline only if he determines that it "will not increase climate pollution". Obama will also have to push hard at future global meetings like the upcoming United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 2015 rather than watering down international agreements, as the US has too often done in the past. If the president can muster the political cajones to take these controversial steps, then he may indeed be remembered as the climate hero he clearly wishes to be.


2NC Extensions: A/t - #1 “Obama Won’t Push” [2/2] 285



3) Obama’s new regulatory approach means he has the votes to overcome opposition.
NATIONAL JOURNAL, 13

[Ronald Brownstein; “Time Is Ticking for Obama’s Climate Agenda”, 6/28, http://www.nationaljournal.com/columns/political-connections/time-is-ticking-for-obama-s-climate-agenda-20130627]


With Republicans controlling the House, Obama has even less chance today of attracting enough votes to pass carbon-limiting legislation than he did in 2009. Yet because he is acting through regulation, opponents must amass enough votes to stop him. That gives him the institutional edge. Using the Congressional Review Act, the House would likely pass a resolution blocking the regulation when it’s completed, and a narrow Senate majority might follow. But Obama would inevitably veto such a resolution, and critics are unlikely to reach the two-thirds majorities required to overturn him.

2NC Extensions: A/t - #2 “Congress Isn’t Involved” 286



1) Congress can undo Obama’s rules if he creates too much controversy or angers Republicans.
NATIONAL JOURNAL, 13

[Amy Harder; “Obama Plans Marathon Sprint on Climate Change” 6/24, http://www.nationaljournal.com/daily/obama-plans-marathon-sprint-on-climate-change-20130624]


The second political hurdle is the 2014 midterm elections. The National Republican Senatorial Committee is already targeting vulnerable Democrats up for reelection, including Sens. Mary Landrieu of Louisiana, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Mark Pryor of Arkansas. “Landrieu Ushers in Obama’s Climate Change Agenda,” said one NRSC statement released Monday. The administration must thread its regulatory process carefully through the midterms, and not just to avoid endangering Democrats. If Republicans were to win back the Senate, it could create yet another hurdle for Obama’s agenda: Senate Republicans are expected to invoke the Congressional Review Act to undo the rules. The act, used successfully only once since its creation in 1996, allows senators to bypass the majority leader and force a vote requiring only 51 votes to pass a resolution nullifying regulations finalized within 60 days. It was used twice in the last session of Congress to try to undo EPA rules, and was unsuccessful both times. The White House is reportedly worried such an effort could succeed against EPA’s climate rules. Obama is “concerned about whether or not he has enough support in the Senate to defend vetoes of environmental regulations,” said Michael Kieschnick, CEO and cofounder of CREDO, a cell-phone service provider heavily involved in advocating for action on climate change. Kieschnick has attended private fundraisers with Obama in recent months where the president addressed climate change.
2) Obama’s middle-road approach will succeed, but Republicans are close to defeating him.
FALLON, 13

[Brandon, recent grad student at CSULB with a BA in History from Fordham University; “Obama Is Moving Ahead On Climate — With Or Without Congress' Help ”, 6/27, http://www.policymic.com/articles/51623/obama-is-moving-ahead-on-climate-with-or-without-congress-help]


In particular, there is a strong ideological divide on this issue. The oil and natural gas industries may have a lot of Republican allies, but money aside, the real issue is their refusal to accept increased regulations from a government that already has its hands in other industries. Regulation, in their view, stifles growth and yes, it could eat away at profits, but they believe it is more about a desire to control the free market. Obama is attempting to find a middle path where he doesn’t appear too aggressive with regulation while still playing hero to the environmentalists. Climate change is real, but with strong opposition, it is difficult to make strong policy shifts. A long-term strategy is necessary when the comprehensive approach is not so quick and easily attainable. Obama's goal appears to be to make climate change more of an issue down the road, when hopefully some more Republicans will have changed their minds. Right now, Republicans are the ones holding Obama’s agenda back.




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