Tournament of Champions 2k8 Comprehensive Caselist
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- China energy security DA
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Consult JapanTEXT: The United States Federal Government will enter into binding consultation with the government of Japan on whether or not to… …and will implement the outcome of consultation. We’ll clarify. OBSERVATION ONE IS COMPETITION: The affirmative is immediate, guaranteed plan action. You can’t enact the plan unconditionally and condition if on Japan’s acceptance. First, fiat assumes the plan happens no matter what; otherwise the 1AC could spike out of all negative offense by saying the plan is delayed or unenforced. Second, there’s no solvency for non-enforced plan action; the government would roll back the plan absent enforcement. OBSERVATION TWO IS THE NET BENEFIT: FIRST, THE ALLIANCE WILL INEVITABLY COLLAPSE NOW. Mochizuki 97 The time has come to strike a new strategic …security relationship before such a crisis occurs. AND, US WITHDRAWAL CAUSES JAPAN TO GO NUCLEAR RESULTING IN ARMS RACES, PROLIFERATION AND WORLD WAR. Khalilzad 1995 The same is also true of Japan. Given a U.S. withdrawal …world war even more catastrophic than the last. OBSERVATION THREE IS SOLVENCY: GENUINE AND BINDING CONSULTATION PRIOR TO IMPLEMENTATION STRENGTHENS AND RESTRUCTURES THE ALLIANCE. Mochizuki, Senior Fellow @ Brookings Institute, 1997 As the U.S.-Japan alliance becomes more reciprocal, …relationships with the major West European allies. China energy security DAUnique Internal Link—China influence is high because of the lack of U.S. aid an increase in aid would hurt Chinese influence Boston Globe, 6/03/2007 (“Into Africa - As China becomes a major influence in Africa, it faces mounting resistance and a profound dilemma: How does a nation devoted to nonintervention become a global power?” Lexis) A more confident Chinese leadership has chosen to demonstrate …of the Central Committee’s Policy Research Office. Link—Plan causes a constant hot resource war between the U.S. and China Eisenman and Kurlantzick May 06 (Joshua, Assistant Director of China Studies at The Nixon Center, Joshua, Fellow at the USC School of Public Diplomacy and the Pacific Council on International Policy, “China’s African Strategy”, Current History, Vol.105 Iss. 691 Pg. 219) Even as the United States has largely ignored African …of Maputo and other African capitals. Resource competition in Africa undermines relations and nationalism, causing wars, environmental destruction and economic collapse culminating in extinction Heinrich Kreft, Senior Foreign Policy Advisor to the CDU/CSU Parliamentary Group in the German Bundestag, Former Deputy Head of Policy Planning and Senior Strategic Analyst of the German Foreign Ministry, Hoover Institute Policy Review, Oct / Nov, 2006 (http://www.hoover.org/publications/policyreview/4824886.html) China is responding to these challenges by …each other’s energy insecurities and develop new ways for cooperation. China oil daA. China is winning the competition for African influence because of its provision of unconditional aid Chau, 07 (Donovan, Adjunct Faculty member and member of the University graduate faculty in the Department of Defense and Strategic Studies, Missouri State University, “POLITICAL WARFARE IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: U.S. CAPABILITIES AND CHINESE OPERATIONS IN ETHIOPIA, KENYA, NIGERIA, AND SOUTH AFRICA”, March, http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB766.pdf) PRC political warfare operations followed a similar …means of furthering U.S. interests abroad.207 B. Public health initatives are key to China's influence - the plan challenges China's influence Gill, et al, 06 (Bates, Center for Strategic and International Studies, “China’s Expanding Role in Africa Implications for the United States”, 12/1, Report of the CSIS Delegation to China on China-Africa-U.S. Relations, http://www.csis.org/media/csis/pubs/chinainafrica.pdf) China, in its quest for a …to provide a durable foundation for a future strategic partnership. C. U.S. and Chinese influence in Africa is zero-sum--Africa will choose between the U.S. and Chinese models of development. Increasing U.S. health assistance will be a determinant choice in whether Africa accepts the U.S. or turns to China McLeary, 07 (Paul, staff writer for the Columbia Journalism Review, “A Different Kind of Great Game”, March, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3744&print=1) In such a fight, China’s unfettered aid would seem to …term health and stability that the United States is promising. D. The Chinese model is vital to securing Chinese access to African oil—it’s vital to the Chinese economy Pan, 07 (Esther, Council on Foreign Relations, “China, Africa, and Oil”, 1/26, http://www.cfr.org/publication/9557/) China's booming economy, which has averaged …increasing supplies of oil from African countries. This is vital to the stability of the ruling party Zweig and Jianhai, 05 (David, director of the Center on China's Transnational Relations at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, and Bi, post-doctoral fellow at the Center, Foreign Affairs, “China’s Global Hunt for Energy”, September/October, proquest) An unprecedented need for resources is now … government to devise strategies for the top rung of the Communist Party. And, Regime instability causes nuclear, chemical, and biological lashout Renxing, 05 (Sen, staff writer, The Epoch Times, (a privately owned Falon-Gong linked newspaper) August 3, 2005, “CCP Gambles Insanely to Avoid Death” http://www.theepochtimes.com/news/5-8-3/30931.html) Since the Party’s life is “above all else,” it would not …billion people hostage and gamble with their lives. China soft power daA. Africa is a litmus test for China’s global power – its perceived imperialism is causing backlash in Africa. It must shift towards programs designed for the mutual benefit of Africa to solidify its soft power and global leadership Kurlantzick 2007 – Visiting Scholar in Carnegie Endowment’s China Program [Joshua Kurlantzick, “Into Africa - As China becomes a major influence in Africa, it faces mounting resistance and a profound dilemma: How does a nation devoted to nonintervention become a global power?,” June 3, Lexis] EMBARKING UPON A 12-day tour of Africa …the African continent and, potentially, the world. B. China is competing with the U.S. over influence in Africa—the counterplan boosts China’s ability to win African partnerships and Chinese soft power while the plan would kill china’s soft power Gill, et al, 06 (Bates, Center for Strategic and International Studies, “China’s Expanding Role in Africa Implications for the United States”, 12/1, Report of the CSIS Delegation to China on China-Africa-U.S. Relations, http://www.csis.org/media/csis/pubs/chinainafrica.pdf) China, in its quest for a closer strategic partnership with Africa, has increasingly …a future strategic partnership. C. Chinese soft power is critical to preventing a Taiwanese push for independence Gill and Huang 2006 (Bates holds the CSIS Freeman Chair in China, Yanzhong is an assistant professor at the John Whitehead School of Diplomacy and International Relations, Survival, “Sources and limits of Chinese 'soft power',” Volume 48 Issue 2 June, pg 17-36, http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/section?content=a747985000&fulltext=713240928) A most intriguing example of China's soft …more than $100bn on the mainland. D. Taiwanese push for independence will escalate into a global nuclear holocaust Hsiung 01 – Professor of Politics and International Law at NYU [James, 21st Century World Order and the Asia Pacific, p. 359-360] Admittedly, it is harmless for an analyst like …geopolitical peace in the Asia Pacific region. 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