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Affirmative Answers

AFF --- AT: Weather Satellites / JPSS




NOAA will still be able to do weather forecasts even if there is a data gap


Kicza, 13 --- Assistant Administrator National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service at NOAA (9/19/2013, Mary E., “HEARING TITLED DYSFUNCTION IN MANAGEMENT OF WEATHER AND CLIMATE SATELLITES BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEES ON ENVIRONMENT AND OVERSIGHT COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES,” http://science.house.gov/sites/republicans.science.house.gov/files/documents/HHRG-113-SY21-WState-MKicza-20130919.pdf, JMP)
With funds provided by the Public Law 113-2, “Disaster Relief Appropriations Act of 2013,” NOAA is implementing a number of strategic actions designed to make its weather forecasting enterprise more robust in the face of the possibility of a gap in polar-orbiting weather data. These activities seek to make better use of existing data, take advantage of new data sources planned in the future, improve operational high performance computing capacity, and improve the assimilation of data into weather prediction models, including hurricane models. The goal is to minimize the impact of a gap in coverage should it become a reality. While none of these activities, individually or collectively, can totally replace a lack of JPSS data, they represent the positive actions NOAA can take to mitigate the loss of these data. Should a data gap not occur, these investments will nonetheless improve NOAA’s ability to use existing data, thus improving weather forecasts. These actions are being taken in addition to the steps NOAA is taking to ensure that JPSS and GOES-R Series satellite development continue as planned.

Need for every additional satellite is overhyped


Tracton, 12 (3/29/2012, Steve, “National Weather Service budget cuts misguided, misplaced,” http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/national-weather-service-budget-cuts-misguided-misplaced/2012/03/29/gIQAmm6qiS_blog.html, JMP)
One striking way to look at this is to note that $2 billion for weather satellites is more than twice that of the entire NWS ($972 million)! Moreover, the casualties of the 2013 budget cuts are just the tip of the iceberg of implicit budget constraints (not actual cuts) imposed for years by satellite programs on other promising and much less costly programs within the NWS.

This does not mean weather satellites are not crucial for weather analysis and prediction. They most definitely are.

The issue is whether the value of each and every current and prospective satellite (and each individual sensor housed therein) - given the extant large menagerie of U.S (and international) polar and geostationary satellites - has reached the point of diminishing returns.

The answer is yes and no depending upon whether their intended contribution to specific operational forecasting needs and requirements are justifiable. This includes consideration of mission redundancy (with other satellite systems) and the capability to provide additional information otherwise unobtainable which demonstrably contributes to improving weather predictions and their value to mission specific objectives (e.g., increased lead time and confidence in winter storm forecasts, conditions conducive for outbreaks of thunderstorm complexes and tornadoes).

The reality is there is considerable reason to believe that the uncompromisingly high priority given to some high price-tag satellite programs is not justifiable. Claims to their criticality to forecasting have been excessively hyped and not sufficiently substantiated. I’ll discuss this in additional detail in a follow-up blog post, Part II.

Uniqueness outweighs --- strong bipartisan support for weather satellite funding


Leone, 14 (4/28/2014, Dan, “Profile | Mary Kicza, Assistant Administrator for Satellite and Information Services, U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,” http://www.spacenews.com/article/features/40378profile-mary-kicza-assistant-administrator-for-satellite-and-information, JMP)
Despite almost constant partisan strife in the U.S. Congress, lawmakers on both sides of the aisle agree on this much: It’s worth knowing when to pack an umbrella.

If they had any inclination to waver on this shared principle, it evaporated in the wake of Hurricane Sandy. Weather satellite data were instrumental in predicting the highly destructive storm’s track along the U.S. Eastern Seaboard in October 2012, giving those in its path crucial time to prepare.

Thus NOAA’s two main weather satellite development programs — the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES)-R and Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) — were fully funded in the omnibus spending bill that passed in December and covers federal activities for the remainder of 2014. What’s more, Congress tried to shield these efforts from sequestration, the across-the-board spending cuts that affected virtually all other federal activities beginning in March 2013.

JPSS program is plagued with runaway costs and mismanagement and most recent NOAA budget underfunds weather research


Representative Smith, 14 (4/30/2014, Rep. Smith, Lamar - (R-TX), Congressional Documents and Publications. House Science, Space, and Technology Subcommittee on Environment Hearing - "An Overview of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Budget Request for FY2015," Factiva, JMP)
Chairman Smith: Thank you Chairman Schweikert, and thank you Administrator Sullivan for being with us here today. Let me congratulate you on being named one of Time Magazine's 100 most influential people of 2014.

Our Committee oversees NOAA's more than five billion dollar budget. NOAA is responsible for critical science activities related to oceans, weather and climate.

Today we are here to discuss the President's FY15 budget request for NOAA of $5.5 billion, a 3.3 percent increase over 2014 levels. While I support many of these areas of research and forecasting, other parts of the President's FY15 budget request are harder to justify.

For example, the Administration's request substantially increases funding for climate research and for some non-critical climate satellite activities. In comparison, funding for the National Weather Service and weather forecasting research is essentially flat.



Almost $190 million is requested for climate research, more than twice the amount dedicated to weather research. There are 13 other agencies that are involved in climate change research, and according to the Congressional Research Service, they have spent $77 billion between 2008 and 2013.

For example, in addition to NOAA, NASA, the Department of Energy, and the National Science Foundation also carry out climate change modeling.



Unfortunately, NOAA's models do not match up with observed changes and have not predicted regional climate changes. And NOAA's website, Climate.Gov, includes non-peer reviewed materials promoting climate alarmism for children.

These misguided priorities are troubling. Instead of hyping climate alarmism, NOAA should focus its efforts on other areas such as improving weather forecasting.

America's leadership has slipped in severe weather forecasting. European weather models routinely predict America's weather better than we can.

I am also concerned that NOAA's satellite division now comprises over 40 percent of the total budget request for the agency, at over $2 billion. In 2008, the satellite budget came in under a billion dollars and was roughly one-quarter of NOAA's overall spending. The budget for this office has ballooned dramatically over the last decade.

For instance, the Joint Polar Satellite System program has been plagued with runaway costs and mismanagement, which raises questions about future funding for the project and its expected launch dates.



Even NOAA's own optimistic schedule would still leave us with a gap for critical weather data in the middle part of this decade.

Meanwhile the chronic cost over-runs of NOAA's satellites have forced significant reductions in funding for important activities in areas such as oceans, fisheries, and weather.

NOAA is a mission-oriented agency, and this Committee supports these core priorities. We face fiscal constraints that force us to make difficult choices about our science and technology resources.

Rather than devoting limited dollars to duplicative and alarmist climate change activities, NOAA should focus on research and forecasting capabilities that protect lives and property.



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