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141 Overall, 2006 will be a strong year for commercial activity but a slightly weaker year for overall construction, as the booming housing market decelerates and home prices transition to a relatively soft landing. Rising interest rates will dampen the red‐hot housing market in 2006, but overall construction
will remain strong, supported by robust nonresidential construction. An Increase in commercial and public construction will spur nonresidential growth throughout
2006. Improving budget outlooks allowed state and local governments to spend more freely in 2005. About 90 percent of public construction spending comes from state and local governments.
Even with climbing fuel prices, rising interest rates and many businesses looking to cut costs, investment growth is giving the manufacturing sector an extra boost this year. Manufacturing output is expected to increase nearly 5.0 percent, and a primary recipient will be the machinery sector. Manufacturing was a main driver of nonresidential construction in 2005, and it will be even stronger this year. However, while manufacturing construction will remain at a healthy level in 2007‐08, growth is expected to slow.
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