Next gen affirmative 1ac advantage-Econ



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Heg Impact-Balancing 2AC


Credible military threat reduces intervention, deters conflicts, and promotes sustainable leadership

Robert Kagan, Senior Associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Columnist for the Washington Post, and Contributing Editor at the Weekly Standard and the New Republic, and William Kristol, Editor and Publisher of the Weekly Standard, Spring 2000 (“The Present Danger” – National Interest) p. ebscohost

A strong America capable of projecting force quickly and with devastating effect to important regions of the world would make it less likely that challengers to regional stability will attempt to alter the status quo in their favor. It might even deter them from undertaking expensive efforts to arm themselves for such a challenge. An America whose willingness to project force is in doubt, on the other hand, can only encourage such challenges. In Europe, in Asia and in the Middle East, the message we should be sending potential foes is: “Don’t even think about it.” That kind of deterrence offers the best recipe for lasting peace, and it is much cheaper than fighting the wars that would follow should we fail to build such a deterrent capacity.
Overwhelming hard power and resolve not only deters enemies, but prevents security competition that causes balancing

Walter Russell Mead, Senior Fellow for United States Foreign Policy, Council on Foreign Relations, 2004 (Power, Terror, Peace, and War) p. 30

Over time, there has been a distinct shift in American strategic thinking toward the need for overwhelming military superiority as the surest foundation for national security. This is partly for the obvious reasons of greater security, but it is partly also because supremacy can have an important deterrent effect. If we achieve such a degree of military supremacy that challenges seem hopeless, other states might give up trying. Security competition is both expensive and dangerous. Establishing an overwhelming military supremacy might not only go far to deter potential enemies from military attack, but it might also deter other powers from trying to match the American buildup.

Heg Impact-Hegemony Sustainable


US Primacy is sustainable

Robert J. Lieber, Government Professor GWU, 2009, International Politics, Vol. 46, p. 136-7

Demography also works to the advantage of the United States. Most other powerful states, including China and Russia as well as Germany and Japan, face the significant aging of their populations. Although the United States needs to finance the costs of an aging population, this demographic shift is occurring to a lesser extent and more slowly than among its competitors. Mark Haas argues that these factors in global aging ‘will be a potent force for the continuation of US power dominance, both economic and military’ (Haas, 2007, p. 113). Finally, the United States benefits from two other unique attributes, flexibility and adaptability. Time and again, America has faced daunting challenges and made mistakes, yet it has possessed the inventiveness and societal flexibility to adjust and respond successfully. Despite obvious problems, not least the global financial crisis, there is reason to believe that America’s adaptive capacity will allow it to respond to future requirements and threats. None of this assures the maintenance of its world role, but the domestic underpinnings to support this engagement remain relatively robust. Thus for the foreseeable future, US primacy is likely to be sustainable. America’s own national interest – and the fortunes of a global liberal democratic order – depend on it.
US dominates the ability to power project

Stephen G. Brooks & William C. Wohlforth, Professors of Government- Dartmouth, 2008, World Out of Balance: International Relations and the Challenge of American Primacy, p. 28-9

These vast commitments have created a preeminence in military capabilities vis-à-vis all the other major powers that is unique after the seventeenth century. While other powers could contest US forces near their homelands, especially over issues on which nuclear deterrence is credible, the United States is and will long remain the only state capable of projecting major military power globally. This capacity arises from “command of the commons” –that is, unassailable military dominance over the sea, air, and space. As Barry Posen puts it, “Command of the commons is the key military enabler of the US global power position. It allows the United States to exploit more fully other sources of power including its own economic and military might as well as the economic and military might of its allies. Command of the commons also helps the United States to weaken its adversaries, by restricting their access to economic, military and political assistance….Command of the commons provides the United States with more useful military potential for a hegemonic foreign policy than any other offshore power has ever had.
Combination of military and economic potential means US primacy is historically unprecedented

Stephen G. Brooks & William C. Wohlforth, Professors of Government- Dartmouth, 2008, World Out of Balance: International Relations and the Challenge of American Primacy, p. 29-30

Posen’s study of American military primacy ratifies Kennedy’s emphasis on the historical importance of the economic foundations of national power. It is the combination of military and economic potential that sets the United States apart from its predecessors at the top of that international system (fig 2.1). Previous leading states were either great commercial and naval powers or great military powers on land, never both. The British Empire in its heyday and the United States during the Cold War, for example, shared the world with other powers that matched or exceeded them in some areas. Even at the height of the Pax Britannica, the United Kingdom was outspent, outmanned, and outgunned by both France and Russia. Similarly, at the dawn of the Cold War the United States was dominant economically as well as in air and naval capabilities. But the Soviet Union retained overall military parity, and thanks to geography and investment in land power it had a superior ability to seize territory in Eurasia. The United States’ share of the world GDP in 2006, 27.5 percent, surpassed that of any leading state in modern history, with the sole exception of its own position after 1945 (when World War II had temporarily depressed ever other major economy). The size of the US economy means that its massive military capabilities required roughly 4 percent of its GDP in 2005, far less than the nearly 10 percent it averaged over the peak years of the Cold War, 1950-70, and the burden borne by most of the major powers of the past. As Kennedy sums up, “Being Number One at great cost is one thing; being the world’s single superpower on the cheap is astonishing.”



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