Oil 1 Peak Oil 21



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Oil


Oil 1

***Peak Oil*** 21

***Aff*** 22

***Inherency** 22

Oil Consumption Increasing 22

Oil Discoveries Declining 23

Oil Discoveries Declining 24

Peak Oil Coming-Now 25

Peak Oil Coming-2007 26

Peak Oil Coming-2010 27

Peak Oil Coming-2010 28

Peak Oil Coming-2011 29

Peak Oil Coming-2015 30

Peak Oil Coming-2016 31

Peak Oil Coming-2017 32

Peak Oil Coming-2018 33

Peak Oil Coming-2020 34

Peak Oil Coming-2025 35

Plateau Coming 36

***AT: Neg Shit*** 37

AT: Cambell/Hubbert Indicts 37

AT: Cambridge Energy Research Report 38

AT: Coal Fills In 39

AT: Efficiency Solves Oil Shortages 40

AT: Energy Information Agency Estimates 41

AT: Fusion Energy Fills In 42

AT: Geothermal Energy Fills In 43

AT: Heavy Oils Fill In 44

AT: Huber 45

AT: Hubbert Indicts 46

AT: Hydrogen Fills In 47

AT: International Energy Agency Reports 48

AT: Lomborg 49

AT: Lomborg 51

AT: Lynch 52

AT: Markets Solve 53

AT: Natural Gas Fills In 54

AT: Natural Gas Fills In 55

AT: New Discoveries 56

AT: New Discoveries 57

AT: New Discoveries-ANWR 58

AT: New Discoveries-Arctic 59

AT: New Discoveries-Britain/Canada/Alaska 60

AT: New Discoveries-Eastern Europe 61

AT: New Discoveries-Mexico 62

AT: New Discoveries-OPEC 63

AT: New Discoveries-Russia 64

AT: New Discoveries-Saudi Arabia 65

AT: No Peak-Markets Prove 66

AT: Nuclear Power Fills In 67

AT: Nuclear Power Fills In 69

AT: Oil Industry Reports 70

AT: Oil Reserves Increasing 71

AT: OPEC Fills In 72

AT: OPEC Reserves High 73

AT: Peak Oil Good-Benefits Exporters Economies 74

AT: Saudis Fill In 75

AT: Saudis Fills In 76

AT: Shale Oil Fills In 77

AT: Shell Reports 78

AT: Slow Decrease in Production 79

AT: Tech Solves Peak 80

AT: Tech Solves Peak 81

AT: Unconventional Sources Fill In 82

AT: USGS Reports 83

AT: USGS/EIA Reports 84

AT: Wave Energy Fills In 85

AT: World Economic and Energy Outlook Report 86

AT: World Energy Council Report 87

AT: World Energy Outlook Reports 88

***Impacts*** 89

5 Billion Dead 89

Chemical Industry Module 90

Chemical Industry Module 92

Chinese Economic Collapse 93

Democracy Module 94

Disease Module 95

Disease Module 96

Economy Module 97

Economy Module 98

Extension: Peak OilEconomic Collapse 99

Extension: Peak OilEconomic Collapse 100

AT: Peak Oil Won’t Collapse the Economy 102

Environmental Destruction Module 103

Extinction 104

Famine Module 105

Extension: Peak OilFamine 106

AT: Genetic Engineering Solves Food Shortages 107

Hegemony Module 108

Extension: Peak Oil Collapses Hegemony 109

Laundry List 110

Middle East War Module 111

Nuclear Power Bad Module 112

Nuclear Power Bad Module 113

Nuclear War 114

Nuclear War 115

Nuclear War 116

Nuclear War 118

118

Trade Module 119

U.S. Economic Collapse Module 120

U.S.-Sino War 121

War 122

War 123

***Random*** 124

U.S. Key 124

U.S. Key 126

U.S. Key 127

Solvency-Incentives 128

Now Key 129

Now Key 130

Err Aff 131

131

***Neg*** 132

Peak Oil Advantage – 1NC Frontline 133

Peak Oil Advantage – 1NC Frontline 134

Peak Oil Advantage – 1NC Frontline 135

135

Peak Oil Advantage – 1NC Frontline 136

Peak Oil Advantage – 1NC Frontline 137

Peak Oil Advantage – 1NC Frontline= 138

Peak Oil Advantage – 1NC Frontline 139

Peak Oil Advantage – 1NC Frontline 140

Peak Oil Advantage – 1NC Frontline 141

Peak Oil Advantage – 1NC Frontline 142

1NC Frontline 143

No Peak 145

No Peak 146

No Peak 147

No Peak 148

No Peak 149

No Peak – Consumption Decreasing 150

Peak in 2020 151

Peak in 2030 152

Peak Won’t Happen Soon 153

Peak Won’t Happen Soon 154

Peak Won’t Happen Soon 155

Peak Won’t Happen Soon/No Impact 156

Oil Won’t Run Out 157

More Oil – OPEC countries 158

Bell Curve/Hubbert Wrong 160

Bell Curve/Hubbert Wrong 161

Campbell Wrong/Oil Reserves High 163

Peak Theorists Wrong – No Transparency 164

Peak Oil Theorists Wrong – Field Growth 165

Peak Theorists Wrong – Bad Model 166

Peak Oil Theorists Wrong – Future Oil Production 167

Oil Reserves High 169

Oil Reserves High 170

Oil Reserves High 171

Oil Reserves High 172

Oil Reserves High 173

Oil Reserves High 174

Oil Reserves High 175

Reserve Growth/Tech Solves 177

Tech Solves 179

Tech Solves 180

Tech Solves 181

Tech Solves 182

New Techniques Solve 184

Other Resources Solve 185

Natural Gas Solves 187

[card continues --- no text deleted] 187

Natural Gas Solves 188

188

Natural Gas Solves 189

Natural Gas Solves 190

Natural Gas Solves 191

Coal Solves/Energy Use Decreasing 193

Alt Energy Solves 194

Unconventional Oil Solves 195

Unconventional Oil Solves 196

Unconventional Oil Solves 197

Unconventional Oil Solves 198

Unconventional Oil Solves 199

Unconventional Oil Solves – Smooth Transition 200

Undiscovered Oil Solves 201

Offshore Drilling Solves 202

Oil = Renewable 203

Oil = Renewable 204

Oil = Renewable 205

High Oil Prices Solve 206

High Oil Prices Solve 207

High Oil Prices Solve 208

High Prices Solve/No Impact 209

Peak Rhetoric Bad 210

Peak Rhetoric Bad 211

Peak Rhetoric Bad – Militarism 212

AT: Oil Prices Prove Peak Now 213

AT: Oil Prices Prove Peak Now 214

AT: Oil Prices Prove Peak Now 215

AT: Oil Prices Prove Peak Now 216

AT: Saudi Arabia Lies About Oil Numbers 217

AT: China/India Demand Causes Peak 218

No Impact – Smooth Transition 219

No Impact – Smooth Transition 220

No Impact – Smooth Transition 221

Alt Energy = Warming Increase 223

***Neg*** 225

1NC Frontline 225

1 NC Frontline 226

Uniqueness-Oil Prices High Now 227

Uniqueness-Oil Prices High Now 228

Impact-Conflict 229

Impact-Democracy Promotion 230

Impact-National Security 231

Impact-Terrorism 232

Impact-Terrorism 233

Impact-Prolif 234

Impact-Econ 235

Impact-Readiness 236

Impact-Global Warming 237

Impact-Deforestation 238

No Solvency 239

***Aff*** 240

Oil Dependence Decreasing 240

Status Quo Solves Oil Dependnece 241

Oil Dependence Inevitable 242

Oil Dependence Inevitable 243

Oil Dependence Inevitable 244

AT: Oil Dependency Kills Economy 245

Economic Independence Good 246

Oil Independence Expensive 247

Solvency-Alt Energy Reduces Oil Dependecne 248

248

Oil Prices – Up 249

Oil Prices – Down 250

Oil Prices – A2 Bubble 251

Oil Prices – A2 Declining Now 252

Oil Prices – Down 253

Oil Prices – A2 Drilling 254

US Economy - Advantage 255

US Economy Advantage – Economic Collapse Impact 256

US Economy – Declining Now 257

US Economy - Dollar 258

US Economy – Trade Deficit 259

US Economy – Inflation 260

US Economy – Wage-Price Inflation 261

US Economy – Inflation + Growth 262

US Economy – Inflation + Growth 263

US Economy – Inflation + Growth 264

US Economy – Inflation + Growth 265

US Economy – Stagflation 266

US Economy – Stagflation 267

US Economy – Growth 268

US Economy – World Growth 269

US Economy – Japan, Germany, South Korea 270

US Economy – World Econ & Trade 271

US Economy – 3rd World Exporters 272

US Economy – Foreign Investors 273

US Economy – Expert Consensus 274

US Economy – Consumer Spending 275

US Economy – Alt Energy Solves 276

US Economy – A2 Monetary Policy Solves 277

US Economy – A2 Housing 278

US Economy – A2 Declining Oil Prices 279

US Economy – A2 Decreased Demand 280

US Economy – A2 Housing 281

A2 US Economy – Housing 282

A2 US Economy – Housing 283

A2 US Economy – Construction 284

A2 Trade Deficit 285

A2 World Economy Decline – Country Housing Markets 286

A2 Economy – Economy Decreases Oil 287

A2 Economy – Central Banks Key 288

A2 Stagflation – Exogenous oil shock 289

Developing Countries - Food Shortages Advantage 291

Developing Countries – Poverty Advantage 292

Developing Countries – Poverty Advantage 293

Developing Countries – Poverty Extension 294

Developing countries – Poverty Extension 295

Developing Countries – Industry 296

Develolping Countries – Persistent Recession 297

Developing Countries - Inflation 298

Developing Countries – Capital Markets 299

Developing Countries – Stock Markets 300

Food Prices - Link 301

Food Prices - Riots 302

Developing Countries – Central America 303

Developing Countries – Pakistan Advantage 304

Developing Countries – Pakistan Advantage Terror Impact 305

Developing Countries – Pakistan Advantage Indo-Pak War Impact 306

Developing Countries – Pakistan Extension 307

Developing Countries – State Failure & Terror 309

Food Prices - Violence 310

Food Prices – Mid East Stability 311

Food Prices – Protectionism Advantage 312

A2 Food Prices - Production 313

A2 Food Prices – Alt Causes 314

India Advantage 316

India – Inflation Extension 317

India - Transportation 318

India – Economy 319

India – Economic Growth 320

India – A2 Airline Losses 321

A2 India – Currency Up 322

A2 India – Economy Okay 323

A2 India – Inflation Doesn’t Escalate 324

Uniqueness Frontline 326

Uniqueness Frontline 327

Gregory Meyer, Dow Jones Newswires, The Autralian Business, 7/19/08, Oil prices slide for a fourth straight session, http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24043762-20142,00.html 327

Uniqueness Frontline 328

Uniqueness Ext 329

Uniqueness Ext 330

Uniqueness Ext 331

Germany 1NC 332

Germany 1NC 332

Germany 1NC 333

Germany Link Frontline 335

Germany Link Frontline 336

Germany Link Ext 337

Germany Link Ext 338

Germany Link Ext 339

Germany Internal Links 340

International 1NC 341

Gregory Meyer, Dow Jones Newswires, The Autralian Business, 7/19/08, Oil prices slide for a fourth straight session, http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24043762-20142,00.html 341

International 1NC 341

International Link Frontline 343

International Link Frontline 344

International Link Frontline 345

International Link Ext 346

International Link Ext 347

International Link Ext 348

Japan 1NC 349

Japan 1NC 349

Japan Link Frontline 351

Japan Link Frontline 352

Japan Link Ext 353

Impacts 354

Impacts 355

A2: Inflation Link Turn 356

German Economy - Link 357

German Economy - Inflation 358

German Economy – Link Ext 359

Germany Link Ext 360

Germany – Investor Confidence 361

International Link Frontline 362

International Link Frontline 363

International Link Frontline 364

International Link Ext 365

International Link Ext 366

International Link Ext 367

International Link Ext 368

A2 Germany Economy – Wind Energy 369

A2 German Economy – Environment 370

Uniqueness- Oil Prices 371

Uniqueness- Oil Prices 372

China Oil Prices Add On 373

2AC China Shell (1/3) 374

2AC China Shell (2/3) 375

2AC China Shell (3/3) 376

376

Competition Link 377

Competition Link 379

Competition Link 380

Competition Link 381

Competition Link 382

Competition Link 383

Competition Link 384

Instability/Competition Link 385

Economy Link 386

Economy Link 387

Economy Link 388

Economy Link 389

Economy Link 390

Economy Link 391

Economy Internal 392

Economy Impact 393

Instability Impact 394

Instability Impact 395

Neg Answers- Economies 396

Neg Answers- Cooperation 398

Neg Answers- Cooperation 399

Neg- Cooperation 400

Neg- Cooperation 401

Neg Answers- Cooperation 402

Neg Answers- Relations 403

Neg Answers- Threat Con 404

In this sense, the discursive construction of China as a threatening other cannot be detached from (neo)realism, a positivist, ahistorical framework of analysis within which global life is reduced to endless interstate rivalry for power and survival. As many critical IR scholars have noted, (neo)realism is not a transcendant description of global reality but is predicated on the modernist Western identity, which, in the quest for scientific certainty, has come to define itself essentially as the sovereign territorial nation-state. This realist self-identity of Western states leads to the constitution of anarchy as the sphere of insecurity, disorder, and war. In an anarchical system, as (neo)realists argue, “the gain of one side is often considered to be to the loss of the other,” (45) and “All other states are potential threats.” (46) In order to survive in such a system, states inevitably pursue power or capability. In doing so, these realist claims represent what R.B.J. Walker calls “a specific historical articulation of relations of universality/particularity and self/Other.” (47) 404

The (neo) realist paradigm has dominated the U.S. IR discipline in general and the U.S. China studies field in particular. As Kurt Campbell notes, after the end of the Cold War, a whole new crop of China experts “are much more likely to have a background in strategic studies or international relations than China itself.” (48) As a result, for those experts to know China is nothing more or less than to undertake a geopoliticall analysis or it, often by asking only a few questions such as how China will “behave” in a strategic sense and how it may affect the regional or global balance of power, with particular emphasis on China’s military power or capabilities. As Thomas J. Christensen note, “Although many have focused on intentions as well as capabilities, the most prevalent component of the [China threat] debate is the assessment of China’s overall future military power compared with that of the United States and other East Asian regional powers.” (49) Consequently, almost by default, China emerges as an absolute other and a threat thanks to this (neo)realist prism. 404

The (neo)realist emphasis on survival and security in international relations dovetails perfectly with the U.S. self-imagination, because for the U.S. to define itself as the indispensible nation in a world of anarchy is often to demand absolute security. As James Chace and Caleb Carr note, “for over two centuries the aspirations towards an eventual condition of absolute security has been viewed as central to an effective American foreign policy.” (50) And this self-identification in turn leads to the definition of not only “tangible’ foreign powers but global contingency and uncertainty per se as threats. For example, former U.S. President George H. W. Bush repeatedly said that “the enemy [of America] is unpredictability. The enemy is instability.” (51) Similarly, arguing for the continuation of U.S. Cold War alliances, a high-ranking Pentagon official asked, “if we pull out, who knows what nervousness will result?” (52) 404

A2 Threat Con 405

406

Iran 2AC Add On 407

Iran 2AC Shell (1/1) 408

Iran 2AC Shell (2/4) 409

Iran 2AC Shell (3/4) 411

Iran 2AC Shell (4/4) 412

Uniqueness- Nukes 413

Uniqueness- Nukes 414

Uniqueness/Link- Oil Revenue 415

Impact- Corruption 416

Impact- Corruption 417

Impact- War 418

Impact- War 419

Impact- Nuclear Terrorism 420

420

Neg Answers- Iran won’t use nukes 421

Neg Answers- Oil revenues temporary and have no effect 422

Neg Answers- Oil key to Econ 423

Neg Answers- Oil key Econ 424

Neg Answers- Oil key Econ 425

Neg Answers- Oil key to Econ 426

Neg Answers- Iran Economy key to world economy 427

Neg Answers- World econ collapse = nuke war 429

Neg Answers- Oil key reform 430

Neg Answers- No nuke program 431

A2- Oil change doesn’t solve 432

A2- negotiations solve 433

A2- Stop Iran after goes nuclear 434

A2- Oil key economy 435

Europe 2AC Shell (2/2) 438

Internal Link- Europe Econ Key to World Econ 441

Internal Links- Europe Econ key world/Econ key soft power 442

Internal Link- Europe Economy key to Soft Power/Unity 444

Internal Link- EU key to Iran nuke program 445

Iran Impact- Nuke terrorism 446

Terrorism Impact 447

Econ Collapse= war/nationalism 448

Neg Answers- EU ineffective 449

Neg Answers- EU ineffective 450

Neg Answers- EU Ineffective- Procedure 451

Neg Answers- EU Ineffective- Leadership 452

Neg Answers- EU Ineffective 453

Neg answers- Europe Econ Resilient 454

Neg Answers- Europe Econ. Resilient 455

Proliferation 2AC Add On 456

2AC Shell (1/2) 457

2AC Shell (2/2) 458

Impact- Nuke War 459

Neg answers- Proliferation good 460

Neg Answers- Proliferation Inevitable 461

Terror – Advantage 463

Terrorism - Advantage 464

Terror – Link Extension 465

Terror – Link Extension 466

Terror – Saudi Arabia Link 467

A2 Terror – Oil Not Key 468

Econ Backstopping 1NC 471

Saudi Prolif 1NC 473

Saudi Arabia can flood the market 476

Saudi Arabia can flood the market 477

Link—Turns case/Terrorism 478

Link—kills Saudi Relations 479

2AC 481

High oil prices =>transition away now 484

Status Quo solves—shift to renewables 485

Market Wire 7-06, “Leveraging Against High Oil Prices; Become Educated on Renewable and Green Technology,” http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_pwwi/is_200607/ai_n16631543 485

Aff—Current shift to renewables won’t solve 486

Azerbaijan Econ 1NC 487

Oil K2 Azerbaijan Econ 490

Oil k2 Azerbaijan Economy 492

Link—State Collapse 494

Aff 496

Nigeria Disad 497

Nigeria Oil DA 498

Nigeria Oil DA 499

2NC UNIQUENESS BOMB—OIL PRICES RISING 500

2NC LINK—AE CAUSES OIL PRICES TO REDUCE 501

HIGH PRICES KEY TO NIGERIAN ECONOMY 502

HIGH OIL PRICES KEY TO NIGERIAN ECONOMY 502

STRONG OIL SECTOR KEY TO ECONOMY 504

OIL MAKES UP 95% OF NIGERIA’S REVENUES 505

HIGH NIGERIAN OIL REVENUES ATTRACTS FOREIGN INVESTORS 506

IMPACT—HIGH OIL REVENUES CREATE POLITICAL STABILITY 507

NIGERIAN COLLAPSE GUARANTEES SPILLOVER AND ARMED CONFLICT 508

508

Low oil revenues trigger unemployment 509

RANDOM—HIGH OIL PRICES KEY TO NIGERIAN EDUCATION 510

THEY SAY—NIGERIA ECONOMY COLLAPSING NOW 511

DISAD TURNS CASE—NIGERIAN INSTABILITY TRIGGERS OIL PRICES GLOBALLY 512

EXT—DA turns case: Nigerian Instability triggers oil prices 513

EXT: DISAD TURNS CASE—NIGERIA INSTABILITY TRIGGERS HIGH OIL PRICES 514

AFF OIL ISNT KEY TO NIGERIAN ECONOMY 515

AFF – OIL KILLS ECONOMIC DIVERSITY 516

AFF—TURN: HIGH PRICES BAD FOR NIGERIAN ECONOMY 517

AFF—OIL DOESN’T BENEFIT ALL OF NIGERIA 518

IRAQ OIL DA 519

Iraq Oil DA 519

2NC UNIQUENESS BOMB—OIL PRICES RISING 521

High oil prices help stabilize Iraq 522

High oil prices are stabilizing Iraq 523

EXT—Oil Key to Iraq’s Economy 524

EXT—Oil Key to Iraq’s Economy 525

Iraqi Collapse Spills Over to the entire region 526

Ext—Iraq Conflict Spills over 527

Collapse of Iraq Fuels Terrorism and Regional Wars 528

They say: US will solve conflict 529

Aff—Iraqi failure would be resolved by the US before going regional/global 530

Aff—Hege solves Iraqi wars 531

Aff—No impact: Terrorists wont attack outside Iraq 532

AFF—OIL PRICES DON’T PROMOTE STABILITY 533

AFF—OIL DOESN’T HELP IRAQ’S ECONOMY 534

AFF—TURN: OIL BAD—HURTS ECONOMIC GROWTH 535

AFF—TURN: OIL PRODUCTION BREEDS INSTABILITY 536

THEY SAY: STABILITY SOLVES 537

THEY SAY: NOT KEY FUNDING 538

EXT—IRAQI OIL HAS NO ECONOMIC BENEFIT 539

IRAQ UNSTABLE NOW 540

Oil Pipelines Disadvantage 1NC Shell (1/3) 541

Oil Pipelines Disadvantage 1NC Shell (2/3) 542

Oil Pipelines Disadvantage 1NC Shell (3/3) 543

2NC Russian Economy Dependent on Oil 544

2NC Russian Economy Dependent on Oil 545

Countries Depend on Russia for Oil 546

546

2NC Russia is on the Brink 547

2NC impact Ext. Economic collapse bad 548

2NC IMPACT INTERNAL LINK—RUSSIA IS KEY 549

2NC IMPACT INTERNAL LINK—RUSSIA KEY 550

2NC TIME-FRAME: 2 YEARS GLOBAL ECONOMIC COLLAPSE 551

AFF—IMPACT NON-UNIQUE: RUSSIAN OIL FAILING NOW 552

AFF—HIGH OIL PRICES BAD 553

AFF—NO IMPACT 554

TAP Pipeline Disadvantage 1NC Shell (1/2) 555

TAP Pipeline Disadvantage 1NC Shell (2/2) 556

UNIQUENESS 557

UNIQUENESS 558

TAP PIPELINE SOLVES ENERGY CRISIS IN INDO-PAK REGION 559

TAP PIPELINE PREVENTS IRAN CONFLICT AND KEEPS PEACE IN INDO-PAK REGION 560

2NC IMPACT EXT. TERRORISM CAUSES EXTINCTION 561

AFF – NON-UNIQUE 562

AFF – NON-UNIQUE 563

AFF – IMPACT INEVITABLE 564

AFF – IMPACT INEVITABLE 565

AFF – ALT CAUSE 567

Texas Oil Disadvantage 1NC Shell (1/3) 568

TEXAS OIL DISADVANTAGE 1NC SHELL (2/3) 569

TEXAS OIL DISADVANTAGE (3/3) 570

OIL KEY TO TEXAS’ ECONOMY 571

UNIQUENESS 572

THEY SAY: ECONOMY SLOWING NOW 573

573

NON-UNIQUE 574

1NC- PRICES 575

1NC- PRICES 576

1NC- PRICES 577

SAUDI ECONOMY O/W US ECONOMY 578

HIGH PRICES K2 ECON 579

OIL STRONG NOW 580

HIGH PRICES K2 ECON 581

HIGH PRICES K2 ECON 582

HIGH PRICES K2 ECON 583



HIGH PRICES K2 ECON 584

HIGH PRICES K2 ECON 585

HIGH PRICES K2 DEVELOPMENT 586

AT: SHOCKS KILL ECON 587

OIL PRICES K2 ECONOMIC REFORM 588

OIL K2 DEVELOPMENT 589

OIL K2 DEVELOPMENT 590

OIL K2 STABILITY 591

OIL K2 STABILITY 592

STABILITY K2 PREVENT TERRORISM 593

STABILITY K2 WAR ON TERROR 594

TERRORISM EXTINCTION 595

TERRORISM EXTINCTION 596

IMPACT- CIVIL WAR 597

IMPACT- ECONOMY 598

ECON DECLINE EXTINCTION 599

1NC- RELATIONS 600

1NC- RELATIONS 601

1NC- RELATIONS 602

RELATIONS HIGH NOW 603

RELATIONS HIGH NOW 604

ECONOMIC TIES KEY TO RELATIONS 605

IMPACT U- CHINA NUKE SALES 606

IMPACT- NUCLEAR WAR 607

AT: WONT STRIKE ISRAEL 608

AT: SAUDIS WOULDN’T DEVELOP NUKES 609

RELATIONS K2 PREVENT SAUDI NUKES 610

PROLIF NUCLEAR WAR 611

PROLIF NUCLEAR WAR 612

RELATIONS KEY TO WOT 613

AT: SAUDIS HELP TERRORISTS 614

AT: SAUDIS HELP TERRORISTS 615

HIGH PRICES KILL ECON 616

HIGH PRICES KILL ECON/ SAUDI ECON ALT CAUSE 617

SAUDIS NOT OIL DEPENDENT 618

GLOBAL ECON LOW NOW 619

US ECON LOW NOW 620

NO SPILLOVER- US ECON 621

LOW PRICES GOOD 622



NO REFORMS NOW 623

NO IMPACT - SAUDI NUKES 624

SAUDI ECON RESILIENT 625

ECON TURN 626

AT: RELATIONS 627

Shell 628

Uniqueness 630

Links 636

Oil key to economy 646

Impacts 647

A2: Dutch Disease 653

A2: Authoritarianism 655

A2: Inflation 657

A2: Foreign Investment 658

A2: Caspian 659

A2: Relations 661

*****Aff answers:***** 665

Uniqueness 666

Link 670

Authoritarianism turn 674

***Authoritarianism extensions 676

Dutch Disease turn 677

Foreign investment turn 678

Caspian turn 680

Inflation turn 682

***Inflation extensions 684

Relations turn 686

***Relations extensions 689




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