3.4.2. End-to-End warning system A system that generates hazard information, constitutes one end and the system that delivers user focused information, to elicit a desired response from at risk communities, constitutes the other end of the system. Early warning information, effectively generated ,communicated and applied, should lead to a change in decisions, that generate improved outcomes in the system of interest. This involves the following elements the message to be communicated – weather/flood prediction and interpretation into local outlooks the communication of the message – translation, message construction and dissemination the receipt of and response to the message and a feedback mechanism – examining the various aspects of the system with a view to improve its performance. Much more effort also needs to be applied to this end of the implementation chain, and pilot studies are recommended, as an integral part of policy planning. Figure below depicts schematic End-To-End Early Warning System. There are serious gaps in almost all phases of an early warning system poor quality and less dense observation equipments, outmoded data analysis, poor prediction and risk assessment practices, non generation and poor dissemination of user friendly forecast products, both in their content and frequency, and understandably lessor no participation of communities, in the early warning system. The gaps indifferent phases of the early warning system, naturally undermine the effectiveness of the system.
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