Philippines Discussion Notes


II. IMPROVED INVESTMENT CLIMATE



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II. IMPROVED INVESTMENT CLIMATE




PHILIPPINES Discussion Note No. 6

Competitiveness

Removing behind-the-border barriers to promote investment and growth
The Philippines embarked on major policy reforms in the 1980s, with the aim of promoting greater competition as a means of accelerating economic growth. While much progress was made in eliminating trade barriers and improving trade logistics, the country was less successful in reducing behind-the-border constraints to trade and business entry, as well as in improving the investment climate. As a result, the Philippines continue to exhibits signs of a protected, inward-oriented economy, while trade and foreign investment inflows have stagnated over the last decade. Key behind-the-border constraints are the excessive procedures required to open and close a business, inadequate investor protection and poor access to credit among small and medium-sized enterprises. To remove these constraints on competition, policymakers may consider developing an explicit competition framework policy and implement a series of measures designed to simplify business regulations within a transparent, rules-based business operating environment and facilitate greater access to credit for SMEs. These steps should complement broader competitiveness-enhancing measures needed to improve the investment climate, particularly investments in public infrastructure and tax reforms to place public finances on a sounder footing.



  1. In the 1980s, Philippine policymakers embarked on a number of major reforms to liberalize trade, deregulate domestic markets and privatize public enterprises. These market liberalizing reforms were designed to generate faster output and productivity growth by promoting greater competition. More competition encourages existing firms to either become more efficient or be replaced by more productive firms. Furthermore, in the absence of economies of scale or externalities, greater competition leads to lower prices and improved product quality, benefitting consumers and other firms that use the products in question as inputs. Some evidence also suggests that greater competition raises the propensity to innovate and encourages faster technology diffusion.




  1. While the Philippine economy is much more open today than it was three decades ago, the competitive momentum generated by these reforms has not been sustained. Following the introduction of reforms in the mid-1980s, both the trade ratios (exports + imports as a share of GDP) and the foreign investment ratio increased rapidly in the Philippines, comparable to the performance observed elsewhere in the region (Figure 1). Arguably, this helped prepare the ground for the subsequent economic take-off, with growth accelerating to 5 percent per annum during 2000-08, after plodding along at an average rate of 2.3 percent in the 1980s and 1990s. Even so, many observers had expected a greater economic pay-off, comparable to the 8 percent growth exhibited by the East Asian & Pacific region as a whole during this same period. Meanwhile, the initial competitive momentum provided by these reforms seems to have waned by the late 1990s as both the trade and foreign investment ratios declined again, contrary to the performance in the other East Asian comparator countries. Also, the industry structure continues to exhibit very high concentration ratios and price cost ratios in many sectors in the Philippines, which suggests the presence of monopoly rents.




Figure 1:

Evolution of Trade Ratios

Foreign Direct Investment Inflows







Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators.

Note: East Asia Average comprises Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam.






  1. These developments raise a series of questions about the remaining barriers to competition and growth in the Philippines.1 It is argued below that the Philippines has advanced significantly in removing barriers to trade, but that a significant number of ‘behind-the-border’ constraints remain that inhibit the entry of new businesses in different markets. Aldaba (2008) notes that the manufacturing sector in general has become more contestable due to the low level of tariff rates and removal of some constraints on foreign investment, but that competition remains constrained by the presence of structural and behavioral barriers, together with the absence of a dynamic core of medium-sized firms that could credibly challenge the large incumbent firms. The failure of these medium-sized firms to thrive conspires against a decline in industry concentration ratios, and tends to limit domestic competition and market contestability.




  1. The Philippines Today: Progress and Challenges




Table 1:

Tariff and Market Access Trade Restrictiveness Indices







2000-04

2005-08

2006-09







-------------Values-------------

Rank

Philippines

Tariff TRI

MA-TTRI


4.31

3.39

2.77


3.84

2.46


21

56


Indonesia

Tariff TRI

MA-TTRI


5.23


4.24

4.62


4.63

4.23


56

80


Malaysia

Tariff TRI

MA-TTRI


5.26


3.93

2.59


4.06

2.30


24

55


Thailand

Tariff TRI

MA-TTRI


10.48


6.43

5.66


6.57

4.26


74

81


East Asia & Pacific ave.

Tariff TRI

MA-TTRI








4.89

3.76


48

64


Source: World Bank, World Trade Indicators. Note: higher values for the Tariff TRI and MA-TTRI indicate a more restrictive environment. The rankings refer to a total sample of 125 countries.

  1. The Philippines has a fairly open international trade policy environment. The country has been moving toward more liberal trade and investment regimes through unilateral liberalization since 1985, and policy actions in the context of regional and multilateral commitments. In spite of partial reversals in 2003 and the absence of new initiatives since then, the latest Tariff Trade Restrictiveness Index (Tariff-TRI) values indicate that the Philippines remains a fairly open economy (Table 1). With a Tariff-TRI value for overall trade of 3.9 percent, the Philippines compares well to the averages for the East Asian & Pacific region (4.9 percent) or for the lower-middle-income countries (8.4 percent). The Philippines also faces relatively open markets for its exports. The Market Access Tariff Trade Restrictiveness Index (MA-TTRI) gives the Philippines a value of 2.5 percent, which is below the regional average of 3.8.2




Table 2:

Logistics Performance Index Scores

(selected East Asian countries)






2007

2010




Score

Rank

(out of 150)



Score

Rank

(out of 155)



Philippines

Indonesia

Malaysia

Thailand


EAP ave.

2.69

3.01


3.48

3.31


--

65

43

27



31

--


3.14

2.76


3.44

3.29


2.65

44

75

29



35

98


Source: World Bank, World Trade Indicators 2009/10. Note: a higher score denotes better logistics performance.

  1. The Philippines also compares favorably with other countries in terms of trade logistics. The World Bank’s Logistics Performance Index (LPI) measures the efficiency in carrying out an array of essential activities for trade, including transport, warehousing, cargo consolidation, border-clearance, distribution and payments systems. The Philippine LPI score of 3.14 in 2010 represents an improvement over the score achieved in 2007 and is comparable to the scores achieved by neighboring Thailand and Malaysia. It is also significantly higher than the average for the East Asian & Pacific region as a whole (Table 2). The Philippines’ relatively high rank in terms of the TTRI and the LPI indexes suggests that the barriers to trade do not appear to be important impediments to greater competition.




Table 3:

Evolution of the Ease of Doing Business Rankings; 2004-10




2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Philippines

149

137

128

132

136

141

144

Indonesia

174

152

131

134

125

129

122

Malaysia

33

21

18

20

21

21

23

Thailand

21

42

23

23

19

12

12

Source: World Bank/IFC, Doing Business 2010. Note: Economies are ranked from ‘easiest’ to ‘most difficult’ for doing business. Given that the sample size varies across years, the rankings have been recalibrated in proportion to the 2010 sample size (183).

  1. The Philippines has been less successful in eliminating so-called “behind-the-border” constraints that inhibit the entry of new firms and that weaken the investment climate. The most recent Doing Business3 report, which measures the cost and quality of business regulations, ranks the Philippines 144th out of the 183 economies measured on the overall ease of doing business, and 21st amongst 24 economies in the East Asia & Pacific region. This places the Philippines in the lowest quartile of the economies sampled, and significantly behind its other competitors in the region: Thailand (which ranks 12th), Malaysia (23rd), and Indonesia (122nd). Furthermore, Table 3 shows that the Philippines’s ranking has been progressively deteriorating since 2004, contrary to the evolution in the other countries.


The main behind-the-border constraints on firm entry in the Philippines


  1. The Philippines exhibits significant barriers to market entry and exit of firms. The sub-categories that make up the overall Ease of Doing Business indicators reveal that the Philippines falls into the last quintile of the economies surveyed in terms of the ease of starting a business as well as in the ease of closing a business (Table 4). Another category where the Philippines ranks very poorly in comparison with its regional comparator economies is in the protection of investors. Meanwhile, as found earlier, trading across borders does not appear to be a major constraint, even though the Philippines ranks less well than several regional comparators.




  1. Cumbersome regulations and procedures deter the entry of firms and business expansions. The number of procedures (15) required to start a business in the Philippines is substantially higher than in other countries in the region, resulting in higher cost and investments in time. Furthermore, the weak bankruptcy resolution regime makes it particularly difficult for inefficient or unprofitable firms to exit the market. The recovery rate from a failed business in the Philippines averages a very low 4 cents to the dollar, compared to more than 30 cents in Malaysia or Thailand, causing potential entrants to think twice before committing to take advantage of seeming market opportunities.





Table 4:

Ranking of the Ease of Doing Business Indicator 2010; by Sub-Category




Components

Philippines

(Quintile)

Indonesia

Malaysia

Thailand

Overall Ease of Doing Business Rank 2010

144

4

122

23

12




Starting a Business

162

5

161

88

55




Dealing with Construction Permits

111

4

61

109

13




Employing Workers

115

4

149

61

52




Registering Property

102

3

95

86

6




Getting Credit

127

4

113

1

71




Protecting Investors

132

4

41

4

12




Paying Taxes

135

4

127

24

88




Trading Across Borders

68

2

45

35

12




Enforcing Contracts

118

4

146

59

24

 

Closing a Business

153

5

142

57

48

Source: World Bank/IFC, Doing Business 2010. Note: Rankings are based on a total sample of 183 economies.





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