Climate Change causes Global War
Africa News 07 (Africa News. “Africa; Continent Cannot Turn a Blind Eye to Climate Change” 8-1)
African governments need to be more proactive in dealing with the negative consequences of climate change on the continent. Almost every published report on the issue identifies Africa as one of the most vulnerable regions to climate change because of its high dependency on rain-fed agriculture and its low adaptive capacity. Reduced rainfall associated with climate change could leave between 350 and 600 million Africans facing water shortages by the middle of this century, with knock-on effects on agricultural yields and access to shared natural resources. Already, climate change has created environmental conflict hotspots on the continent -- the current violence in Darfur, for example, has been partly blamed on climate-induced resource scarcity (see 'Darfur needs technical solutions'). And climate change is a pressing poverty issue that will not only hinder achievement of the Millennium Development Goals, but could even undo the modest gains in economic growth the continent has recorded in the past few years.
Global Warming --- Impact --- Warming = Anthropogenic
Global Warming is Anthropogenic – we must change our ways
USA Today 7-16
[Wendy Koch, “Scientists: Climate Change launches geologic epoch”, 7-16-10, http://content.usatoday.com/communities/greenhouse/post/2010/07/climate-new-geological-epoch/1?csp=outbrain&csp=obnetwork]
The world has entered a new geologic epoch, in which human activities will largely determine the planet's evolution, reports the United States' chief scientific body, the National Academy of Sciences. Rising carbon dioxide emissions from the burning of fossil fuels have triggered this epoch, which could include profound changes in rainfall, crop yields, wildfires and sea levels, according to the sobering report, released Friday. It says: The world is entering a new geologic epoch, sometimes called the Anthropocene, in which human activities will largely control the evolution of Earth's environment. Carbon emissions during this century will essentially determine the magnitude of eventual impacts and whether the Anthropocene is a short-term, relatively minor change from the current climate or an extreme deviation that lasts thousands of years.The scientists say atmospheric concentration of CO2 has risen about 35% since 1750 and is now at about 390 parts per million, the highest level in at least 800,000 years. Depending on emission rates, they estimate those levels could double or nearly triple by the end of the century. The report, requested by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, does not make specific policy recommendations but suggests major action is needed, adding: Emissions reductions larger than about 80%, relative to whatever peak global emissions rate may be reached, are required to approximately stabilize carbon dioxide concentrations for a century or so at any chosen target level. President Obama is prodding the Senate to pass a climate bill, similar to one the House of Representatives approved last year that would reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Global Warming Impact --- Warming = Brink
GHG is at the Brink of Disaster – changes need to be made now
The Gazette (Montréal) , 6-18
[Margaret Monroe, “Carbon emissions harming the oceans; Reports find the burning of fossil fuels creates risk of irreversible transformation”,6-18-10, http://www.montrealgazette.com/technology/Carbon+emissions+harming+oceans/3168965/story.html ]
The oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico is a disaster, but it may pale compared to what scientists say is brewing in the world's oceans because of everyday consumption of fossil fuels. The billions of tonnes of carbon dioxide sent wafting into the atmosphere each year through the burning of oil, gas and coal are profoundly affecting the oceans, says a series of reports published yesterday in the journal Science. One says there is mounting evidence that "rapidly rising greenhouse gas concentrations are driving ocean systems toward conditions not seen for millions of years, with an associated risk of fundamental and irreversible ecological transformation."
Another says that the effects are already rippling through the food web in Antarctica. And a third says humans, and their ever-increasing carbon emissions, are acidifying the ocean in a "grand planetary experiment" that could have devastating impacts. Marine scientists Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, at the University of Queensland in Australia, and John Bruno, at the University of North Carolina, describe how the oceans act as a "heat sink" and are slowly heating up along with the atmosphere as greenhouse gas emissions climb. The warming, they say, is "likely to have profound influences on the strength, direction and behaviour" of major ocean currents and far-reaching impacts on sea life. The oceans also soak up close to a third of the carbon dioxide that humans put into the atmosphere, and it reacts with sea water to form acidic ions. The rising acidity "represents a major departure from the geochemical conditions that have prevailed in the global ocean for hundreds of thousands, if not millions of years," the scientists report. Add it all up and they say there is there is "overwhelming" evidence human activities are driving changes on a scale similar to volcanic eruptions or meteorite strikes, which have driven ecosystems to collapse in the past. "The impacts of anthropogenic (human) climate change so far include decreased ocean productivity, altered food web dynamics, reduced abundance of habitat-forming species, shifting species distributions and a greater incidence of disease," they say. In a second report, Oscar Schofield at Rutgers University and his colleagues describe how rising temperatures over the last 30 years have coincided with a shift in the food web along the West Antarctic Peninsula -most notably to a shrinking of marine algae cells. Organisms known as tunicates are so efficient at feeding on the smaller algae they appear to be displacing krill, a mainstay of many creatures up the food web. Fish, seals, whales, penguins and other seabirds could all be affected, they say. A news report accompanying the Science papers on the oceans says by increasing the ocean's acidity, "humans are caught up in a grand planetary experiment" that could take a "potentially devastating toll on marine life." The rising acidity could erode the calcium carbonate shells and skeletons of corals, mollusks and some algae and plankton -and there is evidence it is already starting to occur. "The physics and chemistry of adding an acid to the ocean are so well understood, so inexorable, that there cannot be an iota of doubt -gigatons of acid are lowering the pHof theworldocean, humans are totally responsible, and the more carbon dioxide we emit, the worse it's going to get," it says.
It goes on to quote a recent issue of the journal Oceanography that said unconstrained growth of emissions is likely to leave the current era of human planetary dominance "as one of the most notable, if not cataclysmic, events in the history of our planet."
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