Relations impacts and cp’s
Alliance causes security guarantee which solves need to re arm
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Alliance causes security guarantee which solves need to re arm4. Breakdown of the alliance results in Japanese rearm that destabilizes the regionLim 98,[Dr. Robyn Lim, Professor of IR at Hiroshima Shudo University “India's Nuclear Testing: What it Means for Japan,” Pacific Forum CSIS, 5/22/98, http://www.bu.edu/globalbeat/nuclear/lim052298.html] India has detonated nuclear devices in defiance of the international community, because it feels insecure. Japan might do the same thing were it to lose the security which the U.S. alliance provides. India's first nuclear testing since 1974, and the likelihood that Pakistan will follow suit, raise the specter of the end of the nuclear 'taboo'. Many Japanese have responded by renewing calls for total nuclear disarmament. While understandable, that response could work to undermine Japan's security. It is only strategically insecure countries, such as India has become, that seek security in an independent nuclear deterrent. The real message for Japan is that alliance with the United States has solved Japan's "nuclear problem", because of the assurance provided by extended deterrence. If Japan were to lose faith in the value of alliance protection, it might be tempted to follow the Indian example. Japan is surrounded by nuclear-armed and potentially hostile neighbors (including perhaps in a future united Korea). Despite the strength of Japanese pacifism, if Japan became strategically isolated and insecure, it would be tempted to acquire nuclear weapons, as well as long-range maritime capability. That could destabilize the whole region, since few trust Japan. A2: US-Japan relations Bad- ChinaRegional alliances stop any wars- they create peaceful solutions to problemsEven if China was aggressive, the impact is mitigated --- only wants to tweak and anything else would take too longJones, 07 – foreign affairs at University of St. Andrew (“China’s Rise and American Hegemony: Towards a Peaceful Co-Existence?” E-International Relations, 2007, http://www.e-ir.info/?p=149) However, the degree to which a state attempts to change the status quo can vary. Thus, China does not currently demonstrate a fundamental revolutionary wish to overthrow the entire international system, but rather a minor tweaking. Indeed, China’s rise has come by playing by Western capitalist rules. Therefore, this essay cautions against sensationalism. In the regional sphere, China now appears unimpeded by either Japan or Russia for the first time in two centuries, and thus is beginning to project its influence in the region. Cooperation on North Korea illustrates that the United States is willing to collaborate with China to reach its regional security goals. Additionally, China has also used liberal institutionalism to increase political power and further engage with the region. The recent October 2006 ASEAN-China Commemorative Summit sought to deepen political, security and economic ties, and concluded that the strategic partnership had ‘boosted…development and brought tangible benefits to their peoples, [and] also contributed significantly to peace, stability and prosperity in the region.’ China’s gradual, natural progression of influence should not be feared. Alluding to soft power, liberal theorist Joseph Nye illustrates China’s slow shift by contending that ‘it will take much longer before [China] can make an impact close to what the U.S. enjoys now.’ Relations key to solving China AggressionMedeiros 06[Evan S. Medeiros- a political scientist at the RAND Corporation, “Strategic Hedging and theFuture of Asia-Pacific Stability”, The Washington Quarterly, Winter 05-06, http://www.twq.com/06winter/docs/06winter_medeiros.pdf ]The U.S.-Japanese alliance is the most important and long-standing element of U.S. security strategy in Asia and is central to its efforts to hedge against the possible emergence of a revisionist China. The Bush administration has consistently taken steps to increase Japan's military role and diplomatic involvement in global and regional security affairs. U.S. strategists support such actions in arguing they are commensurate with Japan's position as an economic power, as a means to burden-share with Japan in addressing regional security challenges, and as consistent with U.S. efforts to shape China's ascendance and dissuade it from potentially destabilizing actions in the future. n12 The United States seeks a "global partnership" with Japan and is pursuing this by encouraging it to contribute to U.S. military operations in Afghanistan and Iraq, coordinating extensively with Tokyo on regional aid and relief issues, and augmenting bilateral defense trade. The United States also supports constitutional reform that could allow Japan's military potentially to expand and be more active in the region. Such an expanded role was demonstrated by the participation of Japanese forces in the U.S.-Thai-Singaporean "Cobra Gold" military exercise with Southeast Asian nations for the first time this year. U.S.-Japanese military technical cooperation is also growing, especially on missile defenses. In February 2005, the United States and Japan issued for the first time a highly consequential joint statement that explicitly tied the bilateral alliance to peace and security in the Taiwan Strait. Finally, the current U.S. Global Defense Posture Review envisions changes in deployments and command structures that would increase interoperability and further facilitate Japan's military assuming a greater role in U.S.-led military operations in Asia and beyond.n13 Directory: file -> view view -> Western Europe after wwii view -> Author study: paul fleischman view -> Qpa1 7ela study Guide view -> Arctic Oil/Gas Neg view -> November 1970 Approximately 150,000-500,000 deaths Bhola Cyclone Bangladesh view -> Grade Level: 6 Unit of Study: Caribbean glce view -> Citation: Duffield, Katy view -> Table of Contents Lesson # view -> Chinese Wind Energy Disad Download 1.27 Mb. Share with your friends:
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