Resolved: The United States federal government should substantially increase its economic and/or diplomatic engagement with the People’s Republic of China


China Relations Disadvantage Vocabulary



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China Relations Disadvantage

Vocabulary

Relations: Think relationship. This DA is based on the US and China being cooperative. If relations are high, that means that the US and China will work together on pressing problems. If they are low, then the countries are less likely to fix issues.

Nuclear Proliferation: Proliferation means to spread so nuclear proliferation is the spread of nuclear weapons. This means that more countries get access to full weapons and nuclear materials thus increasing the risk of nuclear use.


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People’s Liberation Army (PLA): The Chinese armed forces. Basically the accumulation of all the Chinese military. It is the largest military in the world.


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South China Seas (SCS): Part of the Pacific Ocean just southeast of China. It is near Taiwan, the Philippines, Cambodia, and Vietnam. A great deal of goods are moved through the area and there’s supposedly a lot of oil in the sea bed. There are serious disputes about who actually owns it and thus many countries are fighting over it.


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Senkaku Islands: Islands in the East China sea that have no one living on them. The US gave them to Japan, but China disagrees. These islands, like the South China Sea, are areas where fighting might erupt.

Xi Jinping (She jin-PING): General Secretary of the Communist Party of China, the President of the People's Republic of China, and the Chairman of China's Central Military Commission. He’s like Obama, but even more powerful since China does not have the same political structure as the US. Essentially, he’s the president of China.

Chinese Communist Party (CCP): Main political party of China. They have large control over the entire country and believe in a strong government with control over the people and economy. Xi Jinping is the leader of the party.


AT=Answers To

1NC- China Relations Disadvantage Shell

  1. Tensions remain, but cooperation on climate change creates a moment of harmony in the US-China relationship



New York Times, September 2016 9/3 Mark Landler and Jane Perlez http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/04/world/asia/obama-xi-jinping-china-climate-accord.html

HANGZHOU, China — President Obama and President Xi Jinping of China formally committed the world’s two largest economies to the Paris climate agreement here on Saturday, cementing their partnership on climate change and offering a rare display of harmony in a relationship that has become increasingly discordant.



On multiple fronts, like computer hacking and maritime security, ties between China and the United States have frayed during the seven and a half years of Mr. Obama’s presidency. The friction has worsened since the ascension of Mr. Xi as a powerful nationalist leader in 2013.

Yet the fact that he and Mr. Obama could set aside those tensions to work together yet again on a joint plan to reduce greenhouse gases attests to the pragmatic personal rapport they have built, as well as to the complexity of the broader United States-China relationship, a tangle of competing and congruent interests.

At a ceremony in this picturesque lakefront city, the two leaders hailed the adoption of the Paris agreement as critical to bringing it into force worldwide. Though widely expected as the next step in the legal process, the move could provide a boost to those who want to build momentum for further climate talks by bringing the December accord into effect as soon as possible.

Countries accounting for 55 percent of the world’s emissions must present formal ratification documents for that to happen, and together, China and the United States generate nearly 40 percent of the world’s emissions.

“Despite our differences on other issues, we hope our willingness to work together on this issue will inspire further ambition and further action around the world,” Mr. Obama declared.


  2. Internal-Link: Maintaining good relations with China is critical to resolve almost every status quo impact including nuclear proliferation



Gross, 2013 (Donald senior associate at the Pacific Forum of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), former State Department official), 3/19 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/donald-gross/us-china-relations_b_2891183.html?view=print&comm_ref=false)
Better relations with China would support wide-reaching political reform and liberalization. They would undercut the repressive internal forces that legitimize one-party authoritarian rule as a means of protecting the country against foreign military threats, particularly from the United States. In the field of national security, through an ongoing process of mutual threat reduction, the United States can ensure that China is a future partner and not a danger to the interests of America and its allies. The greatest benefit is that the U.S. would avoid a military conflict for the foreseeable future with a country it now considers a major potential adversary. Other critical security benefits to the United States and its allies include: • Significantly reducing China's current and potential military threat to Taiwan, thus securing Taiwan's democracy; • Utilizing China's considerable influence with North Korea to curb Pyongyang's nuclear weapon and missile development programs; • Increasing security cooperation with China on both regional and global issues, allowing the United States to leverage Chinese capabilities for meeting common transnational threats such as climate change, energy insecurity, pandemic disease, cyberterrorism and nuclear proliferation; • Curtailing cyberattacks by the Chinese military on U.S.-based targets as well as enforcing stringent measures against private individuals and groups in China that engage in cyber-hacking; • Having China submit its maritime disputes in the South and East China Seas to an independent international judicial body to prevent festering conflicts over uninhabited islands and energy resources from escalating to armed conflict; and • Reducing the scope, scale, and tempo of China's military modernization programs by discrediting the rationale for conducting a focused anti-U.S. buildup, especially since the country has so many other pressing material needs. In his second term, President Obama should seize the opportunity created by the emergence of China's new leadership to stabilize U.S.-China relations -- by pursuing a diplomatic strategy that minimizes conflict, achieves greater mutually beneficial Sino-American cooperation, and significantly expands trade and investment between the two countries. This approach would enable the United States to maintain an effective military presence in the Asia Pacific in coming years, despite defense budget cuts, while also rebalancing economic and political resources to the region to ensure stability and mutual prosperity.

  1. Impact: Nuclear proliferation causes a nuclear war



Sturm, 2009 (Frankie Sturm, Fellow at the National Truman Security Project, a national security based institute in Washington DC, “Nuclear Weapons: A New Paradigm for the 21st Century, Truman National Security Project”)
Accidents happen, but the price of a nuclear accident is impermissible. Yet, past incidents over the last several decades far less known than “Chernobyl” could very well have led to more catastrophic results: 1979, U.S. Mistakes Computer Exercise for Soviet Nuclear Strike. When a realistic training tape was mistakenly inserted into the computer running the United States’ early warning system, launch control centers for Minuteman missiles received preliminary warning that the U.S. was under attack, while the entire continental air defense interceptor force was put on alert. In a country with less sophisticated systems, such an incident could have provoked a hasty retaliatory strike and accidental nuclear war. 1988, Pakistan Mistakes Explosion for Indian Nuclear Attack. When a massive conventional munitions explosion occurred at a secret ammunition dump near Rawalpindi, some Pakistani officials mistook it for the start of an Indian nuclear strike. Given the size of Pakistan’s conventional forces compared to India’s – and the proximity of the two nations, cutting down the decision time in the event of a launch – such an incident could easily have resulted in accidental nuclear war. 1995, Russia Mistakes Weather Balloon for U.S. Nuclear Strike. When Norway launched a weather rocket to investigate the Northern Lights, Russian radars mistook the rocket for a missile launched by a U.S. submarine. Russian officials scrambled their nuclear forces into position and activated President Boris Yeltsin’s “nuclear brief- case.” A nation that feels vulnerable to nuclear attack might feel obligated to launch a retaliatory strike before all the facts are in, leading to an accidental nuclear war. The list of nuclear accidents and potential calamities goes on. As clearly put by Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, “Mistakes are made in every other human endeavor. Why should nuclear weapons be exempt?” In addition to the threat of discrete nuclear accidents lies the broader problem of loose nuclear material. Russia possesses more than 10,000 nuclear warheads, many of which are poorly guarded and vulnerable to theft. Although the U.S. and Russia have worked together through the Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction initiative to secure nuclear material and deactivate thousands of warheads, analysts fear that underpaid scientists and lax security could create a situation in which a terrorist group could buy or steal a bomb. Meanwhile, the security of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal remains in question, stoking fears that state collapse in that volatile country could also enable terrorists to acquire a nuclear weapon. The accidental detonation of a single nuclear weapon could kill thousands; an accidental nuclear war could kill millions worldwide. This threat has been with us for decades, but the prospect that mistakes or mishaps could inadvertently help terrorists obtain nuclear weapons adds extra gravity to the threat.


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