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IMPORT ANALYSIS Product import



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IMPORT ANALYSIS




    1. Product import




Total import1


The crisis developments affected the import volume of cosmetics in 2009: in physical terms the volume declined at 13% and reached 234 th.tons; in money terms the import volume showed 15% fall and decreased to 2,3 bln.USD (Table 2.1 .7, Figure 2.1 .8, Figure 2.1 .9).

The average price of imported cosmetics in 2009 was also lower comparing to 2008: 10,0 USD per kilo (Table 2.1 .7, Figure 2.1 .10).


Table 2.1.7 Import volume of Cosmetics, growth rates and average prices in 2007-2009

Index

2007

2008

2009

Import volume, th.tons

263,6

267,5

234,0

Growth index, %

‑ 

1%

-13%

Import volume, mln.USD

2297,8

2738,1

2335,8

Growth index, %

‑ 

19%

-15%

Average price, USD per kg

8,7

10,2

10,0

Source: Customs statistics

Source: Customs statistics



Figure 2.1.8 Import volume of cosmetics in Russia in 2007-2009, in physical terms

Source: Customs statistics



Figure 2.1.9 Import volume of cosmetics in Russia in 2007-2009, in money terms

Source: Customs statistics

Figure 2.1.10 Average price in 2007-2009, USD per kg

Short-term prospects


The Russian Federal Customs Service announced significant growth in import volumes of cosmetics in January-February 2010; the growth rate in comparison with the same period of the previous year was around 20%. Thus the import volumes of perfumery and cosmetics are expected to show positive development.

But several changes are expected in the near future in the structure of imported cosmetics. First of all the share of production of mass market and medium segments is likely to increase. The consumption of products of high priced segments, especially of luxury one, is expected to decline. In general the demand for cosmetics will either grow or remain at the same level, but it will shift from premium segments to medium and mass-market segments.



Import from Brazil

At present the import volume of cosmetic products from Brazil is rather small – in 2009 the country has less than 0,01% of the total import volume in physical terms. Though in 2007 Brazil imported 3% of the total import volume in physical terms owing to supplies of the company Colgate-Palmolive from Brazil into Russia.

In 2009 Brazil imported into Russia the target production of total value 0,6 th.USD – this figure increased 90,1% in comparison with 2008.

The average price grew significantly during the analyzed years and from 2007 to 2009 it increased 4,6 times. This was caused by structural change of the import: in 2007 around 98% of the volume in money terms fell on toothpastes produced by Colgate-Palmolive company; in 2008 and 2009 this production was replaced by more expensive goods ‑ Hair care, Skin care and Make-up products, etc.


Table 2.1.8 Import volume of cosmetics from Brazil, growth rates and average prices in 2007-2009

Index

2007

2008

2009

Import volume, tons

7955,7

27,8

15,8

Growth index, %



-

-43,1

Import volume, th.USD

16,3

0,3

0,6

Growth index, %



-

90,1

Average price, USD per kg

2,1

11,9

39,7

Source: Customs statistics

Source: Customs statistics



Figure 2.1.11 Import volume of cosmetics from Brazil in 2007-2009, in physical terms

Source: Customs statistics



Figure 2.1.12 Import volume of cosmetics from Brazil in 2007-2009, in money terms

Source: Customs statistics



Figure 2.1.13 Average price of cosmetics from Brazil in 2007-2009, USD per kg

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