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Food

Food prices



No impact- Food prices at the lowest in five years


World Bank Group 7/1 (The World Bank Group, “Global Food Prices Drop to a Five-Year Low,” July 1, 2015, http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2015/07/01/global-food-prices-drop-to-a-five-year-low). WM

WASHINGTON, July 1, 2015 – International food prices decreased by 14% between August 2014 and May 2015, dropping to a five-year low, according to the latest edition of Food Price Watch. Cheap oil contributed to abundant global supplies of food in 2014 and prospects of a bumper crop for wheat, maize and rice in 2015—factors that are driving the sharp decline in international food prices. The agriculture and food sector continue to benefit from less expensive chemical fertilizer, fuel and transportation costs brought on by the previous year’s oil price declines, with food prices holding steady despite recent oil price hikes. Between August 2014 and May 2015, wheat prices plunged by 18%, rice prices dropped by 14% and maize prices declined by 6%. However, the arrival of El Nino, the appreciation of the U.S. dollar and the recent increase in oil prices could drive up food prices in the coming months. The demand for maize by the biofuel industry and developments in rice support policies among major producers are other factors that could impact food prices.


No threat to food prices or shortages- World Bank and other agencies fill in to mitigate impacts


World Bank Group 7/1 (The World Bank Group, “Global Food Prices Drop to a Five-Year Low,” July 1, 2015, http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2015/07/01/global-food-prices-drop-to-a-five-year-low). WM

How the World Bank Group is helping The World Bank Group is committed to boosting agriculture and agriculture-related investment. In 2014, new commitments to agriculture and related sectors were $8.3 billion. For IBRD/IDA, assistance to agriculture and related sectors rose to $4.3 billion in FY14 from $3.6 billion in FY13. IFC made $4.0 billion in private sector investments across the food supply chain in FY14. These investments supported projects that promote access to finance, access to inputs like seeds, equipment and advice, and access to markets through infrastructure and food-processing facilities. Launched by the World Bank in 2008, the Global Food Price Crisis Response Program (GFRP) provides relief to countries hit by high food prices. The GFRP has reached nearly 70 million people in 49 countries—through $1.6 billion in emergency funds for farming, seeds and fertilizer, and emergency school feeding programs. The WBG supports the Global Agriculture and Food Security Program (GAFSP). Ten countries and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation have pledged about $1.4 billion with $1.2 billion received. Coordinating with UN agencies through the High-Level Task Force on the Global Food Security Crisis and with non-governmental organizations, and supporting the Partnership for Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) to improve international food market transparency. Advocacy for more investment in agriculture research–including through the Consultative Group on International Agriculture Research (CGIAR) – and monitoring trade to identify potential food shortages. Supporting improved nutrition among vulnerable groups: During the past decade (2003-2013), the International Development Association (IDA), the World Bank's fund for the poorest, has ensured that more than 210 million pregnant/lactating women, adolescent girls, and/or children under age five were reached by basic nutrition services. The Bank is also an active member of the Scaling Up Nutrition Global Movement and leads the SecureNutrition Knowledge Platform, which aims to improve nutrition outcomes through increased nutrition-sensitive investments and activities across all key underlying drivers of nutrition.


No impact to Food prices- markets stabilize risk of shocks


Wiggins 14— research fellow in the agricultural development and policy programme at the Overseas Development Institute (Steve, “Food shock recovery suggests price spikes went against the grain,” The Guardian, 5 June 2014, http://www.theguardian.com/global-development/poverty-matters/2014/jun/05/food-shock-recovery-price-spikes-grain). WM

After more than 30 years of generally falling grain prices, it came as a shock when the cost of cereals spiked between late 2007 and early 2008. The price of maize and wheat doubled, while rice trebled in cost. Though prices fell back, harvest shocks in 2010 (Black Sea countries) and 2012 (US mid-west) caused another, less dramatic increase. Unsurprisingly, some observers wondered if high and unstable cereals prices were the new norm. The system, it seemed, was broken. But it is increasingly clear that it is not. World cereals prices have fallen back again, and major price rises seem unlikely in the near future. So what's been going on? With the benefit of hindsight, the spike of 2007-08 was caused by three major changes: higher oil prices, an explosion of ethanol production in the US, and rising wages in parts of Asia. These factors left the cereals market, where stocks were already low, vulnerable to harvest failures. When those failures occurred, in 2006 and 2007, prices rose. Further increases followed when some governments panicked, either by limiting exports or importing more in a tight market. Since 2007, farmers have been trying to adjust to the new conditions. However, owing to the harvest failures of 2010 and 2012, and the surprising growth of US demand for distillation to ethanol, which continued through to 2011, it has taken them until recently to do so. Finally, though, the market seems to have recovered equilibrium. There have been few harvest shocks over the past 18 months, while the expansion of ethanol in the US has halted. Oil prices, meanwhile, have barely risen since 2011. Above all, farmers have finally caught up with the prices, planting more and raising yields. Grain production has increased significantly since 2007. In the seven years before the spike, cereals production grew by just 9%, by 146m tonnes; in the seven years since, there has been a 16% increase, by 329m tonnes. Surprisingly, almost three-quarters of the increase has come from the developing world, not from the traditional grain exporters of North America, Australia, South America and the Black Sea countries. That's partly a response to higher prices, but it also reflects the efforts of governments and donors – including the $22bn (£13bn) promised at the L'Aquila meeting of the G8 in 2009 – to help farmers boost production. In many developing countries farmers were assisted to get seed and fertiliser, and in some cases price incentives were introduced. Although cereals prices have fallen back, they are still higher than they were in 2005: in constant terms, 74% higher for maize, 60% more for wheat, and 32% more for rice. That's because oil prices have risen by 70% since 2005, and with them the cost of fertiliser; an astonishing 130m tonnes of maize is turned into ethanol in the US annually; and labour costs on many Asian farms have risen as jobs in cities increase the cost of farm labour. What have we learned from the past seven years? For one thing, the system is not broken, even if optimists have been reminded that a resilient system can become volatile if perturbed sufficiently. Moreover, some of the policies proposed in response to the 2007 spike – creating world cereals reserves, putting heavy restrictions on futures trading – were unnecessary, and would have achieved little despite exacting a high cost in terms of funds and political capital. And last but not least, determined public action to raise staples production across the developing world to meet new demands has paid off. • This article was amended on 11.06.2014. "In the seven years before the spike, cereals production grew by just 9%, by 146m tonnes; in the seven years since, there has been a 16% increase, by 329m tonnes."

Price insulation prevents spikes from escalating


Anderson, Ivanic and Martin 13

(Kym Anderson, Maros Ivanic, and Will Martin. “Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty,”Agriculture and Rural Development Team, Development Research Group, The World Bank, July 2013, http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/pdf/10.1596/1813-9450-6535). WM



Distribution of price changes due to different actions by developing and developed countries With different countries applying different changes in protection during 2006–2008, some countries achieved some degree of insulation of their domestic prices while others experienced higher prices than they would if no country had insulated. The countries that insulated the most vigorously “exported” price increases to the countries that insulated less. These “imports” and “exports” of price increases could have important consequences for poverty. Some advocates of price insulation argue that it can be used by developing countries to shift price increases to highincome countries which are much better placed to manage such shocks. To see whether this was the case in 2006–2008, Figure 2 shows the distribution of price changes due to countries’ actions from two perspectives: developed versus developing countries (in light blue), and within each of those country groups (in dark red). Consider first the impacts of the actions of developed and developing countries acting as two aggregate groups. The light blue color set of bars in each sub-figure shows the magnitude of the value change transmitted between developed and developing countries. That magnitude is determined by the consumption share of each group (the x-axis) and the size of excess insulation (over the international price change). As can be seen, in each case the actions of the developing countries lower the extent of their own price rise at the expense of the developed countries. Only in the case of rice did the impact of the developing countries’ actions not lower their own price rise much. This is because rice consumption in developed countries is a tiny share of world consumption and hence little of the rice price increase could be “exported” from those countries. Second, consider the level of coordination among developing countries’ own actions, by focusing on the dark red color bars which show how much of the international price change was distributed within the group by group member actions. In the case of rice, for example, China, Indonesia and Bangladesh insulated their markets much more than others, shifting the price increases onto the shoulders of other countries. A similar situation can be observed for the remaining crops, where China alone (plus India in the case of wheat) was successful in lowering the extent of its own domestic price rise—but, in doing so, it put upward pressure on prices in other countries.

Confusion between food prices and food price volatility causes misrepresentation of the problem- no impact to high prices


Barrett and Bellemare 11—Professor of economics and management at Cornell and professor of public policy and economics at Duke -(Christopher B and Marc F. “Why Food Price Volatility Doesn't Matter,” Foreign Affairs, July 12, 2011, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2011-07-12/why-food-price-volatility-doesnt-matter). WM

Yet in their calls to help the poor and reduce political turmoil by stabilizing prices, Zoellick, Sarkozy, the Brookings Institution, the G-20 agriculture ministers, and many other global leaders erred. They conflated high food prices with greater food price volatility, which is best defined as variance around the food price level. The error is understandable, because the two phenomena are indisputably correlated. If demand outstrips production, food prices rise and sellers begin tapping their food inventories. Inventory management stabilizes prices by supplementing supply in times of scarcity and boosting demand in times of surplus. But if food inventories are excessively drawn down during periods of unusually high prices, carryover stocks will be insufficient to stabilize prices during further supply or demand. This can lead to price spikes. But high food price levels and high food price volatility are not the same things. Food price levels are at historic highs, but food price volatility, although high these past few years, is not out of line with historical experience and is generally lower than it was in the 1970s. This means that the world does not necessarily face a price volatility problem. It faces a high food price problem. The effects of each phenomenon on the well-being of the poor differ. Throughout the world but especially in low-income countries, the poor are overwhelmingly net food consumers, while farmers are generally better-off net sellers. Rising prices hurt consumers by reducing their purchasing power but benefit producers by increasing their profits. By contrast, volatility does not necessarily hurt consumers, because different food staples are often substitutable. Changes in the prices of one are not perfectly correlated with changes in the price of the other, so consumers can adjust their purchases to take advantage of relative discounts. But high price volatility does hurt producers, who make all their investments in seeds, fertilizer, and equipment at the start of the growing season, before the post-harvest price is known. If prices in the year ahead look unstable, farmers may invest less than usual, with the consequence that they no longer maximize profits and also produce less food to sell. Since volatile food prices do not necessarily harm poor consumers, it does not make sense to blame volatility for increased poverty or political unrest. In a recent statistical analysis, the FAO food price index and an indicator of political unrest were positively correlated. But a measure of food price volatility and political unrest had a strong negative correlation. Although the food price spikes that occurred in the late spring and early summer of 2008, at the end of 2010, and at the beginning of 2011 coincided with political unrest, increases in food price volatility more commonly occurs after, not before, patches of political unrest. So, although commentators and politicians frequently blame food price volatility for human suffering and political unrest, they are either misunderstanding or misrepresenting the problem. Perhaps not coincidentally, their emphasis on tempering price volatility favors the same large farmers who already enjoy tremendous financial support from G-20 governments. The way in which leaders cast the food price problem matters because it shapes policy responses. Policies aimed at curbing food price volatility, such as export bans, price stabilization schemes, and subsidies for farmers are misguided if policymakers aim to increase the welfare of the poor, or avert political unrest in developing countries. Instead, policymakers should consider measures that prevent increases in food prices, such as removing barriers to international agricultural trade and increasing investment in scientific research on crop productivity improvement, soil and water conservation, and renewable energy that does not compete with food for land. Policymakers should also focus on innovative ways to reduce post-harvest losses, which run to nearly 50 percent in many low-income countries, often due to insufficient or sub-standard storage, refrigeration, and processing facilities. Such measures are the best long- and short-term policy response to high price levels. And by curbing sharp increases in food prices, they will temper price volatility as well. Expanded production, or a reduction of waste and diversion, will drive down prices and encourage the accumulation of food inventories, which will stabilize prices. Food prices pose a serious challenge to society at large. To meet that challenge, policymakers must first identify it accurately.

Food Prices have no influence on poverty- empirics prove


The Economist 12 (“A fall to cheer,” the Economist, Mar 3rd, 2012, http://www.economist.com/node/21548963). WM

THE past four years have seen the worst economic crisis since the 1930s and the biggest food-price increases since the 1970s. That must surely have swollen the ranks of the poor. Wrong. The best estimates for global poverty come from the World Bank's Development Research Group, which has just updated from 2005 its figures for those living in absolute poverty (not be confused with the relative measure commonly used in rich countries). The new estimates show that in 2008, the first year of the finance-and-food crisis, both the number and share of the population living on less than $1.25 a day (at 2005 prices, the most commonly accepted poverty line) was falling in every part of the world. This was the first instance of declines across the board since the bank started collecting the figures in 1981 (see chart). The estimates for 2010 are partial but, says the bank, they show global poverty that year was half its 1990 level. The world reached the UN's “millennium development goal” of halving world poverty between 1990 and 2015 five years early. This implies that the long-term rate of poverty reduction—slightly over one percentage point a year—continued unabated in 2008-10, despite the dual crisis. A lot of the credit goes to China. Half the long-term rate of decline is attributable to that country alone, which has taken 660m people out of poverty since 1981. China also accounts for most of the extraordinary progress in East Asia, which in the early 1980s had the highest incidence of poverty in the world, with 77% of the population below $1.25 a day. In 2008 the share was just 14%. If you exclude China, the numbers are less impressive. Of the roughly 1.3 billion people living on less than $1.25 a day in 2008, 1.1 billion of them were outside China. That number barely budged between 1981 and 2008, an outcome that Martin Ravallion, the director of the bank's Development Research Group, calls “sobering”. If China accounts for the largest share of the long-term improvement, Africa has seen the largest recent turnaround. Its poverty headcount rose at every three-year interval between 1981 and 2005, the only continent where this happened. The number almost doubled from 205m in 1981 to 395m in 2005. But in 2008 it fell by 12m, or five percentage points, to 47%—the first time less than half of Africans have been below the poverty line. The number of poor people had also been rising (from much lower levels) in Latin America and in eastern Europe and Central Asia. These regions have reversed the trend since 2000. All this is good news. It reflects the long-run success of China, the impact of social programmes in Latin America and recent economic growth in Africa. It is also a result of the counter-cyclical fiscal expansions that many developing countries, notably China, embarked on in response to the 2007-08 crisis. Many economists (including some at the World Bank itself) were sceptical about these programmes, fearing they would prove inflationary, inefficient and ill-timed. In fact, the programmes helped make poor and middle-income countries more resilient. The poverty data chime with other evidence. Estimates by the Food and Agriculture Organisation that the number of hungry people soared from 875m in 2005 to 1 billion in 2009 turned out to be wrong, and were quietly dropped. Derek Headey of the International Food Policy Research Institute has shown that despite the world food-price spike, people's assessment of their own food situation in most poor and middle-income countries was better in 2008 than it had been in 2006. Most of the progress has been concentrated among the poorest of the poor—those who make less than $1.25 a day. The bank's figures show only a small drop in the number of those who make less than $2 a day, from 2.59 billion in 1981 to 2.44 billion in 2008 (though the fall from a peak of 2.92 billion in 1999 has been more impressive). According to Mr Ravallion, poverty-reduction policies seem to help most at the very bottom. In 1981, 645m people lived on between $1.25 and $2 a day. By 2008 that number had almost doubled to 1.16 billion. Even if many of these middling poor move up, their places are often taken by those who have just escaped from absolute poverty; population growth does the rest. The poorest of the poor seem to have escaped the worst of the post-2007 downturn. But the growth in the middling poor shows there is much to be done.

Famine



Reject the affirmative’s one-size-fits-all solution- they can never effectively combat the complexities of famine


Johnson 15 (Nathanael focuses on food-related issues. “Solving hunger is simple — end poverty. Gulp.” Grist, an environmental news organization, 19 Jan 2015, http://grist.org/food/solving-hunger-is-simple-end-poverty-gulp/). WM

Context matters Solutions are going to be different from place to place. There are no silver bullets — no one right answer for everyone (not GMOs, not agroecology). People on the ground should be able to choose the tools that work in their unique context. So what does this mean for someone interested in helping to feed the world? In the public debate, I hear farmers saying that, if the world’s going to eat, they have to drive down the price of food by producing more of it. And I hear progressives saying that we already have plenty of food, we don’t need more ag technology, all we have to do is make sure everyone gets a fair share. These guideposts I’ve set out suggest that both are wrong. Here’s why: First, while it’s true that there would be enough food to go around if everyone shared equitably, humanity has never been all that good at sharing. The idea that we could have completely equitable distribution of food is much more unrealistic than the idea that we could eliminate poverty. Second, 70 percent of the world’s poor depend, at least in part, on farming. Helping them produce more, and make a little money, is a smart strategy for addressing poverty. But third, “feeding the world” only makes sense if it’s bottom up rather than top down. It doesn’t help relieve poverty when super-efficient farmers in the U.S. outcompete poor farmers in the global south. Feeding the world is noble if it means that some of those poor farmers will become as rich as Americans and produce a lot more food on a lot less land. But it’s not at all noble if it means competing at an unfair advantage against the less fortunate. Here’s what I think we should be doing instead of repeating those talking points: Listening to poor farmers. When you listen to those farmers, and the people who work closely with them, they say they want agricultural technology (like high-yielding seeds), affordable loans, and education for their children. We should also listen when they say they’d rather do something else than farming. Even though agriculture touches most of the poor people around the world, in some places the most effective ways of helping will have nothing to do with farming. Investments in agriculture do have a good track record of improving the standard of living. Nevertheless, if the goal is to improve conditions for humans and minimize our collective impact on the environment (I argue that the two are one and the same), we’ve got to stay focused on reducing poverty instead of fixating on any one particular means of getting there. Fighting poverty is complicated, but it’s not all that complicated. We know enough to help, and even agree on a lot of it across partisan lines. Also: It’s a hell of a lot simpler than producing babies tuned for photosynthesis.


Severity of famines has gotten much better and even the use of the word makes malnutrition harder to solve


Ó Gráda 14—University College Dublin (Cormac, “Famine is not the problem: a historical perspective,” 10 SEP 2014, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1468-2281.12080/full). WM

In terms of their demographic toll, the world's most recent famines – apart, perhaps, from Somalia in 2011–12 – by contrast have been ‘very small’ by historical standards. Although Malawi's president pleaded in April 2002 for aid to deal with a crisis that had put three-quarters of the population at risk, prompting United Nations (U.N.) agencies and non-governmental organizations (N.G.O.s) to set about addressing the country's ‘worst food crisis in half a century’, the eventual death toll in Malawi was miniscule. The best estimates available – those proposed by famine specialist Stephen Devereux at the University of Sussex – imply an increase of about 1 per cent above the normal rate. [7] These numbers matter because they reduce the impact – if not the veracity – of claims, common at the time, that pressure from the International Monetary Fund to reduce buffer stocks caused the famine. [8] In the case of Niger a few years later, estimates of 3.5 million people out of a population of around twelve million at imminent risk of starvation – almost invariably including 0.8 million children – were much recycled in July–August 2005. But again, as it turned out, crisis-induced excess mortality in Niger was almost certainly minimal. [9] The crisis in Niger, one of the poorest countries in the world, [10] led to a controversy about the definition of famine and the role of N.G.O.s. The crisis first came to global attention with Hilary Andersson's report from Zinder province on B.B.C.1's nine o'clock news on 20 July 2005, and attracted global attention thereafter. [11] But if famine is taken to mean ‘a shortage of food or purchasing power that leads directly to excess mortality from starvation or hunger-induced diseases’, then it is doubtful whether the Niger crisis of 2005 qualified. [12] For N.G.O.s the controversy reflected tensions between those interested in development aid and those specializing in emergency relief, with ‘the former commonly charging the latter with mobilizing disproportionate resources in a counterproductive way unable to address the deep-seated causes of primarily chronic crises’. [13] A key grievance concerned the validity of using a highly emotive but effective warning signal inappropriately: the Irish aid agency Concern Worldwide, for example, chose not to employ the description ‘famine’ at all. In Niger itself, the context of usage was primarily political: President Mamdou Tandja ‘would fly into a rage at the very mention of the word famine’. [14] Anthropologist and historian Benedetta Rossi has noted how Niger's poverty blurred the distinction between ‘emergency’ and ‘development’ as categories employed by competing N.G.O.s. In her words, ‘“chronic emergency” is perceived as an oxymoron by institutions whose approaches are predicated, alternatively, on “emergency” or “chronic poverty” rationales’. [15] The controversy prompted a Norwegian activist based in Niger to complain: As long as major institutions within the aid industry can continue [to] take credit for saving people from catastrophes that have never taken place, casting blame on those who say otherwise (often the local governments), the poor will be even poorer, as hasty relief campaigns built on untruthful events leave people and societies in lesser-known parts of the world worse off than before the intervention. There is something gone badly wrong when the world of aid – born out of a desire to help – has become an industry that in its desire for monetary growth is willing to tamper with the truth, not caring for the dignity and independence of the people whom they claim to assist. [16]

Plan can’t solve food security-reforming regional governments key


De Schutter, 12--UN Special Rapporteur on the right to food- (Oliver, “World hunger can't be solved with more food,” The Drum, 18 Jun 2012, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-06-19/de-schutter-hunger-is-political/4077824). WM

What is clear is that there is no simple macro-economic recipe for addressing hunger and malnutrition. What best practices show is that hunger hinges on cross-cutting, distributional factors which are as much about access and social inclusion as they are about economics. This is why cities and provinces can succeed in reducing hunger while a country fails, and why a country can make progress while the rest of a region continues to struggle. We must therefore understand hunger as the highly political question that it ispolitical in the sense that the mechanisms of participation and accountability that engage people with political processes are the very same things that provide a buffer against the social marginalisation at the heart of hunger. As Amartya Sen once remarked, "the law stands between food availability and food entitlement". What he meant is that unless we take seriously our duties towards the most marginalised and vulnerable, and the essential role of legal entitlements in ensuring that the poor have either the resources required to produce enough food for themselves or a purchasing power sufficient to procure food from the market, our efforts at increasing production will hardly change their situation. For people are hungry not because there is too little food: they are hungry because they are marginalised economically and powerless politically. Securing the right to food is therefore the only path to durably tackling hunger. The importance of improving the incomes of the poor, facilitating internal and foreign investment, and increasing agricultural yields cannot be downplayed in the hunger equation. But for genuine, sustainable progress to be made in tackling hunger and malnutrition, political processes must first be made accountable, participative, and attuned to the cross-cutting complexities of the hunger question. Only when the political process is human rights-proofed in this way can we be confident that the reinvestment in a country and its agriculture will truly benefit the poor and food insecure.


Food Distribution

Food transportation solves now- airdrops


BARIYO 14— reporter (Nicholas, “Airdrops Aim to Ease South Sudan Suffering,” the Wall Street Journal, Sept. 8, 2014, http://www.wsj.com/articles/food-airdrops-aim-to-relieve-suffering-in-south-sudan-1410172436). WM

KAMPALA, Uganda—The World Food Program has started emergency airdrops of food to millions of people isolated by conflict and rainy conditions in South Sudan, the agency said on Monday, in the latest effort to address an unfolding crisis in the world's youngest nation. The WFP is conducting the daily drops out of bases in South Sudan, Uganda and Ethiopia to provide food and nutrition assistance to at least 2.9 million people in the three oil-rich states of Upper Nile, Unity and Jonglei by the end of the year, said Lydia Wamala, WFP spokeswoman in Uganda. The process is expected to continue over the next two months but could last longer as a civil war continues to ravage South Sudan, Ms. Wamala said. The current conflict, which began in December, has splintered the country along ethnic lines, pitting President Salva Kiir's Dinka community against former Vice President Riek Machar's Nuer tribesmen. Inadequate security and infrastructure in South Sudan have compelled the food agency to use Ugandan and Ethiopian airspace to reach people in dire need of food, officials said. "WFP is using land, air and water to deliver food to people who are isolated by conflict and facing intense hunger," said Alice-Martin Daihirou, the organization's country director. "While WFP's team here in Uganda is providing this critical logistical support to our colleagues in South Sudan, we are also assisting a growing number of South Sudanese refugees."


Food transportation is becoming increasingly easier for aid programs


BARIYO 14— reporter (Nicholas, “U.N. Steps Up Food Aid to South Sudan,” the Wall Street Journal, Dec. 30, 2014, http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-n-steps-up-food-aid-to-south-sudan-1419964155). WM

KAMPALA, Uganda—The United Nations started delivering food aid by barge to South Sudan as fears grow that the country’s civil war will lead to widespread famine early next year. The vessel transported the food Monday from Sudan by way of the Nile, an aid route that has been closed since 2011, when the Khartoum government cut off all commercial traffic on the river after South Sudan became independent. The U.N.’s World Food Program said Tuesday it expects in the next few days to ship some 21,000 metric tons of U.S.-donated food to South Sudan’s Upper Nile state, where fighting for control of the country’s only functioning oil fields is raging. The reopening of the Nile route, which follows talks between officials from both governments, was welcomed by the U.N. and other aid agencies, which have been forced to rely heavily on airplanes to ship food. Such deliveries are up to seven times as expensive as ground and water transport, the U.N.’s World Food Program said. Stephen Kearney, the agency’s acting director in South Sudan, said the opening of the Nile to aid shipments and the reduced transport costs come at a critical time.


GMOs

GMO biotech sector inherently exaggerate harms- multiple studies prove


Todhunter 14—an extensively published independent writer and former social policy researcher (Colin, “India: Selling Out To Monsanto. GMOs and the Bigger Picture,” Global Research, August 08, 2014, http://www.globalresearch.ca/independent-india-selling-out-to-monsanto-gmos-and-the-bigger-picture/5395187). WM

Monsanto in India In India, small farms account for 92 percent of farms and occupy around 40 percent of all agricultural land. They form the bedrock of food production. However, there is a concerted effort to remove farmers from the land. Hundreds of thousands of farmers have taken their lives since 1997 and many more are experiencing economic distress or have left farming as a result of debt, a shift to (GM) cash crops and economic liberalisation [3]. Monsanto already controls the cotton industry in India and is increasingly shaping agri-policy and the knowledge paradigm by funding agricultural research in public universities and institutes. Its practices and colonisation of institutions have led to it being called the ‘contemporary East India Company’ [4], and regulatory bodies are now severely compromised and riddled with conflicts of interest where decision-making over GMOs are concerned [5]. In the meantime, Monsanto and the GM biotech sector forward the myth that GM food is necessary to feed the world’s burgeoning population. They are not. Aside from the review by GRAIN, the World Bank-funded International Assessment of Agricultural Knowledge and Science for Development Report stated that smallholder, traditional farming (not GMOs) can deliver food security in low-income countries through sustainable agri-ecological systems [5]. The Standing Committee on Agriculture in Parliament unequivocally concluded that GM seeds and foods are dangerous to human, animal and environmental health and directed the former Government of Manmohan Singh to ban GMOs [6]. Despite such evidence and the recommendations to put a hold on open field GM trials by the Supreme Court-appointed Technical Expert Committee, the push is on within official circles to give such trials the green light. Monsanto cannot be trusted The GM biotech sector cannot be trusted. As its largest player, Monsanto is responsible for knowingly damaging people’s health and polluting the environment and is guilty of a catalogue of decades-long deceptive, duplicitous and criminal practices [7]. It has shown time and again its contempt for human life and the environment and that profit overrides any notion of service to the public, yet it continues to propagate the lie that it has humanity’s best interests at heart because its so-called GMO ‘frontier technology’ can feed the hungry millions. The sector attempts to control the ‘science’ around its products by carrying out inadequate, secretive studies of its own, placing restrictions on any independent research into its products and censoring findings that indicate the deleterious impacts of its products [8]. It has also faked data [9] and engages in attacking scientists who reach conclusions not to its liking [10,11]. It cannot demonstrate that yields are better, nutritional values are improved, health is not damaged or that harm to the environment does not occur with the adoption of GMOs. Independent studies and evidence, not inadequate industry funded or back ones, have indicated yields are often worse and herbicide use has increased [12,13,14], health is negatively impacted [15,16], soil is damaged [17] and biodiversity is undermined [18], among other things. GRAIN found that around 56 percent of Russia’s agricultural output comes from family farms which occupy less than 9 percent of arable land. Russia does not need or want GM crops, which the Russian Prime Minister has described as amounting to little more than a form of biological warfare weapon [19]. And here lies the real heart of the matter. Former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger once said that if you control oil you control nations, but if you control food you control people. GMOs are not needed to feed the world. Science cannot justify their use. They are a weapon. In India, there is a drive to remove small/family farms, which are capable of ensuring the nation’s food security, and eventually replace them with larger biotech-controlled monoculture farms with GM crops for Western styled processed-food supermarkets and export [20]. It is no surprise that the likes of Syngenta, Monsanto and Walmart had a direct hand in drawing up the Knowledge Initiative on Agriculture, which was in turn linked to the US sanctioning the opening up of India’s nuclear power sector. Despite India not being a signatory to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, US corporations are now actively involved in helping India develop its civil nuclear capabilities. Payback appears to come in the form of handing over the control of India’s agricultural land and food system to the US via that country’s biotech companies. GMOs and the bigger picture Russia is correct to conflate bio-terror and GMOs. The oil-rich Rockefeller family set out to control global agriculture via the petrochemical-dependent ‘green revolution’. The destruction of traditional farmer-controlled agriculture was actively supported by the US government and its Trojan horse agritech corporations under the agenda set out by Kissinger. GMOs now represent the ultimate stranglehold over food via ‘terminator’ seed technology, seed patenting and intellectual property rights.

GMOs can’t solve hunger and prop up big business


Cassidy 15—EWG research analyst(Emily, “FEEDING THE WORLD WITHOUT GMOS,” Environmental Working Group, MARCH 2015, http://cdn3.ewg.org/sites/default/files/EWG%20Feeding%20the%20World%20Without%20GMOs%202015.pdf?_ga=1.197427245.300763632.1436300092). WM

Much of the investment in genetic engineering has been spent on crops that do very little to expand the global food supply. Globally, corn and soybeans account for about 80 percent of the land area devoted to growing genetically engineered crops, and both are overwhelmingly used for animal feed and biofuels. Most of the investment in GE crops ends up feeding cows and cars, not people. Moreover, seed companies’ investment in improving yields in already high-yielding areas does little to improve food security; it mainly helps line the pockets of seed and chemical companies, large-scale growers and producers of corn ethanol. The narrative that GE crops will help feed the world ignores the fact that hunger is mostly the result of poverty. It is true that about 70 percent of the world’s poor are farmers and that improving their crop yields could help raise them out of poverty, but what truly limits the productivity of small farmers is the lack of basic resources such as fertilizer, water and the infrastructure to transport crops to market. If Big Ag companies truly want to guarantee that poor farmers can feed themselves, the cheapest way would be to ensure that they have the right mix of fertilizers and to help with infrastructure improvements such as roads to market. In regions such as Africa, farmers can only afford a tenth of the fertilizer recommended for their crops.8 Industry supported research found that it can take more than $100 million to research and develop9 a single genetically engineered variety, money that would be better spent to address the factors that frequently limit crop yields. By comparison, it typically costs only about $1 million to develop a new variety by traditional breeding techniques.10,11 In Africa, moreover, traditional crossbreeding has so far outperformed genetic engineering in improving crops’ drought tolerance and efficiency of resource use.

GMO companies aren’t structured to solve problems


Specter 14—staff writer at The New Yorker (Michael focuses on diseases and agricultural biotechnology in the developing world, “Seeds of Doubt,” The New Yorker, August 25, 2014, http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2014/08/25/seeds-of-doubt). WM

Molecular biology transformed medicine, agriculture, and nearly every other scientific discipline. But it has also prompted a rancorous debate over the consequences of that knowledge. Genetically modified products have often been advertised as the best way to slow the impact of climate change, produce greater yields, provide more nutrients in food, and feed the world’s poorest people. Most of the transgenic crops on the market today, however, have been designed to meet the needs of industrial farmers and their customers in the West. Shiva and other opponents of agricultural biotechnology argue that the higher cost of patented seeds, produced by giant corporations, prevents poor farmers from sowing them in their fields. And they worry that pollen from genetically engineered crops will drift into the wild, altering plant ecosystems forever. Many people, however, raise an even more fundamental objection: crossing varieties and growing them in fields is one thing, but using a gene gun to fire a bacterium into seeds seems like a violation of the rules of life.


GMOs cant solve- make it harder for local farmers and cant solve barriers inhibiting hunger solvency


Portfolio 21 2014 (Portfolio 21 is a global equity fund. Actual authors names withheld. “The Case Against GMOs: An Environmental Investor’s View of the Threat to our Global Food Systems,” Sept. 30, 2014, http://portfolio21.com/wp-content/uploads/dlm_uploads/2014/10/Portfolio-21-The-Case-Against-GMOs.pdf). WM

The question remains, what exactly are these impacts? Purveyors of transgenic products claim that GM farming boosts yields and farming incomes by saving on fossil fuels, pesticides, and labor. Another claim arising from this assumption is that GM farming represents a step toward environmental sustainability by decreasing emissions and the use of agricultural chemicals. GM advocates also maintain that these products pose no health risks to either the farmers or consumers. None of these arguments have held up over extended periods of use or in the face of independent testing. Pesticide and herbicide-resistant crops (by far the most widely used GM varieties) actually lead to an increase in pesticide and herbicide use over time horizons of as little as four years.3 Financial gains, which farmers make through increased yields, are offset by increased spending on patented seeds, fertilizer, and herbicides or pesticides, leading to a net decrease in income for all but the largest mega-farms. These higher input costs are especially damaging when small, more marginal farmers experience crop failure. Elevated levels of bankruptcy and consolidation have frequently occurred following the deployment of GM crops. Perhaps the most pervasive argument for GM crops is centered on the message that these crops are needed to “feed the world.” The underlying assumptions of this argument, however, are simply incorrect. At current levels of global production, there is enough food for every person on earth to have 3,000 calories per day.4 The problem lies with distribution, income, and food waste. GM crops can actually exacerbate hunger issues by pressuring farmers in marginal areas to grow cash crops for export or extensive processing. Farmers who make the switch to GM products usually get an initial increase in their yields, but this can be attributed to the varieties used as a base for the commercially available transgenic varieties. Furthermore, in repeated tests, conventional breeding has been just as or more successful at delivering “climate-ready” crops that incorporate drought or flood resistance. For environmental, social, and governance (ESG) focused investment strategies, agricultural biotech represents an unacceptable level of risk across a wide range of factors. The problem lies less with individual companies or products, but rather with how GM agriculture in its current iteration jeopardizes the whole agricultural system. Just as these risks are system-based, the consequences would manifest themselves by changing the very biological, economic, and social framework of food systems.




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