The Apple iPhone idis 619 Capstone Assignment By


Exhibit III (E) 2: Apple’s Valuation using Comparable Analysis



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Exhibit III (E) 2: Apple’s Valuation using Comparable Analysis

Comparable Analysis:


Source: Yahoo Finance, Value Line

PALM

RIMM

CREAF

SNDK

DELL

GTW

NAPS

CNET

MSFT

AVERAGE

AAPL

VALUE ($M)

Shares outstanding (M)

102.09

185.70

83.39

210.85

2230.00

317.75

45.00

149.80

9790.00




862




Price (on 02/16/07)

16.09

138.82

6.50

40.13

24.39

1.94

3.94

9.27

28.74

 

84.83




Market Value of Equity ($M)

1642.63

25778.87

542.04

8461.41

54389.70

616.44

177.30

1388.65

281364.60




73112.43




Long-term Debt ($M)

0.00

6.90

192.00

1150.00

504.00

300.00

0.00

139.10

0.00




0.00




Cash & cash equivalents ($M)

518.41

893.45

234.41

2810.00

8070.00

490.73

80.90

61.70

26400.00

 

11870.00




Enterprise Value ($M)

1124.22

24892.32

499.63

6801.41

46823.70

425.71

96.40

1466.05

254964.60




61242.43




Sales ($M)

1540.00

2670.00

1120.00

3260.00

57880.00

3980.00

108.73

387.69

46060.00




20680.00




EBITDA ($M)

133.86

843.34

(0.41)

792.63

4430.00

8.88

(35.16)

66.71

17940.00




3440.00




Book Value/Share ($)

9.85

12.37

5.28

22.59

1.38

0.69

2.02

1.77

3.75




13.05




Book value of Equity ($M)

1005.38

2296.74

439.88

4763.73

3077.40

218.61

90.68

265.30

36683.13




11249.13




EPS ($)

15.08

14.38

13.43

15.46

25.96

12.53

2.42

2.59

4.70

 

23.99




Enterprise Value/Sales

0.73

9.32

0.45

2.09

0.81

0.11

0.89

3.78

5.54

2.63

2.96

54,469

Enterprise Value/EBITDA

8.40

29.52

(1227.58)

8.58

10.57

47.94

(2.74)

21.98

14.21

20.66

17.80

71,056

Market Value/Book Value

1.63

11.22

1.23

1.78

17.67

2.82

1.96

5.23

7.67

5.69

6.50

64,020

Price/EPS

1.07

9.66

0.48

2.60

0.94

0.15

1.63

3.58

6.11

2.91

3.54

60,241

VALUATION (averages)





































ENTERPRISE


































$ 62,762 M

EQUITY


































$ 62,130 M

Adjustments:

CURRENT PERFORMANCE

PALM

RIMM

SNDK

DELL

GTW

NAPS

CNET

MSFT




Median

AAPL

Diff

Adjustment

REVENUE (TTM)

1,540

2,670

3,260

57,880

3,980

109

388

46,060




2,965

20,680

597.5%

 

PROFIT MARGIN (TTM)

5.61%

17.43%

6.1%

5.1%

0.2%

-30.10%

2.02%

25.86%




5.36%

11.74%

119.2%

 

OPERATING MARGIN (TTM)

6.85%

27.22%

17.1%

6.9%

-0.5%

-36.3%

3.15%

36.20%




6.85%

14.63%

113.6%

5%

EPS

0.82

2.45

0.96

1.28

0.08

-0.76

0.05

1.17




0.89

2.76

210.1%

 

EXPECTED GROWTH































 




 

Revenue Forecast '07

1570

3030

4120

57640

4150

109

432.31

50550




3,575

24290




 

Revenue Forecast '08

1770

4320

4910

59960

4290

150

478.94

56430




4,305

30560




 

EPS Forecast '07

0.64

3.34

1.19

1.15

0.10

(0.93)

0.16

1.47




0.90

3.21




 

EPS Forecast '08

0.72

4.59

2.53

1.30

0.12

(0.67)

0.25

1.70




1.01

3.78




 

REVENUE Growth '07 (YOY)

1.95%

13.48%

26.38%

-0.41%

4.27%

0.02%

11.51%

9.75%




7.01%

17.46%

149.0%

 

Revenue Growth '08 (YOY)

12.74%

42.57%

19.17%

4.02%

3.37%

37.66%

10.79%

11.63%




12.19%

25.81%

111.8%

10%

EPS Growth '07

-22.0%

36.3%

24.0%

-10.2%

25.0%

22.4%

220.0%

25.6%




24.48%

16.30%

-33.4%

-5%

EPS Growth '08

12.5%

37.4%

112.6%

13.0%

20.0%

-28.0%

56.3%

15.6%




17.82%

17.76%

-0.4%

-5%








































0%

Note : Creative (CREAF) has been excluded from the calculations for adjustments since the full information on its revenue forecast for 2007 and 2008 is not available.




Final Valuation:

VALUATION

BY COMPARABLES

ADJUSTMENT

ADJUSTED VALUATION

ENTERPRISE VALUE

$ 62,762 M

5%

$ 62,762 M

EQUITY VALUE

$ 62,130 M

5%

$ 62,130 M


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