The Rate Debate Slowing
AT: Bobertz/Blaming Kritik Alts
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AT: Bobertz/Blaming Kritik AltsGreen attitudes don't solve - adopting a federal approach is key to offset the worst of the existential impacts warming has Karlsson 11 — (Rasmus Karlsson is a post-doctoral fellow at the Hong Kong Institute of Education, PSA Annual Conference London, 19-21 April 2011, http://www.psa.ac.uk/journals/pdf/5/2011/1223_662.pdf) Recently, a number of bright-green or “Promethean” environmentalists have challenged this pessimistic analysis (Galiana & Green, 2009; Lewis, 1992; Mandle, 2008; Shellenberger, Nordhaus, Navin, Norris, & Van Noppen, 2008). Unlike cornucopian liberals of the past such as Julian Simon, these bright-green authors acknowledge the existential risk that climate change poses. However, instead of seeing the prevailing impasse as inevitable due to the physics of climate change (for instance the dispersion of causes and effects as discussed above), they argue that the impasse is rather caused by the way the problem has been politically structured and interpreted. Most importantly, they have challenged the premise that achieving climate stability will require immense sacrifices or lead to permanent welfare losses. Bright-green authors believe that the primary reason that the current approach does not work is that it perceives climate change mitigation as a burden and a cost that unwilling countries have to accept in the name of the greater good. In its stead, bright-green authors argue that we need a proactive investment-oriented approach to global sustainability, one that takes into account not only the risks of the future but also the possibilities for radical innovation that the coming decades could offer. Bright-greens believe that the convergence of disruptive technological change and social innovation offers a far more politically promising path to global sustainability than either the fear-mongering of “deep-greens” or the complacent green consumerism of “light-greens”. In terms of practical politics this means shifting the focus from “targets” and “timetables” to the far more interesting question of how emissions are to be reduced. Making this shift means accepting the impossibility of putting the “cart” (large cuts in emissions) before the “horse” (the technological means for making those cuts) (Galiana & Green, 2010, p. 331). It also means accepting that while global rebound effects make the possible reductions from energy efficiency improvements uncertain (Alcott, 2005; Roy, 2000; Wei, 2010), the other possible route, i.e. brute-force mitigation through welfare losses, is unlikely to ever win sufficient public support, not even if the world were to experience abrupt climate change (Gardiner, 2009). That does not mean that bright-greens think that we should not do what we can in order to reduce wasteful consumption, it only means that they recognize the political futility in believing that such demand-side changes will suffice to secure long-term global sustainability. Aerosols = Warming - AsiaAerosols exacerbate warming - Asia Taylor (Managing editor of Environment & Climate News, senior fellow at The Heartland Institute, bachelor’s degree from Dartmouth College, law degree from Syracuse University College of Law) 2011 (John M., “New Aerosol Study Refutes Global Warming Theory,” October 20, 2011, http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/new-aerosol-study-refutes-global-warming-theory) //CL However, a team of researchers from NASA and the University of California at San Diego reported in the August 2 issue of the British science journal Nature that they sent instruments into "brown clouds" of aerosols over Asia to measure their effect on temperature. To their surprise, the researchers discovered the common assumption that aerosols lower temperatures was wrong. Instead, aerosols were found to substantially amplify the Earth's greenhouse effect. "We found that atmospheric brown clouds enhanced lower atmospheric solar heating by about 50 percent," explained the researchers. "[The pollution] contributes as much as the recent increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gases to regional lower atmospheric warming trends," the researchers added. The amount of warming due to aerosols was so significant, the researchers reported, that aerosols alone could explain--in and of themselves and completely independent of greenhouse gases--the observed glacier retreat in the Eastern Himalayan Mountains. Aerosols = Warming - MaskingAerosols cause warming – masked effect Taylor (Managing editor of Environment & Climate News, senior fellow at The Heartland Institute, bachelor’s degree from Dartmouth College, law degree from Syracuse University College of Law) 2011 (John M., “New Aerosol Study Refutes Global Warming Theory,” October 20, 2011, http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/new-aerosol-study-refutes-global-warming-theory) //CL The amount of warming due to aerosols was so significant, the researchers reported, that aerosols alone could explain--in and of themselves and completely independent of greenhouse gases--the observed glacier retreat in the Eastern Himalayan Mountains. Milloy noted the new discovery further calls into question unreliable global warming models that have failed to explain why manmade carbon dioxide emissions steadily increased from about 1940 to 1975 even as global temperatures cooled. Said Milloy, "Global warming alarmists, such as the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, attempt to counter this observation by claiming that aerosol particles in the atmosphere--like soot and sulfates from fossil fuel combustion, and dust from volcanic eruptions--can mask the warming effect of greenhouse gases and cool the planet by reflecting solar radiation back into space. Earth has not warmed as predicted, they argue, because aerosol pollution is cooling the planet in a way that temporarily mitigates greenhouse gas warming. "The new aerosol study doesn't show that climate alarmists may be just a little off course--it shows that they may be 180 degrees off," Milloy added. "The aerosol study opens up the possibility for an entirely new hypothesis for global warming, with aerosols as the culprit. Yet up to now, the 'consensus' crowd has portrayed aerosols in the opposite light, as cooling agents." 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