Upper Columbia Spring Chinook Salmon, Steelhead, and Bull Trout Recovery



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4Delisting Criteria


4.1 Guiding Principles

4.4 Recovery Criteria

4.2 Recovery Strategy

4.5 Recovery Timeframe

4.3 Recovery Goals and Objectives




In the previous sections, this plan described the status of ESA-listed populations in the Upper Columbia Basin and reasons for their decline. In this section, the plan identifies goals, objectives, reclassification criteria and recovery criteria for naturally produced spring Chinook salmon, steelhead, and bull trout in the Upper Columbia Basin. This plan differentiates between “reclassification” and “recovery” criteria (NOAA 2004). “Reclassification” criteria represent the levels of abundance, productivity, spatial structure, and diversity necessary for “endangered” species (spring Chinook) to be classified as “threatened” under the ESA. “Recovery” criteria are the same as “delisting” criteria, which represent the levels of abundance, productivity, spatial structure, and diversity necessary for each species to be removed from ESA listing. Recovery levels are higher than reclassification levels.

It should be noted, however, that these biological criteria (VSP parameters) are only one component of the decision-making process of whether or not listed fish are reclassified and de-listed. Before the species can be reclassified or de-listed, NOAA Fisheries and USFWS must evaluate if the existing and ongoing institutional measures are sufficient to address the threats (see Section 3.11) to ensure that the populations and the ESU and DPS remain viable.


4.1Guiding Principles


Although there are no specific regulations regarding recovery, the statutory language of the ESA offers some guidance in recovery planning. Section 4(f) of the ESA addresses the development and implementation of recovery plans. The following are the key provisions of the Act for development of recovery plans:

  • 4(f)(1) – Recovery plans shall be developed and implemented for listed species unless the Secretary “…finds that such a plan will not promote the conservation of the species.”

  • 4(f)(1)(A) – Priority is to be given, to the maximum extent practicable, to “…species, without regard to taxonomic classification, that are most likely to benefit from such plans, particularly those species that are, or may be, in conflict with construction or other forms of economic activity.”

  • 4(f)(1)(B) – Each plan must include, to the maximum extent practicable, “(i) a description of site-specific management actions as may be necessary to achieve the plan’s goal for the conservation and survival of the species; (ii) objective, measurable criteria which, when met, would result in a determination…that the species be removed from the list; and, (iii) estimates of the time required and the cost to carry out those measures needed to achieve the plan’s goal and to achieve intermediate steps toward that goal.”

In summary, statutory (e.g., Freedom of Information Act, Federal Advisory Committee Act, Administration Procedure Act, National Environmental Policy Act, Paperwork Reduction Act, and the Information Quality Act) guidance requires certain elements to be included in the plan. Within these “sideboards,” plan developers are given considerable discretion to determine the details of how they develop the plan. This plan is science-based and relied on the guidance provided by the ICBTRT and the Bull Trout Draft Recovery Plan. Delisting criteria were developed by the ICBTRT in concert with the three Eastern Washington Regions (including Tribes), WDFW, and USFWS. The following criteria provide guidance to decision makers within each region.

4.2Recovery Strategy


At the time of listing, spring Chinook and steelhead in the Upper Columbia Basin exhibited low abundance and productivity (see Section 2). Trends in abundance were mostly downward and replacement ratios were low. Likewise, bull trout abundance in the Upper Columbia Basin was relatively low (see Section 2). Most bull trout populations (or subpopulations) exhibited depressed or unknown trends. Since 2000, naturally produced spring Chinook and steelhead abundance and productivity have increased. However, they still remain at levels that are considered below recovered population levels.

The strategy of this plan is to recommend goals, objectives, and actions that address the primary factors within each “H” (Hydro, Hatchery, Harvest, and Habitat) that limit the abundance, productivity, spatial structure, and diversity of naturally produced spring Chinook, steelhead, and bull trout in the Upper Columbia Basin.70 Each action is linked directly to a specific limiting factor (see Section 5). For example, recommended actions within the hydropower system are intended to increase survival of juveniles and adults passing through dams and reservoirs; recommended actions within hatcheries are intended to address abundance, productivity, and diversity issues associated with propagation of stocks; recommended actions within harvest are intended to reduce incidental take of listed species; and recommended actions within habitat are directed at protecting important habitats and minimizing stresses (various land-use and management activities) that degrade spawning and rearing habitat conditions.71 Ultimately, the implementation of specific recovery actions should lead to the restoration of naturally produced spring Chinook salmon, steelhead, and bull trout populations such that they become viable components of the ecosystem managed within the context of multiple land uses and natural resource management. These actions will also benefit other fish species and some wildlife, and lessen the chance for additional listings in the Upper Columbia Basin.

For all listed species, recovery requires reducing or eliminating threats to the long-term persistence of populations, maintaining widely distributed populations across diverse habitats of their native ranges, and preserving genetic diversity and life history characteristics. Successful recovery of the species means that populations, DPS, and ESU have met certain measurable criteria associated with viable salmonid populations (ICBTRT 2005). This plan focuses on four viable salmonid population (VSP) parameters: abundance, productivity, spatial structure, and diversity of naturally produced fish (see ICBTRT 2005a, b for a detailed discussion on VSP parameters) and bull trout goals and objectives. Importantly, this plan does not expect listed species where they did not occur historically, nor does it expect abundances that occurred historically.

4.2.1Abundance


Population abundance must be large enough to have a high probability of surviving environmental variation observed in the past and expected in the future, to be resilient to environmental and anthropogenic disturbances, to maintain genetic diversity, and to support or provide ecosystem functions. In this plan, the contribution of abundance to recovery will be measured using the twelve-year geometric mean abundance of adult fish on spawning grounds. McElhany (2000) recommended an 8-20 year time period. Ford et al. (2001) recommended a twelve-year time period because it overcomes survey variability, fluctuating environmental conditions, natural fluctuations in population cycles, multiple generations, and is more socially accepted than a 16 or 20-year timeframe. For spring Chinook and bull trout,72 abundance will be based on redd counts. Because of a lack of long-term steelhead redd counts, abundance of adult steelhead on spawning grounds will be estimated from inter-dam counts and radio-telemetry studies.

4.2.2Productivity


The productivity of a population is a measure of its ability to sustain itself or its ability to rebound from low numbers. Productivity can be measured as spawner:spawner ratios (a.k.a., returns per spawner or recruits per spawner), annual population growth rate, or trends in abundance of naturally produced fish. This plan uses spawner:spawner ratios as an index of productivity for spring Chinook and steelhead, and trends in redd counts for bull trout. There is currently no information available to estimate spawner:spawner ratios for bull trout. Spawner:spawner ratios for spring Chinook and steelhead will be expressed as the 12-year geometric mean recruits per spawner (following Ford et al. 2001). Stock-recruitment curves will be used to estimate “intrinsic potential” 73 when high levels of Chinook salmon and steelhead abundance are eventually achieved.

This plan also recognizes the primary importance of smolts/redd as a metric for habitat productivity. That is, in addition to evaluating productivity for the entire life cycle (mean spawner:spawner ratios), this plan uses smolts/redd to isolate the function of tributary habitat, without the confounding effects of mortality outside the subbasin. Although this plan currently lacks the information needed to identify recovery criteria based on smolts/redd, monitoring programs are in place or planned that will allow the use of this index as a consistent approach to evaluating restoration actions in the future.


4.2.3Spatial Structure


Spatial structure concerns the geographic distribution of a population and the processes that affect the distribution. Populations with restricted distributions and few spawning areas are at a higher risk of extinction due to catastrophic environmental events (e.g., a single landslide) than populations with more widespread and complex spatial structures. A population with complex spatial structure will include multiple spawning areas and will allow the expression of natural patterns of gene flow and life-history characteristics. Some populations, such as Entiat spring Chinook, have a naturally simple spatial structure and therefore have an inherently higher risk of extinction. As noted earlier, this plan does not expect spatial structure where it did not exist historically.

4.2.4Diversity


Population diversity concerns the phenotypic (morphology, behavior, and life-history traits) and genotypic (DNA) characteristics of populations. Because environments continually change due to natural process (e.g., fires, floods, drought, landslides, volcanism, etc.) and anthropogenic influences, populations exhibiting greater diversity are more resilient to both short- and long-term changes. Phenotypic diversity allows more diverse populations to use a wider array of environments and protects populations against short-term temporal and spatial environmental changes. Genotypic diversity (DNA), on the other hand, provides populations with the ability to survive long-term changes in the environment. It is the combination of phenotypic and genotypic diversity expressed in a natural setting that provides populations with the ability to adapt to long-term changes.

In some cases, the mixing of hatchery fish (or excessive numbers of out-of-basin stocks) with naturally produced fish on spawning grounds can actually decrease genetic diversity within the population (Hallerman 2003). According to the ICBTRT (2005a, b), diversity of naturally produced populations, ESUs, and DPSs can decrease because of hatchery adaptations of domestication, losses of genetic variability through supportive breeding, and erosion of natural population structure through homogenization. Recovery actions should be designed to reduce domestication and homogenization, and prevent gene flow rates greater than natural levels.


4.2.5Combining VSP Parameters


Abundance and productivity are closely linked. That is, rates of productivity at relatively low abundance should be, on average, sufficiently greater than 1.0 to allow the population to rapidly return to abundance target levels.74 In contrast, productivity rates can be closer to 1.0 when population abundance is at target levels. The relationship between productivity and abundance is called a viability curve and it describes those combinations of abundance and productivity that yield a particular risk threshold.

The ICBTRT has developed viability curves for spring Chinook and steelhead of different population size groups. The ICBTRT identified different size groups based on estimates of historically accessible spawning and rearing habitat. Spring Chinook populations within the Upper Columbia ESU fall within the “basic” (Entiat population) and “large” (Wenatchee and Methow populations) size categories (Figure 4 .31). Steelhead populations within the Upper Columbia DPS fall within the “basic” (Entiat and Okanogan populations) and “intermediate” (Wenatchee and Methow populations) size categories (Figure 4 .32). The Okanogan steelhead population is categorized as “basic” in the U.S. and “intermediate” if streams in Canada are included. Further analyses may redefine the minimum numbers for Upper Columbia Basin populations. This could change the designation of populations within the ESU and the DPS in the Upper Columbia Basin.

Viability curves truncate at minimum spawner numbers that differ depending on population size categories. Regardless of population productivity, basic populations must maintain a minimum spawner abundance of 500 spawners, intermediate a minimum of 1,000 spawners, and large populations must maintain a minimum of 2,000 spawners to be considered viable. These minimum levels were developed by the ICBTRT (2005a, b). Note that the area above the viability curves indicates that the populations are at a low risk of extinction, while areas below the curves represent high risk. Under historical conditions, it is likely that most populations demonstrated combinations of intrinsic production potential and abundance above the 5% viability curve. There are no viability curves for bull trout and therefore separate criteria are identified for bull trout abundance and productivity (see Section 4.4.3).

Spatial structure and diversity are also closely related. Because spatial structure is the process that drives diversity, the two (spatial structure and diversity) are very difficult to separate (ICBTRT 2005a, b). Therefore, following the recommendations of the ICBTRT (2005a, b), this plan will evaluate spatial structure and diversity together. The mechanisms, factors, and metrics used to assess spatial structure and diversity are presented in Table 4 .8. Further analyses may redefine the factors and metrics used to assess spatial structure and diversity. This could change the designation of populations within the ESU and DPS in the Upper Columbia Basin.




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