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China Relations Core - Berkeley 2016
High Speed Rail Affirmative Politics Elections Link Turns UTNIF 2012
Autor, Dorn, & Hanson (David H. Autor, David Dorn, Gordon H. Hanson. January 2016. “The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade,” The National Bureau of Economic Research, http://www.nber.org/papers/w21906)
China’s emergence as a great economic power has induced an epochal shift in patterns of world trade. Simultaneously, it has challenged much of the received empirical wisdom about how labor markets adjust to trade shocks. Alongside the heralded consumer benefits of expanded trade are substantial adjustment costs and distributional consequences. These impacts are most visible in the local labor markets in which the industries exposed to foreign competition are concentrated. Adjustment in local labor markets is remarkably slow, with wages and labor-force participation rates remaining depressed and unemployment rates remaining elevated for at least a full decade after the China trade shock commences. Exposed workers experience greater job churning and reduced lifetime income. At the national level, employment has fallen in U.S. industries more exposed to import competition, as expected, but offsetting employment gains in other industries have yet to materialize. Better understanding when and where trade is costly, and how and why it may be beneficial, are key items on the research agenda for trade and labor economists.

Relations bad – Economy – IPR



Counterfeiting hurts businesses and causes enormous damage to the US economy


Lewis 9 (Kevin, “The Fake and the Fatal: The Consequences of Counterfeits”, 2009, https://www.iwu.edu/economics/PPE17/lewis.pdf)
Counterfeiting poses threats to legitimate businesses as well. By counterfeiting a company’s product, that counterfeiter becomes a competitor of that legitimate company. As a result, that company loses sales and market share. Making matters worse, the counterfeiter has an unfair advantage, since it has not had to pay for R&D costs or brand development. Therefore, counterfeiters leech profits from American businesses in ways that no legitimate competitor can. As mentioned previously, counterfeiting costs the U.S. economy as much as $250 billion a year (U.S. Chamber of Commerce, www.thetruecosts.org; Federal Bureau of Investigation).

Trade relations with China hurts American economic growth – counterfeiting and IPR violations


Lewis 9 (Kevin, “The Fake and the Fatal: The Consequences of Counterfeits”, 2009, https://www.iwu.edu/economics/PPE17/lewis.pdf)
Increased globalization is another culprit that has led to a greater number of counterfeit goods in the marketplace. Although globalization has been advantageous to the global economy and has greatly expedited legitimate international trade, it has also “increased the ease of distribution” of counterfeit products, as well as “the incentive to counterfeit” (Hopkins, 2003). When there is “more trade flowing across borders,” “it is also easier for counterfeit products to flow” between countries, and new opportunities are created for counterfeiters to “maximize their return on investment and minimize their costs” (Hopkins, 2003). A counterfeit product that infringes on the trademarks of an American company can be manufactured in Asia, packaged in the Middle East, and sold in the United Kingdom in no more than a few weeks. All of this can occur outside the American company’s awareness, due to the surreptitious and global nature of the illicit trade, and the freedom with which such trade can be conducted in the global marketplace. Globalization has also strained the resources of U.S. Customs (Hopkins, 2003). The more goods cross U.S. borders, the harder customs officials have to work to prevent counterfeits from entering the legitimate supply chain. Due to booming international trade, customs officials must inspect an overwhelming quantity of goods in a relatively short time period. This further increases the chances of counterfeits infiltrating the U.S. economy from abroad.



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