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Relations good – SCS solvency
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Relations good – SCS solvencyUS – China relations solve conflict between the two countries.Dingding Chen, assistant professor of Government and Public Administration at the University of Macau, Non-Resident Fellow at the Global Public Policy Institute, 6/10/2016, “REALITY CHECK: THE SOUTH CHINA SEA DOES NOT DEFINE THE US-CHINA RELATIONSHIP”, The Diplomat, http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/reality-check-the-south-china-sea-does-not-define-the-us-china-relationship/ To avoid what seems like an inevitable conflict between a dominant power and a rising power, both China and the United States should take a step back and reevaluate their fundamental interests with regard to the South China Sea. Once this is done, China will realize its first priority is to realize the “China dream” or modernization for the Chinese people, not its claims in the South China Sea. Also, the United States will realize that its own first priority is maintaining a liberal international order, which can only be done by bringing China into it and accommodating China’s legitimate interests and demands. There will always be some sort of competition between China and the United States, but this can be good for the world. We should not, however, let the South China Sea define U.S.-China relations. To allow that to happen would indeed be foolish and lead to a tragedy in great power politics. DefenseA2 SCS impact – no warSouth China Sea conflict does not lead to war.Aranvi Mehta, October 24, 2015, “SOUTH CHINA SEA CRISIS AND INTENSIFYING US-CHINESE RELATIONS”, McGill International Review, http://mironline.ca/?p=5612 With all said, neither the US nor China would go to war upon the first chance. Threats would be exchanged, but negotiations and mediation would ensue in the background. In this way, the South China Sea Crisis can be compared to the the Cuban Missile Crisis, when it was in both countries’ best interests to not attack each other. Although the notion of nuclear annihilation in the Cuban Missile Crisis was the primary deterrent, the South China Sea Crisis has deterrents of its own. US and China putting economic sanctions on each other would be catastrophic for both countries due to their interdependence. Other powers in the world would also prioritise US-Chinese mediation as sanctions would affect their economies too. As long as American diplomacy is geared towards preventing China’s zero sum game in the region without overstepping its own legal and military boundaries, the South China Sea will be a relatively stable region. Download 357.18 Kb. Share with your friends:
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